Global fintech and funding innovation ecosystem

M&A Opportunity as Fintech Valuations Drop

Report | Nov 25, 2024

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Falling Fintech Valuations Create Opportunities for Strategic Growth

According to CB Insight's 2025 Tech Trends Report, valuations for VC backed financial technology companies have declined from a median of $1.7 million (2021) to 1.3 million (2024) per employee.  While this may seem like bad news and it definitely signals a market correction that may shake up industry, the report which is 93 page PDF of conversations with executives shows a silver lining in how current conditions are ripe for strategic growth and innovation.

3 Reasons Why Fintech Valuations Are Falling

1. Economic Factors - In a higher interest rate scenario, investors focus on companies with clear paths to profitability.  Inflation is driving up operating costs and is squeezing margins for many fintech startups.  Global fintech funding fell a whopping 37% from 2021 to 2024 with early stage funding shrinking even faster.

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2. Market Saturation - Since 2015 when there was a surge in fintech startups, there's been steady and intense competition in fintech markets.  According to the report, many if not most fintechs struggle to stand out, and the market can simply not sustain so many players.

3. IPO Delays - While there's a broader trend towards fewer IPOs and companies remaining private for longer.  Fintechs looking for a public IPO has been volatile, such as Robinhood who went public in April 2021 at a $32 billion valuation but lost more than 75% of its value by late 2022 due to regulatory scrutiny, lower trading volumes and a change in the retail boom.  As a result, many later stage startups and scale-ups held off IPO plans and opted for private funding (often at reduced valuations).

Select Data Highlights

There are over 120 fintech companies with strong health scores (600+ on CB Insight's Mosaic metric) but who are limited on cash are prime acquisition targets. These companies show a 30%+ probability of being acquired within the next two years.

Many fintech startups have not raised funds in the past two years so growth is stalling.  About 43% of blockchain startups in 2024 are still in validation stages compared to only 19% for AI startups highlighting fintech's slower rate of commercialization/adoption.

See:  Robinhood Acquires AI Platform Pluto Capital Inc

Notable acquisition example is payments platform Revel who was acquired by Shift4 at a fraction of its peak valuation. Shift4 projects that the acquisition will add $15 million in EBITDA in 2024 due to synergies.

Another example is Visible Alpha who was acquired by S&P Global to improve its analytics offerings.  This M&A deal shows how well capitalized firms can target and scoop up niche fintech innovations.

Strategic Opportunities

1. Strategic Acquisitions -In 2024 fintech M&A transactions spiked with the median deal size increasing 15% year over year (as valuations dropped). So larger firms are buying startups at a discount, who are experiencing a valuation crunch.  For example Stripe’s $1.1 billion acquisition of Bridge, a stablecoin crypto payments platform.

2. Focused Mini -Acquisitions - Instead of buying out an entire company, another strategy is to acquire specific assets such as intellectual property, APIs or books of businesses.  An example is Financial Information Technologies acquired only iControl Systems USA scan-based trading technology, and not the entire startup.  That was the companies fifth mini-tech acquisition since 2019 to enhance its technology without acquiring full companies which come with operational risk or merger costs.

See:  Nuvei Shareholders Approve $6.3B Advent International Buyout

3. Partnerships - many companies choose partnerships instead of an outright buyout.  For example, TD and SideDrawer partnered in March 2024 to integrate an API-based digital vault platform into its services to enhance TD's customer experience by providing a secure and efficient way to exchange sensitive information.

Takeaway

Compressed valuations aren't the end of fintech innovation.  Rather it's an opportunity to build back smarter if possible by focusing on profitability, partnerships, and strategic acquisitions.


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