Karsten Wenzlaff, Advisor
August 26th, 2025
Investing | Nov 20, 2024

Image: Freepik, Bitcoin hologram
Bitcoin surged its all-time-high (ATH) at almost $95,000 USD this week, pushed higher in part by the launch of options trading on Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). Blackrock and Grayscale have greenlit options offering investors the ability to hedge and speculate on the price of Bitcoin. Can Canadian investors access these options, and what does it mean for their portfolios?
Bloomberg analyst is citing massive pent-up demand for such products. Big players are having a huge and immediate impact:
Yes, with some restrictions.
Bitcoin ETF options blend the flexibility of digital assets with the familiarity of traditional markets. While Bitcoin ETF options are not yet available in Canada, Canadian investors can access these trades with brokers offering access to U.S. markets to enable traders to hedge risk, speculate, and diversify their portfolios while opening up more opportunities for Canadians to participate in crypto's fintech boom.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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Bitcoin | Nov 18, 2o24

Image: Freepik
Between November 11 and 17, 2024, MicroStrategy led by bitcoin maximalist Michael Saylor acquired 51,780 bitcoins at an approximate cost of $4.6 billion. To fund the purchase, MicroStrategy sold 13.6 million shares of its own stock which benefited from strong stock performance, allowing the company to raise the necessary funds without taking on additional debt. This strategy is now the hallmark of Saylor's bitcoin investment approach.
Since its latest acquisition, MicroStrategy now owns a total of 331,200 bitcoins (average purchase price of $50,000) which are currently worth $30 billion based on market prices and making MicroStrategy the largest institutional holder of bitcoin in the world.
MicroStrategy’s sole-focus on Bitcoin has boosted its stock price significantly. Since the U.S. presidential election earlier this month, the company’s shares (MSTR) have jumped over 50%, outpacing the performance of Bitcoin itself, which rose 30% during the same time. Investors are feeling optimistic because the newly elected administration supports cryptocurrency, boosting confidence to companies and investors involved in the crypto space.
Although MicroStrategy’s bold Bitcoin strategy has generated big rewards for investors recently, it comes with risks. Since the company’s value is joined at the hip with Bitcoin’s price, a sharp drop in the price of BTC or broad cryptocurrency market could quickly hurt its financial position. Also, some analysts have cautioned that the premium investors are willing to pay for MicroStrategy's stock may decline if market sentiment turns negative.
Michael Saylor is one of Bitcoin's most influential and vocal advocates calling it a superior store of value compared to traditional assets. He has outlined plans to even further expand MicroStrategy's Bitcoin holdings by selling more shares in the future and further betting on bitcoin's long term potential.
Michael Saylor's bitcoin acquisition strategy is both innovative and risky. While the strategy has been successful so far, it ties the company’s future closely to Bitcoin’s unpredictable price volatility.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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Crypto Regulation | Nov 15, 2024

AI image
As reported by the Defiant, and in a surprising move (given that the new Trump administration is taking the reigns soon), an 18 U.S. state coalition led by Kentucky Attorney General, Russell Coleman, joined forces with the DeFi Education fund and filed a lawsuit against the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) including Chair Gary Gensler and Commissioners for the agency's controversial crypto enforcement practices which they see as federal overreach.
Plaintiffs:
“The SEC has sought to unilaterally wrest regulatory authority away from the states through enforcement actions targeting the digital asset industry."
Under Gensler's leadership at the SEC, the agency handed out major enforcement actions against big players like Coinbase, Kraken, Uniswap, and Ripple. However Gensler's regulate by enforcement approach faced pushback with some of its own commissioners including Hester Peirce and Mark Uyeda criticizing the focus on enforcement instead of clear rules. SEC Chair Gary Gensler recently defended his approach and tough stance on crypto, replying that 'significant investor harm has occurred' in crypto.
The new incoming administration could bring big changes to how crypto is regulated in the U.S. As part of his campaign platform, President-elect Donald Trump, promised to remove Gensler on his first day in office and appoint officials who support crypto.
As lawsuits continue through the court system, the key question is how federal agencies and/or state governments will shape the future of crypto in America. The outcome will impact innovation, investor protection, and the global competitiveness of crypto markets for years to come.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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DeFi | Nov 15, 2024

Image: Freepik
DeFi Technologies Inc., a Canadian player in the world of decentralized finance (DeFi) continues its plans to have its shares traded on the Nasdaq Stock Market while confirming solid Q3 financial results in a press release update on November 14, 2024.
The company filed a registration document known as Form 40 F to the U.S Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on September 16th in the year 2024. Once all necessary regulatory and listing approvals are finalized, the listing is anticipated to improve access and attract more global investors, cementing DeFi Technologies' role as a leading player in the digital asset sector.
This milestone is a big achievement for a Canadian fintech with potential to lead in the next wave of global financial innovation. With its debt-free status and future plans, DeFi Technologies is positioning itself to capitalize on the growing demand for decentralized finance solutions.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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Investing | Nov 14, 2024

Image: Coinbase COIN50 Index
US-based crypto exchange, Coinbase, has introduced the COIN50 Index that simplifies the analysis and sentiment of crypto markets by providing investors with a clear snapshot of the market at any given time. While COIN50 itself isn’t an investment product, it acts as a benchmark for the top 50 crypto assets on Coinbase, spread across different segments of the crypto economy.
Crypto markets are complex and can be tricky to track as they are volatile and can change in a heart beat. The COIN50 Index changes this by offering a broader look at a diverse selection of the top 50 assets to benefit investors.
While investors can't invest directly in COIN50, Coinbase has launched COIN50 perpetual futures (COIN50-PERP) for institutional investors in qualifying jurisdictions and is available on both Coinbase International Exchange and Coinbase Advanced.
Similar to traditional indices like the S&P 500, COIN50 is a new benchmarking index and trusted reference point for investors looking to gauge market sentiment and keep up with the fast paced crypto markets. Check out the COIN50 guide or COIN50 whitepaper to learn more.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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Nov 14, 2024

Image: Unsplash/Markus Spiske
Understanding bitcoin price trends and movements can feel like navigating a maze. Price swings are frequent, and the cryptocurrency market moves faster than almost any other asset class. However, by keeping an eye on a few tried-and-true indicators, you can gain insights into Bitcoin’s market behavior and make better-informed decisions.
In this article, we'll cover three essential Bitcoin indicators: the Bitcoin Power Law, the 200-Day Moving Average (200-MA), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Whether you’re new to bitcoin or looking to sharpen your trading toolkit, these indicators will give you a tools for tracking bitcoin’s price.
The BTC Power Law is a model that attempts to chart bitcoin’s price over the long term by placing it within a power-law corridor. This corridor includes upper and lower boundaries, creating a channel in which bitcoin’s price is expected to fluctuate over time.
Unlike linear or exponential models, which can either underestimate or overestimate bitcoin’s growth, the power law is more flexible and realistic, capturing bitcoin’s unique blend of rapid price appreciation and cyclical corrections.
The Bitcoin Power Law is particularly helpful for long-term investors who want to understand bitcoin’s broader price trajectory. It suggests that bitcoin’s price will fluctuate within this channel, oscillating between overvaluation at the top of the corridor and undervaluation at the bottom.
This model reinforces the view that bitcoin’s price will continue to appreciate in the long term, but it will do so in cycles with periods of volatility and correction.
The Bitcoin Power Law can be a helpful tool for timing major investment moves:
Let’s say bitcoin is trading near the bottom of the Bitcoin Power Law corridor, showing a potential opportunity for long-term buyers. Historically, buying near the lower end of this channel has led to significant returns as Bitcoin’s price eventually moves back toward the upper boundary. Conversely, if bitcoin is pushing against the upper limit, it might be time to consider locking in profits before a possible correction.
The 200-Day Moving Average, or 200-MA, is a long-term trend indicator that averages bitcoin's closing price over the past 200 days. Moving averages help smooth out price data, making it easier to spot trends by filtering out day-to-day price fluctuations.
The 200-day moving average is considered a benchmark indicator in financial markets. When bitcoin's price is above the 200-MA, it’s generally a sign of a bullish or upward trend. When it’s below, it suggests a bearish or downward trend. For many traders and investors, this line acts as a dividing line between bullish and bearish market sentiment.
The 200-MA can be valuable in assessing bitcoin’s market health:
Imagine bitcoin’s price has been consistently above the 200-MA for months, indicating a strong bull market. Suddenly, it crosses below the 200-MA. This crossover can signal a potential bear market, encouraging investors to proceed cautiously. On the flip side, when bitcoin breaks back above the 200-MA, it often suggests a renewed uptrend, signaling buying opportunities.
The Relative Strength Index, or RSI, is a momentum indicator that measures the speed and change of bitcoin's recent price movements.
RSI values range from 0 to 100 and help identify overbought or oversold conditions in the market. Generally, an RSI reading above 70 is considered overbought, suggesting the asset could be due for a pullback. Conversely, an RSI below 30 is considered oversold, implying it might be undervalued and due for a bounce.
RSI is particularly useful for spotting potential trend reversals. It helps traders understand whether the current price momentum is likely to continue or if it’s nearing exhaustion. Since bitcoin is a highly volatile asset, RSI can provide insights into short-term price movements, helping investors avoid entering at extreme levels.
There are several ways to interpret RSI:
Suppose bitcoin is trading at $30,000, and RSI has hit 75, indicating overbought conditions. This could mean that the price is overextended and likely to pull back in the short term. By being mindful of RSI levels, you can avoid buying during these high points and wait for more favorable buying conditions.
Each of these indicators — the 200-Day Moving Average, RSI, and BTC Power Law — provide a different view of bitcoin’s price movements, which can help you navigate both short-term trends and long-term cycles.
While no indicator can guarantee success, these three tools can help you make a more informed investment decision by helping you time your moves in the volatile bitcoin market.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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Crypto | Nov 14, 2024

Image: Shayne Coplan CEO Polymarket (CNBC)
CNBC reported that the FBI raided 26 year old Shayne Coplan's New York apartment on Nov 13, CEO of prediction betting site Polymarket, seizing his phone and other devices. The FBI however did not publicly disclose any details or reasoning behind their investigation and no arrests or charges have been laid to date.
Polymarket is the world's largest crypto prediction market where users can gamble on real world events, such as political outcomes or financial trends. The crowd-sourced platform was thrust into mainstream media for accurately predicting Donald Trump's win over Vice President Kamala Harris in the U.S presidential election, which ran opposite to what most of the mainstream polls were predicting at the time, a Harris win.
Polymarket spokesperson's quote suggests that the raid was politically motivated but no evidence has surfaced to confirm these claims.
"obvious political retribution by the outgoing administration against Polymarket for providing a market that correctly called the 2024 presidential election."
Polymarket launched in 2022, allowing users to bet on future events in a decentralized model attracting many crypto fans. In the same year, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) fined Polymarket $1.4 million for operating without proper registration, which led to Polymarket restricting U.S. users from using its services.
The FBIs raid is happening just as attitudes towards crypto regulations in the U.S. seem to be evolving with many expecting regulators to ease up on decentralized finance platforms like Polymarket.
However this latest raid means that even in a pro-crypto climate, some activities in DeFi are still under tight scrutiny (at least until Trump's administration takes over early next year).
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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Craig Asano
CEO and Executive Director
casano@ncfacanada.org
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