Karsten Wenzlaff, Advisor
August 26th, 2025
Karsten Wenzlaff is a Crowdfunding and Fintech Expert from Germany. He is Secretary-General of Digit[...]
Kraken IPO Reportedly Pushed to Q2 2027
September 3, 2026 | NCFA Market Interest | Digital Assets Blockchain And Tokenization, Capital Markets And Market Infrastructure, Wealth Investing And Trading
Payward Revenue Growth, IPO Delay and Its US$20B Valuation
Kraken parent Payward has reportedly delayed its U.S. IPO again, this time to the second quarter of 2027 at the earliest. The company confidentially filed a draft registration statement in November 2025, then put the listing on hold in March as crypto prices, trading volumes and valuations weakened. Payward hasn't confirmed the new 2027 timing, so it remains a reported window rather than a scheduled IPO date.
The delay comes at an interesting point for the business. Payward reported US$508 million in Q2 adjusted revenue, up 17% year over year. Funded accounts rose 42% to 6.6 million, while assets on the platform were US$40 billion. Adjusted EBITDA was much thinner at US$23 million, and total platform transaction volume fell 18% to US$310 billion as crypto spot trading cooled.
Those numbers give Payward a pretty clear reason to wait. Revenue and customers are growing, but the company is still proving how much earnings it can generate when trading activity softens. Going public now would put that question in front of investors every quarter.
Three Takeaways
1. Payward Is Less Dependent on Crypto Trading Than It Was
Kraken is still central to Payward, but the parent company now earns money from more than crypto spot trades. Asset based and other revenue accounted for 60% of adjusted revenue in Q2, up from 55% a year earlier. Payward also owns NinjaTrader, has added regulated U.S. derivatives through Bitnomial, and expanded into payments and card issuing through Reap.
Those businesses and revenue lines are important when trading slows. Payward's transaction volume fell 18% year over year, yet adjusted revenue still rose 17%. That doesn't make the company immune to crypto cycles, but it does show that the revenue mix is changing.
The acquisitions have also made Payward more complicated. Investors eventually have to decide whether futures, derivatives, payments, tokenized equities and infrastructure services add up to a stronger financial business or simply a larger collection of products. Staying private gives management more time to answer that with operating results.
2. A US$20 Billion Valuation Is a High Starting Point
Payward's recent transactions have valued its equity at about US$20 billion. The company also says it closed an US$800 million private funding round backed by investors including Citadel Securities, Jane Street, Oppenheimer and Tribe Capital.
The capital gives Payward capital and time, but the valuation also raises expectations for an eventual IPO. Public investors will want to see more than account growth. They will be looking at earnings, cash generation, trading volumes and whether the businesses Payward has bought can produce dependable revenue together.
The current quarter gives them both sides of the argument. A record 6.6 million funded accounts and 17% revenue growth are strong. US$23 million of adjusted EBITDA on US$508 million of adjusted revenue leaves much more room to prove that scale can turn into profit.
3. Tokenized Equities Are Becoming a Bigger Part of the Story
Payward's xStocks business is expanding beyond Kraken. xStocks distribution already reaches third party exchanges, wallets and blockchain applications, and Payward now says the products have passed US$40 billion in total volume, including more than US$20 billion settled onchain, across more than 200,000 holders.
The company took another step on September 1 when LSEG and Payward announced plans to explore tokenized UK public equities. Subject to regulatory approval, the London Stock Exchange intends to list xStocks on its planned LSE 24 venue in 2027.
If everything takes, that would put Payward beside a traditional exchange operator at the same time its own IPO waits. It is a good example of how far the company has travelled from being known mainly as a crypto exchange.
What Payward Needs to Show Before It Goes Public
The biggest question is earnings. Payward can keep adding accounts and products, but public investors will want to see whether those businesses can produce stronger profits when crypto trading is weak. Q2 showed that revenue can keep growing while transaction volume falls. The next step is showing that more of that revenue reaches the bottom line.
The acquisitions also have to work together. NinjaTrader brings traditional futures clients. Bitnomial adds regulated U.S. derivatives. Reap adds payments and card issuing. xStocks adds tokenized equities. Payward Services sells some of the same technology to banks, fintechs and other platforms. If customers start using several of those products together, the company can earn more from each relationship without depending as heavily on one trading market.
Payward Canada is registered as a restricted dealer, giving Kraken regulated access across Canada. xStocks are still unavailable to Canadian retail clients, so Payward's wider product expansion won't automatically arrive here. Canadian access will depend on what regulators approve and which products the company decides to bring north.
Payward has private capital, growing accounts and several businesses still being integrated. It doesn't have to accept a public valuation today if management believes another year of results can support a better one.
There is risk in waiting too. Crypto markets can weaken further, acquisitions can disappoint and the IPO market may not improve on Payward's schedule. A private US$20 billion valuation is only as strong as the earnings and growth the company can eventually show public investors.
See: Payward Adds Magic Labs Wallet Infrastructure
Kraken's IPO delay is therefore more than a calendar change. Payward is using the extra time to prove that it can grow into a larger financial platform, make its acquisitions pay off and earn enough outside crypto spot trading to support the valuation it wants when it finally lists.
Talking Point
Can Payward turn product growth into enough profit to support a US$20 billion public valuation?
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