Karsten Wenzlaff, Advisor
August 26th, 2025
February 20, 2026 | NCFA Market Activity | Policy and Regulation

On February 20 2026, the U.S. Supreme Court tariff ruling found President Trump overstepped authority when invoking emergency powers to impose tariffs, delivering a 6 to 3 decision that impacts trade policy expectations across North America.
The ruling removes one of the most aggressive tariff pathways by confirming that emergency powers cannot serve as a broad trade policy tool. However, other legal authorities remain available, meaning tariff risk does not disappear. Policymakers in Ottawa have already begun reviewing the decision’s implications as cross border supply chains remain exposed to policy shifts.
Canada has already experienced tariff volatility during earlier policy cycles. April 2025 tariff impacts on Canadian businesses highlights how sudden trade actions disrupted pricing, inventory planning, and SME financing decisions. Separate analysis of Canada’s tariff trade tensions and economic spillovers shows how cross border friction affects supply chains and investment confidence even when exemptions exist.
The latest ruling may remove one legal foundation for tariffs, but uncertainty remains as governments retain alternative tools. For Canadian exporters and importers, planning risk continues to dominate strategic decision making.
Recent trade data reflects tariff driven disruption across the Canada United States corridor. Statistics Canada indicators show softening export volumes and declining imports during escalation periods, spotlighting how policy uncertainty can translate into pricing pressure, inventory swings, and capital allocation challenges for businesses operating internationally.
If tariff policy remains unpredictable despite judicial limits, will exporters accelerate adoption of embedded treasury, automated FX, and digital trade finance tools as core resilience infrastructure?
Tariffs apply to goods, yet financial effects surface across payments, FX settlement, and liquidity management. Companies facing trade uncertainty typically increase hedging activity, rely more heavily on short term working capital, and demand faster reconciliation to manage cash exposure.
The Supreme Court decision restores an important legal boundary but doesn't end tariff uncertainty. Political pressure around industrial policy and trade protection remains elevated, suggesting continued volatility in cross border commerce.
For Canada’s fintech ecosystem, the news may strengthens the role of fintech platforms focused on cross border payments, FX automation, trade finance digitization, and SME liquidity tools. Firms that help businesses forecast cash flow, manage currency risk, and access capital faster become operational buffers against geopolitical volatility.
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The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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February 20, 2026 | Global Fintech Funding Research

Image: Freepik
On February 18, 2026, KPMG released Pulse of Fintech H2 2025 reporting global fintech investment reached $116B in 2025, up from $95.5B in 2024, while total deal count fell to 4,719, the lowest level in eight years. That combo tells the real story. More money shows up, but it doesn’t spread out. It stacks into fewer companies, fewer rounds, and more pressure on proof.
KPMG’s regional totals show how concentrated 2025 really was. The Americas pulled in $66.5B across 2,409 deals, with the United States at $56.6B across 1,977 deals. Canada sits inside the Americas corridor where the biggest pools of capital live, but that also means Canadian fintechs compete head to head with scaled US plays for the same investor attention.
The report shows Canadian venture capital fintech investment dropped from $9.9B in 2024 to $2.4B in 2025. A few large late stage rounds can dominate totals in a smaller market, so timing matters. Still, perception isn't great and Canada can’t rely on one breakout year to carry credibility and market confidence.
EMEA recorded $29.2B across 1,484 deals.
ASPAC came in at $9.3B across 763 deals.
Exit value more than doubled to $104.4B in 2025 from $46.8B in 2024, and exit deal count rose to 486 from 438. Stronger exits recycle capital and resets valuation benchmarks. It won’t lift every company but it can improve the mood for 2026 if momentum holds.
KPMG shows payments investment totals $19.2B in 2025 compared with $20.4B in 2024, while deal count falls from 655 to 542. The segment stayed large, but investors picked winners.
The report also flags continued payments traction in emerging markets in H2 2025, with South America standing out, supported by instant payments regimes such as Brazil’s Pix and Argentina’s Transferencias 3.
For Canadian payments firms, this isn’t about chasing every corridor. It’s about owning a clear wedge. If you can show strong fraud outcomes, fast settlement, clean reconciliation, and deep enterprise integration, you stand a chance in a market that rewards proof. If you can’t, you’ll get stuck in the crowded middle.
Digital assets and currencies investment rose from $11.2B across 1,584 deals in 2024 to $19.1B across 1,199 deals in 2025. Dollars r0se while deals fell, which usually means institutions backed fewer, larger infrastructure outcomes. KPMG points to stablecoins, corporate participation, and regulatory clarity as drivers going into 2026. KPMG also highlights growing interest in asset tokenization, including money market funds and real estate.
Canada’s opportunity sits in the infrastructure layer. Regulated custody, compliant settlement, strong controls, and enterprise tokenization tooling can travel across borders. Delays cost builders time, and time costs them market position and money.
Investment in AI driven fintech rose from $12.1B in 2024 to $16.8B in 2025, while deal count rose from 1,183 to 1,334. This is one of the few areas where both dollars and deal flow grew. Still, KPMG notes corporates often partner directly with large tech and AI providers, which raises the bar for specialist fintechs.
Canadian AI fintech teams can’t just say they use AI. They’ve got to show what it changes. Lower fraud losses, faster underwriting, better collections, fewer false positives, and lower service cost. If the numbers don’t move, the story won’t land with investors/buyers.
Insurtech rebounded from $2.9B in 2024 to $8.6B in 2025 while deal volume slipped to a 10 year low of 291 deals. KPMG linked much of the rebound to two outlier transactions, including the $2.6B acquisition of Next Insurance and the $2.5B take private of Sapiens International. That’s the lesson. A handful of transactions can drive the headline while most companies still fight for small checks.
Cybersecurity investment fell to $0.7B in 2025 from $0.9B in 2024, and deal count fell to 72 from 93. At the same time, rapid change driven by AI is increasing the focus on data security because automation depends on trusted data. Banks are consolidating data into protected lakes to support advanced automation and exploring new security models to reduce operating cost while improving outcomes.
This funding dip means larger buyers and platforms are taking more control. Canadian security focused fintechs need to sell enterprise outcomes that tie directly to risk reduction and operational cost.
Regtech investment dropped from $6.8B in 2024 to $4.9B in 2025 while deal count rose from 431 to 519. That pattern often means smaller rounds and cautious checks. The report also describes large banks investing more in internal AI driven compliance tools, which can reduce third party budgets for point solutions.
Canadian regtech firms should focus on selling what banks can’t build quickly, such as shared utilities, cross institution data networks, workflow embedded reporting, and tooling that reduces total compliance cost at scale.
Wealthtech investment fell to $1.4B in 2025 from $4.9B in 2024 while deal count stayed almost flat at 57 in 2025 versus 58 in 2024. KPMG highlights a Canadian bright spot in Wealthsimple who secured about US $538M (CAD $750M) in an equity funding round in H2 2025, and was just awarded CIX Summit's 2026 Innovator of the Year award. That shows global capital still backs Canadian category leaders when they reach scale and earn trust.
Canada faces the challenge of global capital concentrating while Canada’s totals reset from $9.9B to $2.4B. That creates a narrative risk if Canada doesn’t produce repeatable scale outcomes. The upside sits in the same places global capital is leaning into. Payments still attracts large dollars even as investors consolidate. Digital assets funding returns through stablecoins and tokenization infrastructure. AI fintech attracts both dollars and deal flow when it improves real operating results.
Canada needs to stay focused and practical. Build infrastructure grade companies, prove measurable outcomes early, and tie growth to regulated adoption. That’s where the bigger checks go when fewer companies are getting funded.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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February 20, 2026

Image: Freepik/DC Studio
Along with the rest of the world, Canada's citizens are facing new cybersecurity threats. This can make it hard to feel confident online. The real-world result can lead to financial loss, sensitive data being available to all, and a wider impact on the economy.
Here are some of the issues you could encounter, as well as measures to protect yourself.
One of the newest types of issues is AI-powered scams, or deepfakes. Criminals use AI to create personalized social engineering attacks. This could be in the form of fake videos of celebrities "talking" to you or as a romance scam.
Always verify the person you are speaking to independently, especially if they ask for money or passwords. Remember, celebrities will never do this, so it is an immediate red flag.
Check any videos carefully. If you watch, you will be able to spot weird movements that break the AI illusion, such as words not matching with mouth movements.
Malicious websites are selling compromised credentials such as passwords, user logins and personal information, which can lead to account takeovers.
Avoid your accounts being at risk by manually requesting removal from major broker sites. There are legitimate companies you can pay to do this, as it is time-consuming.
Try to practise good online hygiene. Make sure you have strong passwords that you change regularly. Do not open strange emails, as they could be links to harvest your data. Importantly, if you do think someone has information they shouldn’t, report it to the relevant body in Canada.
As a small to medium-sized business owner, your company is important to your personal life. You may notice that your business is targeted by scammers to gain access to secure networks. This puts any personal data in your care at risk.
Implement rigorous vendor risk management, as well as mapping the supply chain for any vulnerabilities. Make it part of your policy to conduct regular manual checks as well as employ software to monitor your network continuously.
Ransomware remains the top cybersecurity threat. It works by infiltrating your systems and network, rendering your data inaccessible. This enables fewer technical criminals to launch attacks against both individuals and businesses.
Make sure you have system backups offline and regularly check for and apply security patches to all systems. Consider using a VPN free to encrypt your data, making it harder for criminals to access and read.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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Feb 18, 2026 | NCFA Fintech Market Activity | Payments and Cybersecurity

Image: Freepik/viarprodesign
On February 18 2026, reports of fake Olympic merchandise stores harvesting payment data surfaced ahead of the Milan Cortina Winter Games, exposing how large scale sporting events create concentrated digital commerce risk for consumers and payment providers.
Security researchers said fraudulent online stores replicated official Olympic branding and targeted fans through paid social ads. These sites collected card details and personal information at checkout, highlighting how event driven ecommerce spikes attract coordinated fraud campaigns designed to exploit urgency and trust.
Olympic Games generate predictable surges in travel bookings, ticketing, merchandise sales, and hospitality spending. That volume creates a short window where fraud actors can test payment authentication controls, merchant verification processes, and consumer awareness at scale. For payment providers, the risk is less about individual transactions and more about reputational and chargeback exposure across thousands of purchases.
Major global events have historically accelerated payments adoption, from contactless transit trials to mobile wallet acceptance across venues. At the same time, they expose gaps in digital identity verification, merchant onboarding, and fraud detection workflows. This combination turns Olympic commerce into a real world stress test for payment security infrastructure.
Canadian cross-border spending behaviour consistently ranks high per Olympic visitor card spend, meaning domestic issuers and fintech wallet providers often absorb fraud impacts even when the transaction originates overseas. That creates incentives for stronger real time transaction monitoring, merchant intelligence, and consumer education before peak travel windows.
Large scale events compress digital commerce into short intense spending cycles. When Olympic demand meets fraudulent storefronts and social commerce ads, which payment safeguards will prove most resilient for consumers, merchants, and fintech platforms?
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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Feb 18, 2026 | NCFA Fintech Market Activity | Payments and Remittances

Image: Freepik
On February 17 2026, OwlTing announced the launch of OwlPay Cash targeting the $230B US outbound remittance market, introducing a retail remittance app built on Visa Direct rails and supported by US money transmitter licences across 40 states.
OwlPay Cash enables local currency payouts directly into eligible bank accounts and launches with five remittance corridors Mexico, India, Colombia, Peru, and Argentina, with plans to expand to 26 regions, including Canada. Cross River Bank is mentioned as a US settlement partner.
Visa Direct integration allows push to account transfers that can settle near real time where supported. OwlTing positions the product around fee transparency, removal of monthly charges, and improved delivery speed compared to traditional SWIFT based transfers.
This puts OwlTing into a competitive field shaped by digital remittance leaders such as Wise and Remitly, both of which emphasize transparent FX pricing and fast digital delivery. Wise promotes mid market exchange rates and variable delivery speeds depending on funding method and corridor. Remitly offers tiered speed options across bank deposit and cash pickup channels. OwlTing’s differentiation rests on Visa Direct rails and corridor focus, but price execution and delivery reliability will determine competitiveness.
For Canadian fintechs, the implications are direct. Canada consistently ranks among the world’s larger remittance markets, with strong outbound flows to Asia, Latin America, and Africa. If US based apps normalize faster push payments and cleaner fee disclosure, Canadian providers will face rising consumer expectations. Platforms serving newcomers, gig workers, and cross-border small businesses will need to match or exceed that standard.
Darren Wang, Founder and CEO, OwlTing Group:
“For too long, cross-border payments have burdened U.S. immigrants and freelancers supporting families abroad with high costs and slow speed.”
If Visa Direct powered remittance apps scale in the United States, will Canadian fintechs compete on speed, FX pricing transparency, corridor specialization, or integrated financial services?
Remittance economics are tightening. Card network push rails reduce settlement friction. Regulated banking partners add compliance credibility. Canadian operators that rely on slower correspondent banking flows may face margin compression if similar models expand north or partner locally.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer to peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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