Karsten Wenzlaff, Advisor
August 26th, 2025
July 29, 2026 | NCFA Insight | Artificial Intelligence And Data, Public Sector Policy And Industrial Strategy, Banking And Credit

On July 29, 2026, the Bank of Canada released a working staff paper called Monetary Policy in an AI Driven Two Speed Economy raising a difficult possibility. AI could reduce jobs in some industries while the national inflation rate still looks calm.
The authors test this idea using a model with two industries. One adopts AI and needs fewer workers. The other continues operating near its limit. Lower interest rates can encourage spending and support jobs, but the same rate applies across the economy. A cut that helps the first industry can push up prices in the second.
The paper compares two hypothetical cases that produce the same increase in output:
These figures aren't forecasts or advice for the Bank of Canada. They show that replacing work creates a much larger employment challenge for monetary policy than helping workers become more productive.
The authors put the problem plainly:
"The apparent stability is cancellation, not balance."
The paper separates two ways AI can affect work. The first is augmentation, where AI helps someone complete an existing job faster. The second is automation, where software or machines take over tasks that people were paid to perform. Companies will often use both in the same business, but the difference is important.
Even the first case reduces the need for labour in the model's short run. That may sound backwards. If employees become more productive, a company can produce the same amount with fewer hours. Prices and customer demand do not adjust immediately, so new orders do not replace those hours quickly enough. Automation has a larger effect because some tasks leave the workforce altogether.
To restore employment, the model lowers rates enough to increase spending. The larger cut needed after automation also sends more demand into the industry already running near capacity, where businesses respond by raising prices rather than producing much more. That is why the 3.34 point result is more than a larger version of the 1.48 point result. It carries a greater inflation cost.
For founders and investors, two AI projects can produce the same increase in output and still create very different businesses. A company that helps employees handle more customers may increase sales, hiring and margins together. A company that removes whole tasks may improve margins while cutting payroll and reducing demand for certain skills. The headline productivity number doesn't tell you which one is happening.
When AI helps workers produce more, costs and prices can fall in the industries using it. A rate cut may then raise spending and prices elsewhere. The national average can look calm because the price changes cancel each other, even while AI exposed industries are losing jobs.
Automation produces a different result. The larger rate cut raises prices in both industries, so headline inflation reveals more of the strain. The comparison is that the same increase in output can create a different employment and inflation problem depending on whether AI supports paid work or replaces it.
Canada won't experience this evenly. Canada's AI productivity test found that adoption is already much higher in finance and insurance than across the business economy as a whole. Employment, wages, prices and AI use by industry may therefore tell policy makers more than one national average.
The model improves when workers can reach industries that still need them. With easier job transfers, the required rate cut falls from 1.48 to 0.44 percentage points when AI helps workers. It falls from 3.34 to 1.05 points when AI replaces tasks. Retraining, recognized credentials, relocation support and faster hiring between industries can reduce the pressure placed on interest rates.
Investment can produce the opposite result. When money flows quickly into companies automating work, financing and equipment can become more expensive for other businesses. In that model scenario, the required rate cut rises from 3.34 to 4.09 percentage points. An AI investment boom can strengthen the companies buying the technology while adding costs for businesses competing for capital, infrastructure and skilled operators.
Interest rate cuts can also preserve jobs that automation has removed from a company's long term staffing needs. That may delay workers from reaching employers that still need them. Lower rates can buy time, but they can't retrain a worker, recognize a credential or help someone qualify for a growing occupation.
That changes what leaders should measure. Operators need to separate productivity gained through higher sales from savings gained through fewer paid hours. Investors should distinguish growth led margins from payroll led margins. Policy makers need industry level data on AI use, job openings, wages and prices early enough to see whether workers are reaching expanding sectors.
When AI raises output, how much comes from serving more customers and how much comes from removing paid work?
Continue through the Canadian policy, business and financial developments most closely connected to AI productivity and employment.
This article interprets independent Bank of Canada staff research. The paper uses hypothetical model scenarios. It is not an economic forecast, interest rate recommendation or Governing Council position. Information is current to July 29, 2026 and is provided for informational purposes only.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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July 29, 2026 | NCFA Market Activity | Artificial Intelligence And Data, Risk Compliance And Regtech, Competition And Market Structure

On July 29, 2026, KPMG Canada and OpenAI formed a Canadian alliance covering AI implementation, governance and cybersecurity. KPMG Canada also became an OpenAI Elite Partner, the highest level in OpenAI's partner network.
There's already a working base. More than 3,000 KPMG Canada employees have access to ChatGPT Enterprise. KPMG Canada says its Deal Advisory teams use Codex, OpenAI's coding agent, to help review thousands of pages of transaction documents and financial data, pull out relevant information and prepare analysis for professional review. KPMG Canada is also joining OpenAI's Daybreak Cyber Partner Program.
The alliance gives OpenAI a large Canadian delivery partner and gives KPMG closer access to the models, tools and technical support its clients are buying. The business opportunity lies in turning those tools into secure workflows that employees can use every day.
Ksenia Chumachenko, Head of Global Alliances at OpenAI:
"Canadian organizations are ready to move beyond pilots and put AI into production at enterprise scale."
Buying access to an AI model is straightforward. Connecting it to company data, permissions and existing software takes far more work. A bank reviewing customer files, a deal team reading contracts or a government department processing records also needs security controls, human approvals and a reliable account of what the system did. That's the work KPMG Canada wants to sell.
Its internal Codex workflow gives the firm a concrete implementation example, with experienced professionals still responsible for reviewing the output. KPMG Canada hasn't reported the time saved, accuracy rate, transaction volume or financial return. Those numbers will determine whether the partnership's service becomes repeatable and scales or remains an internal productivity case.
KPMG has used this delivery model before. Its work with CapIntel combines wealth technology with integration and change management for financial institutions. The OpenAI alliance applies the same commercial logic across a much larger range of business processes.
Cybersecurity adds another line of work. Through Daybreak, KPMG Canada plans to combine OpenAI models with its security and risk services. The announcement doesn't name a Canadian customer, deployed cyber product or launch date. Buyers should expect those details before treating the program as a proven commercial offer.
The Canadian agreement follows a U.S. alliance announced on July 21. The U.S. program includes OpenAI engineer certification, public sector software and work inside OpenAI's own supply chain systems. The Canadian announcement doesn't confirm that every U.S. program will be available here. The commercial aim is to get from a product demonstration to a paid deployment faster.
KPMG is keeping its model options open. A May 2026 Anthropic agreement is bringing Claude into KPMG's global workforce and client platforms. Canadian buyers will need to know why KPMG recommends one model over another and whether its commercial relationships influence that advice.
Canadian business use of AI rose from about 3% in 2022 to roughly 12% in 2025, while finance and insurance exceeded 30%. The Canadian adoption data points to a larger implementation market, with firms competing to connect AI to important work without losing control of customer data, security or accountability.
KPMG Canada has scale, technical access and more than 10,000 employees across over 40 locations. However, the alliance still has to prove that the finished systems are worth buying. Clients will want shorter processing times, lower operating costs, fewer errors or better service. They will also need clear rules for data access, human approval and responsibility when an agent produces a weak answer or takes the wrong action.
Specialist AI integrators and other large consulting firms are competing for the same work. Investors should watch for named production clients, repeat deployments, contract expansion and measured operating results. Partner status may open the door.
Which Canadian workflow will give KPMG and OpenAI their first measurable client result?
Follow the Canadian delivery, governance and security work most closely connected to this alliance.
Partner status and internal use examples do not establish client performance or future revenue. Undisclosed commercial terms and unreported operating results are identified as such. Information may change after the publication date. This content is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or legal advice.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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July 27, 2026

Ask most fintech watchers what crowdfunding funds and you'll hear about startups, real estate, or the odd gadget. Rarely do card games come up first — yet tabletop projects have quietly become one of the strongest categories on reward-based platforms, and the numbers back that up. For anyone tracking alternative finance in Canada, it's a category worth a second look.
Reward-based crowdfunding was built for exactly this kind of project: a creator with a finished prototype, a passionate niche audience, and a product people can pre-order rather than just invest in blindly. Card and board games fit that mould almost perfectly. Backers aren't betting on a business plan — they're paying upfront for a physical thing they'll actually get to play.
Kickstarter's own 2024 year-in-review called it the biggest year for games in the platform's fifteen-year history, with $270 million pledged across games projects and 83% of that money going specifically to tabletop titles. That's not a niche curiosity anymore — it's a real slice of the alternative finance economy, funded entirely by individual backers rather than venture capital.
Canadian creators have been active participants in this shift for years, not just recent arrivals. Research on nearly 10,000 Canadian Kickstarter campaigns found that roughly a third succeeded — a reminder that reward-based crowdfunding, while accessible, still rewards a clear pitch and a product people genuinely want.
For creators, the appeal is obvious: no equity given up, direct validation from a real audience, and often enough working capital to cover a full print run. For backers, it's a chance to shape what gets made and get a game months before retail — assuming the campaign delivers, which isn't guaranteed.
Not every campaign is worth a pledge. Look for creators with a track record, a playable prototype (not just concept art), and a realistic production timeline. Comment sections and creator updates on past projects are usually more honest than the campaign page itself.
Whether or not you're backing the next big campaign, there's no shortage of ways to enjoy the category right now. Sites built around fun card games are a good starting point if you want to try something new without waiting for a shipping date.
It can be, but it favours creators who already have a working prototype and an existing audience. All-or-nothing platforms like Kickstarter mean the project only gets funded — and the creator only gets paid — if the goal is hit.
They combine a tangible reward, a built-in enthusiast community, and relatively low production complexity compared to, say, hardware or video games, which makes them easier to pitch and deliver.
No. Reward-based crowdfunding gives backers the product itself, not equity or royalties — that distinguishes it from equity crowdfunding, which is regulated differently in Canada.
Delayed or cancelled delivery. Even well-intentioned creators can underestimate manufacturing and shipping timelines, so backing is closer to a pre-order with extra risk than a guaranteed purchase.
Building an audience before launch, running a modest and achievable funding goal, and having a genuinely playtested prototype all correlate strongly with success, based on patterns across thousands of past Canadian campaigns.
Card games aren't a footnote in the crowdfunding world — they're one of its steadiest performers, and Canadian creators have a real track record within that space. For anyone watching where alternative finance is headed next, it's a category that keeps proving there's an audience willing to fund what they genuinely want to play.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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July 27, 2026 | NCFA Insight | Digital Assets Blockchain And Tokenization, Competition And Market Structure, Risk Compliance And Regtech

On July 26, 2026, BitMart began winding down its trading platform. Three days earlier, BitMEX announced its closure after eleven years. AscendEX had already stopped operating on July 1.
Three exchange closures announced or underway inside one month deserve more than a roundup. They raise a harder question around the 2026 bear market. Is it breaking the centralized exchange model, or exposing platforms that had already lost the trading activity, regulatory access or financial capacity needed to keep going?
The public record doesn't support one cause for all three.
The bear market is real, and it strikes at the first line of exchange economics. Trading fees rise and fall with activity. CoinGecko found that spot volume across the ten largest centralized exchanges fell 39.1% in the first quarter of 2026. Its second quarter report recorded a further 27.9% decline to US$1.95 trillion. Perpetual futures held up better, although volume still fell 10% from the prior quarter.
The numbers explain the pressure. They don't explain which exchange closes. The declines among leading spot venues ranged from 5% to 56% in the second quarter, while Binance increased its share to 38.7%. A weak market can therefore strengthen the largest venue at the same time it makes a smaller one uneconomic.
BitMEX is the clearest example. It created the perpetual swap product that became central to crypto trading, yet product invention didn't preserve its liquidity. Kaiko data reported by Reuters put BitMEX below 0.01% market share with roughly US$400,000 in daily volume when the closure was announced. Meanwhile, the ten largest centralized perpetual exchanges still processed US$12.7 trillion in the second quarter. The market BitMEX helped create remained huge, while its position inside it had collapsed.
Liquidity has its own impact. Traders prefer deeper order books, tighter spreads and reliable execution. Market makers follow trading activity, then their capital improves execution and attracts more traders. Once that cycle runs in reverse, adding another token, staking programme or interface may not repair the core business.
Regulation is decisive when it controls market access. Under the MiCA transition rule, a crypto asset service provider that wasn't authorized by the applicable deadline had to stop serving the market until it received authorization. That deadline arrived on July 1, the same day AscendEX ceased operations.
Authorization also carries an operating load. MiCA requires prudential safeguards, governance, internal controls, business continuity planning and security documentation. ESMA's current custody review reaches into key storage, transaction controls, incident response and service provider dependencies. The cost continues after authorization because firms need people, systems and capital while trading revenue can fall quickly.
Regulation is therefore a filter and one part of the explanation. It directly affected AscendEX. Neither BitMEX nor BitMart identified licensing as the cause of its closure. Tighter rules can force a decision or raise the cost of staying open, while weak economics determine how much room a platform has to absorb that cost. NCFA's comparison of MiCA and UK rules shows why regulation can favour companies with stronger governance and compliance infrastructure.
Onchain exchanges are also taking a larger piece of derivatives trading. CoinGecko's perpetuals data shows that the top decentralized venues averaged US$611.6 billion in monthly volume during the first four months of 2026, up from US$531.7 billion in 2025. Their share of open interest reached 13.5% by the end of April, compared with 3.6% at the start of 2025.
Still, centralized exchanges held 86.5% of open interest. Onchain competition is meaningful, especially for active derivatives traders, but it hasn't replaced the centralized model. It has given traders another place to go just as a falling market makes every lost account more expensive.
The closing notices reveal almost as much through their differences as their similarities.
Customers need clear answers about whether their assets are held separately, whether reserves cover liabilities, how open positions will be priced, how quickly withdrawals will be processed and which legal entity is responsible for returning their money.
For founders, exchange businesses needs deep liquidity, active traders who keep coming back, trusted custody and permission to operate in every market it serves. New products and jurisdictions can bring in more revenue, but they also add capital, compliance, security and support costs. Those costs don't disappear when trading activity goes somewhere else.
Investors should watch market share, order book depth, active trader retention, withdrawal performance, reserve and liability reporting, market maker concentration and the status of key licences. Historical user totals can hide a much weaker current business. BitMEX's decline from an industry pioneer to less than 0.01% market share shows just how far activity can fall before an established name finally exits.
Canada uses a different regulatory framework, but the same operating questions apply. Canadian platform rules cover registration, custody and delivery requirements, while Kraken's registration shows the conditions attached to serving Canadian customers. Registration can strengthen oversight and make the rules clearer. It can't remove market, custody or company risk.
So the answer goes beyond “bear market plus regulatory pressure.” Lower prices and weaker trading cut fee revenue. Licensing determines where an exchange can legally operate. Liquidity keeps concentrating around fewer large venues, while onchain platforms compete for active traders. Custody, compliance and security remain expensive throughout. If an exchange loses trading activity, market access or customer confidence, it can run out of room even when the global crypto market remains very large.
When trading volume falls, which exchange numbers tell you whether a platform is temporarily quieter or losing the liquidity, trust and regulatory access it needs to remain viable?
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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