Karsten Wenzlaff, Advisor
August 26th, 2025
Canada | January 20, 2026

Image: PM Mark Carney, WEF 2026 at Davos
Some speeches try to calm markets. Others try to project confidence. Prime Minister Mark Carney’s special address at the 2026 World Economic Form in Davos does neither. Instead, it speaks plainly about where the world actually is, and Canada's place in it.
Carney doesn't describe today’s global system as temporarily strained or waiting to reset. He treats fragmentation, pressure, and mistrust as conditions we are already living with. Economic openness no longer guarantees cooperation. Integration no longer guarantees stability. For countries like Canada, assuming otherwise is not optimism. It is exposure.
That is why this speech lands with unusual weight. It is not aspirational. It is not dressed up. It is grounded in reality.
A central message running through the address is uncomfortable but clear. The idea that a neutral, rules based international order reliably protects middle powers no longer holds in practice.
Trade becomes leverage. Markets get weaponized. Finance turns into a geopolitical arena. In that environment, scale matters, and countries without it cannot rely on habit or goodwill.
Carney does not try to soften this. He acknowledges directly that economic integration itself can be used as a tool of pressure. That recognition marks a break from the language Canada has leaned on for decades.
For Canadians, the message touches jobs, prices, housing, supply chains, energy, investment, and long term growth. For fintechs and financial institutions, it goes even deeper.
Payments infrastructure, capital markets, data flows, compliance frameworks, and cross border operations all depend on trust based systems. When those systems weaken, risk shows up in cost, friction, and constraint.
Ignoring geopolitics does not insulate innovation. It makes it more fragile.
Another core message in PM Carney's address is that in a fractured world, drift is a decision. It means allowing outcomes to be set by external forces through inaction, habit, or default choices rather than deliberate strategy.
Canada cannot assume that openness will persist by default or that others will protect shared systems out of principle. It has to participate actively in building coalitions, standards, and partnerships that still value predictability and accountability.
That kind of leadership is less comforting than the past. It requires clarity, coordination, and follow through rather than rhetoric.
The delivery matters. Carney speaks without inflated promises. No slogans. Just a steady assessment of risk, responsibility, and constraint shaped by experience inside global financial systems.
PM Mark Carney's speech is candid acknowledgement of a new phase of Canadian engagement with the world. One that names limits, acknowledges pressure, and treats resilience as something that must be designed rather than assumed. That is the work ahead, to modernize Canada’s financial systems and infrastructure with purpose and impact, at scale and with urgency.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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January 20, 2026
Want to Accept Credit Cards Without Getting Rejected?
Needless to say, every business needs payment processing to function.
But there's a problem…
Not every business gets approved for a merchant account. Some businesses are immediately deemed "high-risk".
These companies face large obstacles when applying for merchant accounts.
The good news?
Learning how risk classification works will help any business understand how payment processing truly works.
Let's take a look!
Processors and banks evaluate every business before approving them.
They want answers to one question…
How likely is this business to cost me money?
With this question in mind, banks assign your business a risk level. Every business falls into one of three categories.
Your risk level determines your processing rates, contract terms, and if you get approved at all.
Specialised high-risk business payment solutions have become necessary for certain industries. Finding the right high-risk merchant account provider can mean the difference between growing your business or getting denied payment processing completely.
But here's the kicker…
The fintech industry is huge.
According to Research and Markets, fintech services reached $1.86 trillion in 2025 and will grow to $2.93 trillion by 2030. The report estimates that fintechs (segmented by payment methods such as card) continues to benefit from the amount of consumers and businesses who need payment processing.
Millions of new businesses apply for merchant accounts every year. That means more businesses than ever need specialized high-risk processing solutions.
Alright, let's dig in…
Payment processors review businesses based on several different criteria. Below are the most important factors.
Bear with us…
Industry: Some industries are immediately considered high risk. Gambling, CBD, nutraceuticals, adult, travel, and subscription based businesses often get flagged.
Chargebacks: High chargeback amounts and ratios indicate a problem. When customers dispute charges frequently, processors take notice.
Credit History: Processor's will run your business and personal credit when approving your account. Poor credit = red flag.
Transaction Style: Riskier transaction styles include high ticket sales, card not present, and international businesses.
Age of Business: New businesses with little to no processing history are scrutinized more.
Did you know…
According to Mastercard's chargeback report, chargeback volume worldwide is projected to increase 24% from 2025-2028. High-risk industries with the highest average chargeback amounts are gambling ($143) and crypto currency exchanges ($124).
This is why your risk level matters.
Not all payment processors work with all business types.
When searching for a processor, look for ones that work with your specific industry.
Below are 4 of the top providers:
Compare all 4 Providers
| Provider | Approval Speed | Monthly Payout | Payment Methods | Once Offered |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2Accept | Fast | Instant | All Major Cards | Yes |
| PaymentCloud | Varies | Daily | All Major Cards | Yes |
| Durango | Varies | Weekly/Ach | All Major Cards | Limited |
| Host | Fast | Instant | All Major Cards | No |
Our money is on 2Accept.
2Accept specializes in working with high-risk merchants. While other payment processors turn away high-risk businesses, 2Accept focuses solely on these types of businesses.
Pros:
Need help with Payment Processing?
Contact our experts at (800) 220 – 4619 to see if 2Accept is right for you!
PaymentCloud was created with high-risk merchants in mind. Whether you're listed on MATCH or not, PaymentCloud can help your business. PaymentCloud is proud to offer 24/7 customer support.
Durango is one of the oldest providers catering to high-risk businesses. Durango loves to work with businesses rejected by other payment processors.
Host Merchant Services offers high-risk processing for numerous industries. From nutraceuticals to CBD, Host has got you covered.
Here's a little secret that business owners might not know.
High-risk merchant accounts cost more.
The alternative would be no processing at all.
Here are common fees associated with high-risk accounts.
| Fee | Rates |
|---|---|
| Processing Fees | 3% – 10% Per Transaction |
| Rolling Reserve | 5% – 10% of Monthly Processing Volume |
| Chargeback Fees | $20 – $100 Per Dispute |
| Contract Terms | Stricter / Varied |
Regular processing accounts pay between 1.5% to 3%. When doing the math, those few extra percentage points really add up.
It's worth paying more for a seamless payment solution.
Here are some common ways businesses can combat high risk.
Businesses don't want to be high-risk. These steps help reduce chargebacks and promote healthy processing habits.
When review business applications, banks look for common traits.
If your business meets the criteria, you're likely to receive low-risk status.
Below are some things that banks love to see.
Payment card networks have set a definitive standard. Businesses that exceed a 1% chargeback-to-transaction ratio are automatically classified as high risk. Both Visa and Mastercard require merchants to be under 1%, or ideally .5%.
If your business is deemed high-risk, don't fret.
Businesses can lower their risk levels by following some simple steps.
The key is to build a clean history over time.
Now you know how merchant account risk classification works.
The entire classification system is set in place to prevent risk to processors and the payment industry as a whole.
Here are some key takeaways:
The fintech industry is constantly changing and growing.
As more businesses begin to accept payments, high-risk merchants will have more processing options than ever.
Don't let being high-risk scare you away from growing your business.
There's plenty of payment processing companies that work with high-risk all the time.
Find the right payment processing partner and watch your business thrive.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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RPAA | January 20, 2026

Image: Freepik
On September 8 2025, the Bank of Canada published a letter to PSPs on a trust tax issue, that said safeguarding end-user funds in “trust” accounts, a requirement under the Retail Payment Activities Act (RPAA), could create unintended tax obligations under the Income Tax Act. The impact threatened to burden PSPs with additional tax filings and compliance complexity for simply holding user funds.
For fintech founders, investors and advisors building or backing PSPs, safeguarding end-user funds is a core requirement of the RPAA. If standard trust arrangements triggered full trust tax treatment, PSPs could end up doing extra tax filings simply to meet payments rules. That would force teams to spend time and money on tax compliance instead of building products, serving customers, or growing the business.
On December 23 2025, the Bank of Canada issued an update that confirmed the Department of Finance proposed changes to the Income Tax Act so that RPAA safeguarding trust arrangements would not be treated as formal trusts for tax purposes. Instead, qualifying arrangements would be treated as deemed loans from end users to PSPs, removing the risk that PSPs would face extra trust tax filings requirements.
The change is intended to apply retroactively to September 8 2025, subject to legislative approval.
The lesson here is that staying engaged with regulators, raising issues early, and participating in public comment or industry groups can help outcomes that materially affect operations and capital efficiency.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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AI | January 20, 2026

Image: Freepik
On January 19, 2026 via Reuters, OpenAI's Chief Financial Officer Sarah Friar confirmed that its annualized revenue exceeded US $20B in 2025. Reported figures show revenue was $6B in 2024 and about $2B in 2023, meaning revenue more than tripled this past year alone, mirroring the scale of paid demand for OpenAI services.
Annualized revenue describes what a company would generate over twelve months if current sales levels stayed constant, and is a widely measure to assess momentum in subscription and usage-based businesses. For OpenAI, the number reflects sustained growth in paid ChatGPT subscriptions, enterprise contracts, and API usage across multiple industries.
OpenAI’s revenue growth closely follows its infrastructure expansion. Reuters reports that the company increased its computing capacity from roughly 0.6 gigawatts in 2024 to about 1.9 gigawatts in 2025, nearly tripling in one year. That level of scale requires access to capital, power, chips, and long-term supplier agreements that only a handful of firms can sustain.
As scale increases, it begins to set the rules of the market.
Infrastructure capacity now determines who can offer AI services at competitive prices, who can guarantee availability during peak demand, and who can absorb cost volatility without disrupting customers. Performance expectations increasingly reflect what the largest providers can deliver, not what smaller firms can economically support.
This trajectory does not mean startups disappear overnight, but it raises the survival bar.
Startups that rely on thin margins face the earliest pressure. This includes companies that resell model access, wrap generic AI features into existing products, or compete primarily on convenience rather than control over data or distribution. As OpenAI captures more value directly through subscriptions, enterprise contracts, and advertising, profit margins for intermediaries narrows.
The pressure shows up first in functions that scale with usage rather than revenue, such as customer support automation, fraud monitoring, transaction screening, onboarding workflows, and real time decisioning. In these areas, AI costs rise with activity even when revenue does not.
By contrast, startups with proprietary data, embedded customer relationships, or regulated market access retain leverage. The dividing line is no longer access to AI. It is control over economics, customers, and accountability.
AI pricing is typically usage based. As fintech products scale, AI expenses scale with them, often faster and with less predictability than revenue. This creates margin pressure, particularly in Canada where fintechs operate with smaller domestic scale, tighter capital markets, and higher regulatory expectations. What appears manageable during early deployment can become material at scale.
In regulated financial services, vendor dependency becomes operational risk, and operational risk becomes regulatory exposure.
There is also a governance reality. When AI influences credit decisions, disclosures, complaints, or customer outcomes, fintechs remain fully accountable even when they do not control model behaviour, pricing changes, or service limits.
Pricing power in AI is concentrating upstream. Intelligence is becoming a metered utility controlled by a small number of providers with the capital and infrastructure to set terms. Large global firms can absorb cost swings, negotiate volume discounts, and manage vendor risk across portfolios. Many Canadian fintechs cannot.
The strategic question is not whether to use AI, but how tightly to bind core operations to any single supplier. Fintechs that preserve provider flexibility, constrain AI use to high impact functions, and tie spending directly to measurable outcomes retain an advantage (for now). Those that treat AI as an invisible background feature risk discovering too late that it has become a fixed dependency with variable costs.
OpenAI’s $20B annualized revenue growth is about market structure limits. Scale now determines who sets prices, who absorbs volatility, and who carries risk. For Canadian fintech, AI decisions now belong alongside cloud infrastructure, payments rails, and core systems as board level considerations.The firms that stay competitive will be the ones that manage AI like any other core cost, with clear oversight and control.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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Davos | Jan 19, 2026

Image: Current Global Risk Landscape (WEF 2026 Global Risks Report)
From January 19 to 23, 2026, global leaders are gathering in Davos, Klosters for the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2026, one of the few global forums where heads of government, central bankers, investors, and business leaders meet in the same place to discuss economic risk, trade, and long term stability. This year’s theme is "A Spirit of Dialogue", to address growing concerns that cooperation is weakening as global risks are becoming harder to manage.
Ahead of Davos, the World Economic Forum released its Global Risks Report 2026 (102 page PDF) based on its Global Risks Perception Survey of more than 1,300 experts across government, business, academia, and civil society worldwide. Participants were asked to rank the risks most likely to trigger a global crisis in the short term, as well as the most severe risks over longer time horizons.
The report identifies "geoeconomic confrontation" as the top risk most likely to trigger a material global crisis in 2026. 18% of survey respondents ranked it first, moving it ahead of state based armed conflict for the first time. The report defines geoeconomic confrontation as the deliberate use of tariffs, sanctions, export controls, investment screening, subsidies, capital restrictions, and technology controls to advance national interests, rather than as temporary trade friction.
The report frames the current period as an age of competition, where economic tools increasingly replace diplomacy. It also shows that confidence in multilateral systems is weakening.
68% of respondents expecting a more fragmented global order, where countries manage multiple regional relationships instead of relying on a single rules based framework.
Economic risks remain elevated. An economic downturn ranks 6th among global risks for 2026, reflecting concerns tied to trade fragmentation, high debt levels, and asset price vulnerability. The report doesn't predict a specific recession size, but it highlights how shocks can spread faster in a highly interconnected financial system.
The report also quantifies risks tied to trust and technology. Misinformation and disinformation rank 5th, driven by faster and more scalable digital amplification. Cyber insecurity ranks 9th, while adverse outcomes of AI technologies enter the top ten for the first time, reflecting concerns around misuse, governance gaps, and longer term economic and security effects. Importantly, the report shows AI related risks increasing significantly over the ten year horizon, as leaders view AI as a structural risk that compounds other pressures rather than a short term crisis trigger.
Canada doesn't set global rules on its own, but it is deeply affected by how those rules evolve. The Global Risks Report makes clear that mid sized, trade dependent economies face higher exposure when economic pressure becomes a primary policy tool.
Market behaviour already price this sensitivity. Canadian equity markets have shown quick reactions to renewed tariff threats and trade policy signals, reinforcing how closely capital pricing tracks global risk narratives. This volatility isn't driven by domestic structural gaps alone, but by uncertainty in the global trade environment.
In Canada, business leaders are already feeling the pressures Davos is wrestling with. In the Bank of Canada Business Outlook Survey for the fourth quarter of 2025, firms report subdued sentiment and weak recent sales growth, and many point to trade tension and uncertainty as key reasons they stay cautious on hiring and investment. Some exporters also report that they are working harder to sell into markets outside the United States, which fits a broader push toward diversification as global risk rises.
For Canada, the forum offers a place to engage with partners, investors, and institutions that are reassessing risk, diversification, and resilience at the same time. In a world where geoeconomic confrontation leads the risk rankings, visibility and credibility matter.
The risks highlighted in the Global Risks Report translate into practical considerations for Canada’s fintech and innovation ecosystem.
First, trade concentration is a measurable risk.
When tariffs, sanctions, and investment controls rise, companies with narrow market exposure face greater volatility. Diversifying customers, partners, and capital sources becomes a defensive strategy, not just a growth choice.
Second, capital follows predictability. The report links economic downturn risk to policy uncertainty and fragmented governance. Investors respond by adjusting risk premiums, which affects valuations, fundraising timelines, and exit options, particularly for scale ups.
Third, technology risk is contextual, meaning technology itself isn't the main risk. The risk comes from how it is used, governed, and trusted, especially when economic and political tensions are already high. The report doesn't treat AI or digital systems as isolated threats. Instead, it positions them as amplifiers that can worsen misinformation, cyber exposure, and economic disruption if governance and trust break down. For Canadian firms competing globally, credibility around security, governance, and responsible deployment increasingly affects whether they win customers and attract capital.
Trade, finance, and technology are now at the center of geopolitical strategy, with direct consequences for businesses and investors. Canada’s fintech ecosystem should plan for sustained volatility. Growth strategies built on stable trade assumptions face higher risk. Founders and investors who understand these quantified global risks will be better positioned to manage exposure, attract capital, and compete responsibly in a more uncertain global economy.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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Fintech in Canada | January 15, 2026

In January 2026, Portage confirmed it will manage select Point72 Ventures fintech assets through a US$280 million continuation vehicle and will become the general partner of the fund. This is Portage’s first large scale move into secondaries and supports how private fintech ownership increasingly changes hands without relying on IPOs or acquisitions.
The vehicle holds stakes in roughly 40 private fintech companies, many of which are described as relatively mature and closer to potential exits. The fund is backed by Goldman Sachs Asset Management alongside Portage and additional investors, and includes a separate services arrangement under which Portage will oversee other Point72 fintech assets not transferred into the continuation vehicle.
As part of the deal, Tripp Shriner (previously a partner at Point72 Ventures) joins Portage as a general partner to help lead portfolio oversight and integration, while Point72 retains a 40% ownership stake in the continuation vehicle. The retained stake signals that the deal is about portfolio rebalancing and not an exit from fintech exposure.
Adam Felesky, Portage Chief Executive said:
“This transaction underscores our confidence in the strength of this fintech portfolio and the potential synergies with Portage’s existing investments. Moreover, we think our value creation expertise will be a huge asset to these fintech companies as they continue to grow.”
Portage operates as a global fintech focused investment platform with more than US$5.7 billion in assets under management across over 115 portfolio companies, investing across venture, growth, and later stage financial services businesses spanning Canada, the United States, Europe, and the Middle East.
One of Portage’s most prominent Canadian fintech investments is Wealthsimple, which reached a US$10 billion valuation following a US$750 million equity and secondary financing round, detailed in NCFA’s coverage of Wealthsimple’s recent growth financing. That round reinforced how large private fintechs increasingly use secondary liquidity instead of rushing toward public listings. Portage has backed several other Canadian fintechs such as KOHO, extending its involvement beyond wealth management into consumer focused financial services.
Secondaries allow existing ownership stakes in private companies or funds to change hands without new shares being issued (see overview of private equity secondary markets). They typically take two forms. LP led secondaries involve investors selling their fund interests to manage exposure or free capital. GP led transactions, often structured as continuation vehicles, involve moving specific portfolio assets into a new fund so they can be held longer under revised terms.
Continuation vehicles have become more common as fintech companies stay private longer and early investors seek liquidity without forcing exits. In a GP led structure, the portfolio remains intact, management continuity is preserved, and new investors can enter at a later stage while existing investors choose whether to roll their stakes forward or sell.
In this case, the continuation vehicle allows Point72 to rebalance capital toward other sectors while retaining a 40% economic stake in the fintech portfolio, and gives Portage responsibility for managing the assets through their next phase of ownership rather than pushing for near term public listings.
This deal shows that liquidity in fintech no longer depends on IPO timing alone and reflects how fintech financing in Canada is moving beyond early stage venture cycles. Ownership can change while companies stay private and focused. Portage managing a global continuation vehicle shows that Canadian investment platforms can handle complex private market deals and support growth and ownership staying anchored at home.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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