Karsten Wenzlaff, Advisor
August 26th, 2025
Tariffs | April 3, 2025
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On April 2, U.S. President Donald Trump introduced a massive set of new import tariffs. Starting April 5, a universal 10% tariff will apply to all imports coming into the U.S. Additionally, certain countries that the administration considers to have unfair trade practices with the U.S. will face even higher tariffs, between 20% - 49%.
Canada and Mexico were spared this tariff round but they’re still dealing with a separate 25% tariff that was put in place back in March, which were linked to concerns about fentanyl and border issues. In response, Canada has now fired back with its own 25% tariff on U.S. vehicles that don’t meet USMCA rules (applies to $35.6 billion CAD of imports). This is no longer political jockeying.
So what are other countries doing in response? And how might this play out?
Several countries have already responded to the wide sweeping tariffs albeit in noticeably different ways (and strategies):
1. Outright rejection - China (54% tariffs) strongly condemned the move, demanding that they 'immediately cancel' the tariffs. Beijing warned of major disruption to global supply chains and didn't rule out retaliation. April 4 update: China responds to Trump's trade war, China's Finance Minster, "For all imported goods originating from the US, an additional tariff of 34% on top of the current applicable tariff rate will be imposed."China will also escalate restrictions on exporting 'rare earth' minerals to the U.S. Markets plunge further.
2. Warning with possible retaliation - The European Union (20% tariffs) said it would respond in a "legitimate, proportionate and decisive" way.
3. Diplomatic concern, open to talks - Japan (24%), India (26%), Taiwan (32%), and Thailand (36%) expressed concern but stressed willingness to work with the U.S. to find solutions. These responders look to want to preserve economic ties.
4. Disappointed but remaining calm - The UK (10%) and Australia (10%) criticized the tariffs as unfriendly and unhelpful but said they would not retaliate. Both are preparing for possible economic fallout while exploring alternative trade options.
5. Direct countermeasures or defensive policies - Canada (sector specific 10-25%) and South Korea (25%) have already taken concrete steps. Canada introduced a matching 25% auto tariff and has announced support for affected sectors. South Korea rolled out emergency support measures for affected industries.
The varying responses highlight how different countries are balancing their economic exposure to the U.S., combining political pressure and long term trade strategies.
We anticipate short term volatility, retaliation, legal/political challenges, shifting supply chains and inflationary pressures:
The April 2 tariffs are just the start. Countries are reacting in their own ways, and the situation is still developing. Canadian fintechs should prepare for uncertainty, but also for opportunity.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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Tariffs | April 3, 2025

Image: Freepik AI
On April 2 2025, President Trump announced a massive shift in U.S. trade policy with a litany of universal and country specific tariffs that will affect global trade flows. He declared a 'national emergency' over the U.S. trade deficit, and said that it was a threat to America's national security. The U.S. will now apply tariffs (essentially a tax) on all imports entering the country. While Canada and Mexico were exempt from this round of April 2 'liberation day tariffs', Prime Minister Mark Carney vowed to push back against the existing tariffs currently applied to Canada.
Uncertainty of global trade has hit global stock markets hard, with broad indexes declining 4%, as investors flee to safe assets. Investors are expecting higher input costs, slower global trade growth and escalating retaliation from affected countries.
President Trump said:
“Our country has been looted by nations near and far. Now it’s our turn to prosper... and use trillions to pay down our debt.”
See this CTV news post for the full list of tariffs by country
| Country | Tariff Rate |
| Cambodia | 49% |
| Vietnam | 46% |
| Sri Lanka | 44% |
| Bangladesh | 37% |
| China | 34%+20% |
| Taiwan | 32% |
| Indonesia | 32% |
| Switzerland | 31% |
| South Africa | 30% |
| Pakistan | 29% |
| India | 26% |
| South Korea | 25% |
| Japan | 24% |
| European Union | 20% |
| Thailand | 36% |
| United Kingdom | 10% |
Canada and Mexico are currently exempt from the new April 2 country-specific and universal tariffs, ONLY if goods qualify under the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) rules of origin.
However, Canada already faces a separate 25% tariff that was imposed in March 2025 on a broad set of goods and linked to fentanyl enforcement and immigration/border disputes. The 25% tariffs have been partially suspended but not entirely repealed - see White House fact sheet.
Sector-specific tariffs on Canada that were previously announced, such as those on steel, aluminum, autos (starting April 4), copper, and semiconductors, are not cumulative with the April 2 tariffs.
While some products are still protected under USMCA, other key Canadian exports, such as raw materials, energy products, and manufactured goods — remain vulnerable. PM Mark Carney made it clear that Canada will retaliate "with purpose and force".
Ottawa's game plan includes preparing a set of counter-tariffs, providing emergency support for exporters, accelerate trade talks with Asia-Pacific and the EU, and incentivize domestic production and supply chain innovation (remove interprovincial trade barriers).
Update: Canada Matches U.S. Auto Tariff with 25% Countermeasure - PM Mark Carney announced today that Canada will implement a reciprocal 25% tariff on U.S. vehicles that do not comply with the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA) to protect Canada's auto sector and its workforce. The new levies will apply to $35.6 billion CAD of imports.
Broad sweeping tariffs will ignite a trade war and is a risk event for Canadian businesses. Small to medium sized businesses (SMEs) will find it difficult to absorb cost hikes and delays in exporting to America.
Fintech platforms in cross-border payments, lending, and logistics can offer supply chain risk and trade compliance tools. E-commerce platforms could see many global vendors move away from U.S-centric trade models.
Although Canada avoided the pain of the April 2 tariffs, the risks aren't gone. With a global trade war not afoot, supply chains will shift and Canada will feel the effects either directly or indirectly. Carney's call for a 'new economy' may go beyond just a response and become Canada's national strategy going forward. Brace for volatility and opportunity at the same time.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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Royal Commission | March 28, 2025

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A group of Canadian policy experts from across the country at Policy Options are calling for a royal commission to secure Canada's future — and they're probably right if the first outputs and key decisions can be delivered on a very quick timeline (i.e. less than 6 months). They warn that Canada’s economic model is outdated, our policies are stuck in the 20th century, and our global competitiveness is slipping (let's not forget our continued productivity decline and inability to track significant investment).
Canada's economy is underperforming. The country is slow to adopt modern financial infrastructure. Interprovincial trade barriers are costing billions. Canada lacks a coordinated innovation and startup scale-up strategy.
They argue that only a national, non-partisan effort like a royal commission can bring Canadians together to build a future-ready plan. For fintech, innovation, and entrepreneurship. If Canada is serious about attracting investment, scaling startups, and competing globally, it needs a national strategy that streamlines regulation, opens interprovincial trade, unlocks innovation and capital, boosts economic growth and attracts investment, and a royal commission could make that happen. Now is the time to act.
Royal commissions have worked before. The Macdonald Commission (1982–85) laid the groundwork for free trade and modern economic policy. A new commission could once again unite governments, entrepreneurs, and civil society to chart Canada's strategy in an uncertain future, but only if it moves quickly.
Canada has amazing human capital - talent, ideas, and potential, but we need a national strategy that makes it easier for entrepreneurs to launch, raise capital, scale technologies, and compete globally, which would drive significant economic growth.
A royal commission could align innovation, regulation, trade, and investment around a shared economic vision. Done right, it would empower the next generation of Canadian companies and secure long term prosperity, not by protecting incumbents but by empowering performance.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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Economy | March 24, 2025
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Ottawa has made a flurry of policy announcements in response to growing economic pressure and global trade tensions including a reversal on the planned capital gains tax, a snap federal election, and commitment to aligning with Europe on carbon pricing to support trade, all in just a few days.
For Canada's fintech sector, these changes will impact investment, regulation, taxation and international trade and growth. Below are five announcements made since March 20, 2025, and what they mean for fintech:
Prime Minister Mark Carney has cancelled the previously proposed increase to the capital gains inclusion rate, which would have raised the taxable portion of gains above $250,000 from 50% to 66.7% (controversial policy). Also, the government will still increase the Lifetime Capital Gains Exemption (LCGE) to $1.25 million from 2025 which means that entrepreneurs can protect (tax-exempt) an additional $233,164 compared to the LCGE in 2024 ($1,016,836).
That's good news for startup founders and investors. It's supportive of innovation because it rewards risk-taking and helps nurture entrepreneurial talent. Investors may be more willing to back early stage ventures if the tax environment remains favourable at exit, encouraging investment in innovative sectors.
Carney has officially called a snap federal election for April 28, saying he needs a new mandate to deal with growing trade tensions with the U.S., a shaky economy, and pressure to stay competitive on climate and carbon policy. The outcome of a federal election can completely change the country's fintech policy agenda from open banking and digital assets to consumer protection and payments modernization. Regulatory clarity will likely be delayed until after the vote.
Ottawa will tariff impacted businesses delay their corporate tax payments from April 2 to June 30. This support is primarily targeted at companies that export physical goods that are directly affected by new U.S. tariffs. However, fintech companies with U.S. clients or disrupted revenue may also be considered on a case-by-case basis. If your business has been impacted by the trade situation, it’s a good idea to start gathering records now. More details on who qualifies will be released soon by Finance Canada.
In the same release it was also announced that changes are being made to make it easier for workers laid off due to the trade conflict with the U.S. to access employment insurance. Note, fintech platforms offering tools in job search, benefits/support navigation, short term lending, gig economy income smoothing may also see an increased demand due to the potential impact of job losses.
Prime Minister Carney announced that Canada will table legislation by July 1, 2025 to remove internal trade barriers between provinces to build a stronger and fairer economy. He plans to eliminate all federal barriers to interprovincial trade and labour mobility, and to remove all federal exemptions under the Canada Free Trade Agreement. He met with the premiers to share his plan of building a stronger Canadian economy including items such as mutual recognition of rules, harmonizing licensing, and standardization of goods and services across provinces. Standardized rules across provinces will reduce costs for businesses and consumers, strengthen domestic supply chains, boost productivity (fewer compliance headaches), and unlock new opportunities for Canadian firms.
Last week, Prime Minister Carney visited the U.K. and Europe to stress the importance of Canada strengthening trade ties with reliable partners beyond the U.S.. As part of Canada’s plan to diversify trade, the PM saidthat the EU is moving ahead with its carbon border taxes called Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CABM), so Canada would benefit to keep its industrial carbon pricing system to avoid new tariffs on exports to Europe. This sounds reasonable but there's a trade-off. Since the U.S. won't have the same carbon rules, the higher carbon costs in Canada could make our goods less competitive to our biggest export market - the U.S. Per reporting on the Hub, Carney put it bluntly: “Guess what one of the requirements is to diversify trade with the EU? A form of carbon pricing.”
If The impact on fintechs may be twofold. Clean fintechs involved with ESG, carbon credit tracking/management, sustainability analytics etc stand to benefit but legacy exporters, and fintechs serving them, may feel the cost squeeze of stricter environmental standards.
These announcements highlight Canada's evolving federal economy strategy. Ottawa is recalibrating its tax approach, trade perspectives, and domestic relief tools in response to Trump's tariff war and global volatility. Fintech leaders should actively track these changes and be ready to adapt as more policies roll out after the election.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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AI Investment | March 21, 2025

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On March 202025, Anita Anand, Minister of Innovation, Science and Industry, announced that the Government of Canada is investing up to $240 million in Cohere Inc. to build advanced AI infrastructure and help the country compete globally in artificial intelligence. This funding is part of a $725 million project that Cohere is leading to create a state-of-the-art AI data centre in Canada, so Canadian firms don't have to rely on foreign tech giants. Canada has world class researchers but currently lacks the computing power and infrastructure needed to keep top AI talent and their companies at home.
This investment is more than a cheque to a single company. The goal is to ensure Canadian AI firms and researchers can develop domestically, long term, without relying on foreign infrastructure. It'll be a key part of Canada's AI ecosystem that will also serve the public's interest and support economic growth and resilience.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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