Karsten Wenzlaff, Advisor
August 26th, 2025
Sep 25, 2026

Choosing a payment gateway is one of the first infrastructure decisions a Canadian e-commerce founder makes - and one of the hardest to reverse.
Switching processors later means re-tokenizing cards, reconfiguring checkout flows, reconciling historical data, and often pausing growth while engineering catches up. Get it wrong early, and you pay twice: in fees and in the operational drag of failed payments, chargebacks, and support tickets your team was not staffed to handle.
Before you commit, run a full payment gateways comparison - Stripe, PayPal, and Adyen each handle refunds, chargebacks, and authentication flows differently, which directly affects your post-checkout support burden.
This guide is for founders, operators, and fintech-curious investors evaluating Stripe, PayPal, and Adyen for Canadian online businesses in 2026. It covers what each platform does well, where they fall short, and how payment choices ripple into customer support, compliance, and unit economics.
Canada's e-commerce market continues to mature, but founders face a specific set of constraints:
Payment processors are no longer "backend plumbing." They are front-line infrastructure for conversion, fraud prevention, and regulatory posture - especially as AI-driven commerce and embedded finance reshape checkout experiences across the ecosystem NCFA Canada covers daily.
Before comparing logos, define what your business actually needs:
| Criterion | Questions to ask |
| Checkout conversion | Does it support one-click, wallets, local methods, and mobile-optimized flows? |
| CAD settlement | How fast do funds arrive in your Canadian bank account? |
| Multi-currency | Can you charge in USD/EUR without a separate entity? |
| Fraud & 3DS | How are SCA, 3D Secure, and high-risk transactions handled? |
| Disputes & chargebacks | What tooling exists for evidence submission and win rates? |
| Platform fit | Native Shopify, custom stack, marketplace, or subscription billing? |
| Support load | Do payment errors generate customer tickets you must resolve manually? |
The cheapest per-transaction rate is meaningless if failed authorizations and confused shoppers create a support queue that scales linearly with revenue.
| Stripe | PayPal | Adyen | |
| Best for | Developer-led DTC, SaaS, subscriptions | Consumer trust, quick launch, marketplaces | Enterprise, omnichannel, high volume |
| Canadian SMB fit | Excellent (Shopify, APIs) | Strong (brand recognition) | Moderate (overkill for early stage) |
| Setup complexity | Low–medium | Low | Medium–high |
| Typical pricing | ~2.9% + $0.30 CAD (varies) | ~2.9% + fixed fee (varies) | Interchange++ (custom quotes) |
| Wallet / PayPal button | Via Stripe | Native | Supported |
| Subscription billing | Strong (Billing) | Basic | Strong |
| In-person / POS | Terminal available | Zettle | Unified commerce strength |
| Ideal stage | Seed to scale | Launch to growth | Scale to enterprise |
Strengths
Stripe has become the de facto choice for Canadian startups building on Shopify, custom React storefronts, or subscription models. Its API-first design, documentation quality, and ecosystem (Billing, Radar fraud tools, Terminal) make it attractive for technical teams.
For Shopify merchants, Stripe powers Shopify Payments in many regions - reducing friction at onboarding. Founders running headless commerce or multi-product SaaS often prefer Stripe's granular webhooks and reconciliation exports.
Weaknesses
When to choose Stripe: You want one stack for online + subscriptions + future POS, and your team can manage webhooks, dispute evidence, and payout reconciliation.
Strengths
PayPal's brand still converts skeptics. For Canadian SMBs selling to US and international buyers, the PayPal button can lift checkout completion - especially among customers who do not want to re-enter card details on a new storefront.
Setup is fast. PayPal Commerce Platform supports marketplaces and seller onboarding. For founders validating product-market fit, PayPal remains a credible "week one" option.
Weaknesses
When to choose PayPal: You need recognizable trust signals immediately, sell cross-border to wallet-preferring buyers, or run a marketplace model where seller payouts matter.
Strengths
Adyen is built for operators who sell online, in-store, and across markets from one platform. Interchange-plus pricing can win at volume. Unified reporting across channels appeals to retail brands expanding from DTC into physical retail.
For Canadian companies with global ambitions - particularly those already processing millions monthly - Adyen's single-stack narrative reduces vendor fragmentation.
Weaknesses
When to choose Adyen: You are processing significant volume across channels, need global acquiring in one contract, and have finance ops to manage interchange-based pricing.
Currency conversion
Charging in CAD but paying suppliers in USD? Conversion spreads matter. PayPal and Stripe both apply FX margins on top of base rates. At scale, a 0.5% FX difference is material.
Failed payments and involuntary churn
Subscription businesses lose 20–40% of churn to failed card charges (expired cards, insufficient funds, bank soft declines). Stripe Billing and Adyen offer retry logic; PayPal's subscription tooling is less sophisticated. Each failed renewal can become a support ticket if dunning emails are weak.
3D Secure and authentication friction
Strong Customer Authentication (SCA) and 3DS reduce fraud but increase checkout abandonment when implemented poorly. European shoppers and Canadian issuers increasingly challenge transactions. Misconfigured 3DS flows generate "payment failed" emails that flood support - even when the customer did nothing wrong.
Chargebacks and dispute fees
A chargeback costs more than the transaction fee: you lose the sale, pay a dispute fee, and spend ops time assembling evidence. Gateway dispute portals vary widely in usability. Founders who ignore dispute win rates leak margin quietly.
Refund processing timelines
Refund speed affects customer sentiment. PayPal and Stripe timelines differ by funding source. Slow refunds drive "where is my money?" tickets - a support cost rarely modeled in gateway spreadsheets.
Founders often evaluate gateways in finance silos. Operations teams live with the consequences.
Common payment-driven support scenarios:
| Issue | Customer behavior | Ops impact |
| 3DS failure at checkout | Abandons cart or retries multiple times | Lost revenue + confused emails |
| Duplicate charge appearance | Contacts support immediately | Refund or investigation |
| Address / AVS mismatch | Order held, customer anxious | Manual review queue |
| Subscription renewal fail | "Why was I cancelled?" | Retention risk |
| Cross-border decline | Assumes fraud, posts on social | Brand damage |
Automating post-purchase support (order status, refund policy, payment retry guidance) reduces ticket volume - but the root cause is often gateway configuration, not customer irrationality.
Smart founders pair payment stack decisions with support automation strategy. Fix checkout friction first; automate repetitive WISMO and refund questions second.
Choose Stripe if:
Choose PayPal if:
Choose Adyen if:
Run both Stripe + PayPal if:
Many Canadian SMBs start with Shopify Payments (Stripe) and add PayPal Express for international conversion - then revisit at $1M+ ARR when fee optimization and unified reporting justify complexity.
Canadian founders should stay aware of evolving payment oversight:
NCFA's ecosystem regularly covers payments regulation, embedded finance, and fintech policy - worth monitoring as your volume grows and compliance surface area expands.
Where to Invest After You Choose a Gateway
Payment selection is step one. These investments compound ROI:
For most Canadian e-commerce founders in 2026, Stripe remains the strongest default for growth-stage DTC and SaaS - especially on Shopify. PayPal earns its place when wallet trust and cross-border conversion justify the fees. Adyen makes sense when unified commerce and global volume are already realities, not aspirations.
The right gateway is not the one with the lowest advertised rate. It is the one that maximizes successful transactions, minimizes dispute drag, and keeps your support team focused on problems that actually require judgment.
Model the full cost - FX, chargebacks, failed renewals, and tickets - before you scale ad spend. Your payment stack is a fintech decision with P&L consequences long after checkout.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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September 25, 2026

Entrepreneurs are trained to manage uncertainty. They build forecasts with incomplete data, make decisions under pressure and keep teams moving through shifting market conditions.
Divorce creates a different kind of uncertainty.
Legal questions become entangled with parenting, housing, cash flow, business ownership and emotionally charged communication. Meanwhile, the company does not pause. Employees still need decisions, investors expect updates, customers require support and the next financing milestone remains on the calendar.
For founders, executives and technology professionals, divorce is not only a private family matter. It can become a leadership, financial and operational risk event. Managing it well requires more than working longer hours or applying the same intensity used to solve a product problem.
It requires the right advisory team, disciplined communication and a system for making consequential decisions without allowing personal conflict to consume the business.
A salaried employee may have income, savings and retirement accounts to consider. A founder’s financial life can include far more moving parts:
A company may appear valuable on a pitch deck without producing much personal liquidity. Conversely, an early-stage equity position that seems speculative today could become valuable after a financing, acquisition or public offering.
How these assets are treated depends on the facts and the applicable provincial or territorial law. A founder should not assume that shares registered in one person’s name, assets held digitally or property accumulated through a corporation are automatically excluded from the divorce process.
Early advice from qualified legal, tax and valuation professionals is essential.
Divorce involves several kinds of problems, and no single professional is meant to solve all of them.
A family lawyer provides legal advice and represents the client’s interests. An accountant or business valuator may analyze corporate income, ownership and value. A tax professional can identify the consequences of proposed transfers or settlement options. A therapist supports mental health and deeper emotional healing.
A divorce coach fills a different role. Coaching can help a client organize priorities, prepare for professional meetings, improve difficult communication and remain focused on practical next steps.
Busy professionals exploring this type of support can learn more from Heidi Dinning, a certified divorce coach and family communications expert who works with clients on divorce strategy, high-conflict communication, co-parenting and preparation for mediation or legal proceedings.
A coach does not replace a lawyer, accountant, valuator or therapist. The value comes from helping the client use each professional more effectively.
Founders rarely begin due diligence by searching through random email threads five minutes before a meeting. The same discipline should apply to divorce preparation.
Create a secure inventory of relevant personal and business records. Depending on professional advice, that may include:
This is an organizational step, not an invitation to copy confidential corporate information without authorization. Founders should ask legal counsel how to preserve relevant records while respecting company obligations, employee privacy and securities requirements.
Information should be collected transparently and lawfully. Concealing, deleting or transferring assets can create serious legal and credibility problems.
Divorce generates messages that feel urgent because they are emotionally uncomfortable. Not every message requires an immediate reply.
Entrepreneurs who are accustomed to rapid decision-making may respond too quickly, especially when a text or email feels unfair. That reaction can intensify conflict and create a written record that is difficult to explain later.
Before responding, ask:
A divorce coach can help a client review communication patterns, identify triggers and draft a clear response without turning every disagreement into a legal escalation.
This creates a valuable pause between reaction and action.
Founders make high-stakes decisions every day, but divorce can reduce the mental capacity available for those decisions. Sleep disruption, fear and repeated conflict make it harder to assess trade-offs objectively.
A useful approach is to divide decisions into three categories.
These can be adjusted with limited consequences, such as changing a weekly scheduling system or choosing where routine information will be shared.
These involve meaningful financial or parenting effects and should be considered carefully with the appropriate adviser.
Selling shares, transferring property, accepting a settlement or making public statements about the separation may create lasting consequences. These decisions should not be made simply to end an uncomfortable conversation.
The speed valued in a startup is not always an advantage in a divorce. Good leadership sometimes means slowing the process down long enough to obtain reliable information.
Personal disruption becomes a company problem when too many operational decisions depend on one person.
A founder navigating divorce should review what would happen if they were temporarily unavailable. This does not require sharing private details with the entire team. It requires ensuring that the company is not dependent on the founder answering every question in real time.
Consider:
If the divorce may affect ownership, governance, financing or disclosure obligations, the appropriate corporate and family-law advisers should be involved. The board may also need information when the issue creates a material risk, but disclosure should be deliberate and limited to what is professionally required.
Technology professionals often have a complicated digital footprint. Personal and corporate data may be spread across cloud storage, password managers, shared subscriptions, smart-home systems, cryptocurrency wallets and devices used for both work and family communication.
During separation, review digital access carefully without locking a spouse out of jointly owned property or interfering with information that must be preserved.
Useful steps may include:
Company IT staff should not be drawn into a personal dispute. If corporate security is potentially affected, involve the appropriate security or legal leader through a controlled process.
Lawyers, accountants and valuators are valuable because of their specialized expertise. Meetings are more productive when the client arrives with organized documents, clear questions and a defined objective.
Before each professional meeting, prepare a short brief:
A divorce coach can help build this agenda and organize the emotional noise surrounding the issue. This allows legal and financial professionals to concentrate on the work only they are qualified to perform.
Entrepreneurs are used to developing solutions quickly. Children experiencing a family separation may not need a solution in the moment. They may need time, reassurance and permission to have complicated feelings.
A parenting plan is not simply another operating agreement. It affects a child’s routines, relationships and sense of security.
Avoid treating time with children as a metric to be maximized or a negotiation to be won. Where it is safe and appropriate, keep children out of adult conflict, avoid using them as messengers and do not ask them to report on the other household.
Co-parenting coaching can help parents prepare for difficult conversations, establish workable communication practices and keep decisions centred on their children’s needs.
Legal complexity is not the only factor that makes divorce expensive. Repeated conflict can generate unnecessary correspondence, emergency meetings and negotiations over issues that might otherwise have remained manageable.
Watch for patterns such as:
A structured communication process can reduce confusion. Keep messages brief, address one subject at a time and separate factual requests from emotional commentary. When a response is not urgent, draft it and review it later.
The first days of separation can feel chaotic. A simple sequence can restore a degree of control:
A successful divorce strategy is not about eliminating emotion. That is unrealistic. It is about preventing emotion from driving every legal, financial and parenting decision.
For a busy founder or technology leader, the right support structure protects more than personal well-being. It preserves attention, improves the use of professional advice and reduces the likelihood that a private crisis will become an unmanaged business risk.
Entrepreneurs already understand the value of expert guidance in areas outside their specialization. Divorce should be approached with the same discipline. Build the team, organize the information, protect the company and create enough space to make decisions based on facts rather than fear.
This article provides general information only and does not constitute legal, financial, tax, investment or mental-health advice. Divorce and property laws vary by jurisdiction. Obtain advice from qualified professionals who understand your circumstances.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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September 24, 2026 | NCFA Market Activity | Wealthtech And AI Operations, Risk Compliance And Regtech

On September 23, 2026, OneVest launched an agentic account opening solution for Canadian wealth firms. It can prepare applications from documents, advisor notes or CRM data, check them before submission and follow the account through custodian processing. The software can also flag missing information, track account numbers and help staff work through exceptions.
The launch advances what OneVest announced this past March. Its Agentic Wealth Operating System already included onboarding, account opening and fund transfers. September turns account opening into a defined product with named custodian connections, exception handling and a record of agent activity.
The software starts with information the firm already has, prepares the application and follows the case after submission. Staff can also dictate information by voice, while updates can appear in Slack or Microsoft Teams. OneVest says the software can carry a case through several steps and handle exceptions along the way. It doesn't appear to independently approve clients, decide suitability or determine whether every regulatory requirement has been met.
OneVest says the product connects with National Bank Independent Network, Aviso Wealth and CI Investment Services, with more custodian integrations in development. Instead of stopping at form completion, the software can follow the account into custodian processing and bring exceptions back to operations staff.
OneVest says the product connects with NBIN, Aviso Wealth and CI Investment Services, with more custodian integrations in development. OneVest had already announced an Aviso custodial integration in November 2025, which gives some background to the current connection.
OneVest Pulse adds a record of what happens inside the workflow. The company says Pulse logs agent activity and gives advisors, operations and compliance teams visibility into account-opening milestones. It can help firms see what happened, when it happened and where staff stepped in. It's better described as an activity and governance record than as proof of compliance.
Canadian dealers remain responsible for KYC, suitability and supervision even when software performs part of the work. CIRO's Client Focused Reform requirements still apply, while FINTRAC rules can require identity verification, client records and beneficial ownership information during account opening. Software can collect and coordinate information, but the dealer still owns the regulatory decisions and controls around it.
OneVest has established that the product is available, but it hasn't published performance data for the new workflow. Those figures will determine whether agentic account opening changes the economics of wealth operations. Faster applications help, but the bigger gain comes if firms can reduce rework and handle more accounts without adding operations staff at the same rate. Exception rates are especially important because automation loses much of its value if routine cases still require frequent manual correction.
OneVest already has Canadian enterprise relationships that could support adoption. Mackenzie Investments selected its operating system earlier in 2026, while CST Spark has said OneVest supports functions including onboarding and account opening.
For wealth firms, the development puts the focus on how much of a regulated workflow software can carry without creating new review work somewhere else. For OneVest, if the product can reduce account opening time, manual touches and exceptions across several custodians, it becomes part of the operating infrastructure rather than another advisor productivity tool.
OneVest has taken account opening from a capability inside its wider agentic platform to a defined Canadian product connected to named custodians. How much value it creates will come down to measurable reductions in processing time, rework and staff intervention.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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September 24, 2026

Innovation in financial services gets most of its attention at the product layer — the app, the rails, the model. If you are building in a regulated market, though, the harder problem is usually structural: how do you ship something genuinely new when the activity itself requires a licence, and that licence carries duties written long before your product existed?
Fintech founders in Canada know this problem well. What is less widely noticed is that an adjacent licensed profession is working through the same question, under a regulator that has taken a deliberately experimental approach to it. Ontario's legal sector is worth watching for that reason, and one firm rebuilding it — Ownright, which has run more than $2 billion of residential closings through a digital platform since 2023 — is solving problems that will look familiar to anyone who has automated a high-value, high-trust workflow.
If your compliance experience is with FINTRAC, OSFI or the CSA, professional regulation will feel familiar in some respects and strange in others. The familiar part is the supervisory posture: registration, conduct standards, reporting, and an expectation that you can evidence your process on request.
The unfamiliar part is what is being regulated. Financial regulation largely governs activities and disclosures. Professional regulation governs who may exercise judgment on a client's behalf, and it attaches that permission to an individual rather than to a firm. In law, a licensed lawyer carries personal responsibility for advice given under their name, and no amount of process design transfers that duty to a system.
This sets a hard boundary on what automation can absorb. You can automate intake, document handling, status tracking, reminders and reconciliation. You cannot automate the judgment call, and a regulator will not accept an architecture that implies otherwise. The design question stops being how much of this can software do, and becomes which parts of this should software never do.
Once that boundary is set, what remains is recognisably a fintech build. Ownright launched in 2023, originally as Doormat, and has processed more than $2 billion across over 2,000 transactions since — quadrupling volume year over year while growing from three founders to a team of twenty-five. That is a curve that only holds when software rather than headcount absorbs the growth.
Three parts of that build will be familiar to this audience.
The first is document analytics. Ontario condo buyers must review a status certificate, a dense legal PDF describing the financial health of the condo corporation. Traditionally it is exactly the kind of unstructured document that resists automation. Ownright's review parses it into structured sections and surfaces specific risks — reserve-fund shortfalls, pending special assessments — rather than leaving them buried in prose. That is the same problem insurtech and lending teams face when turning disclosures and filings into queryable, risk-scored data, and it compounds the same way: each parsed document makes the next review faster.
The second is the trust layer. A closing is a high-value money-movement event, which makes it a target for wire fraud and identity spoofing. Automating one means inheriting a fintech-grade security problem, and the response looks like a fintech stack: identity-verification protocols, integrations with lenders and title insurers, and controls around the movement of large sums. For founders, the lesson is that automating a transaction is not primarily a UX exercise. The verification and reconciliation infrastructure underneath is usually the hard part, and the defensible part.
The third is distribution. In 2025 the firm launched a developer platform exposing closing services via API, so proptech companies can embed them in their own products. That is the embedded-fintech playbook applied to legal services — the same logic that let any software company offer payments or lending through an interface. It reframes the company from a destination consumers visit into infrastructure other platforms consume.
Three things generalise, and probably apply to any regulated professional service you are considering.
Find the boundary before you build. The most expensive architectural mistakes in regulated markets come from automating something that turns out to require a licensed decision, then discovering it at a supervisory review. Map which steps carry personal professional responsibility and which are administrative, and design the handoff between them deliberately. That boundary is your real product spec.
Treat the regulator as a counterparty rather than an obstacle. The Law Society of Ontario runs Access to Innovation, a programme allowing technology-enabled legal services to operate under supervision instead of waiting for the rulebook to catch up. Ownright participates in it. If you have followed open banking or payments modernisation, the logic is recognisable: a sandbox does not relax the rules, it converts an unanswerable question — is this permitted? — into an observable process with a supervisor attached. Engaging early is considerably cheaper than retrofitting.
Remember that the moat is rarely the software. Anyone can build a document portal. What is difficult to replicate is a system where automation and licensed expertise are genuinely integrated, the client can see what is happening, and the regulator is comfortable with the arrangement. That takes years and cannot be shortcut with a faster release cycle.
Canada's regulated professions are going through a version of the transition financial services began a decade ago: incumbent workflows built on email and manual review, rebuilt around structured data and supervised automation, with the licensed human deliberately kept in the loop. Some of that work is being documented publicly — Ownright's 2026 Operators Report sets out what the firm is seeing across the Ontario market.
If you are building in a licensed market, the useful question is not whether regulation will slow you down. It will. The question is whether your regulator has a mechanism for examining what you have built, and whether you have designed something worth showing them.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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September 24, 2026 | NCFA Market Activity | Regulation And Policy, Capital Markets And Market Infrastructure, Wealthtech Investing And Trading, Risk Compliance And Regtech

On September 24, 2026, FAIR Canada challenged Wealthsimple's prediction market proposal for a wider Canadian prediction market. Wealthsimple wants regulators to change how event contracts qualify for retail trading. FAIR wants the current limits to remain unless wider access can be shown to benefit investors and serve the public interest.
Wealthsimple published its proposal on August 4. On August 27, Canadian securities regulators kept sports and entertainment contracts outside securities and derivatives regulation. FAIR has now challenged the remaining case for adding more event contracts to the investment dealer channel.
Wealthsimple's August 4 white paper goes well beyond its Predict product. CIRO currently limits authorized dealers to contracts based on economic forecasts, environmental forecasts and financial indicators. Wealthsimple argues that these categories are subjective because similar contracts can fit more than one label or receive different treatment.
Its alternative focuses on who determines the result. Wealthsimple proposes approved settlement sources that include government agencies, established data providers, recognized institutions and selected news organizations. A Canadian unemployment contract could settle using Statistics Canada data, while a Bitcoin price contract could use an established financial benchmark.
The proposal could reach categories that Canadian investment dealers can't offer today. Wealthsimple includes accredited electoral authorities among potential settlement sources even though political event contracts are prohibited. It would still exclude contracts involving death, personal harm, terrorism, the initiation of armed conflict and events where one identifiable person can determine the outcome.
Canada already opened a narrow regulated route earlier in 2026 when Wealthsimple entered Canada's regulated prediction market. Regulators drew another boundary on August 27 when the CSA and CIRO kept sports prediction markets outside securities rules. The CSA said sports and entertainment contracts shouldn't be regulated under securities and derivatives legislation, while CIRO said it would not approve dealer applications to offer them.
The Canadian market remains tightly controlled. CIRO has authorized two investment dealers to facilitate event contract trading, with offerings limited to economic forecasts, environmental forecasts and financial indicators. Contracts must have at least 30 days to maturity. Leverage is prohibited, along with elections, referendums, political nominations and other political events.
A dealer that wants to offer contracts outside those categories must file another material business change with CIRO. Other event contract categories remain under regulatory review.
FAIR doesn't dispute that an event contract can meet the legal definition of a derivative. It disputes what should follow from that classification. Its September response asks regulators to consider investor benefit, capital market purpose, market integrity and the public interest before permitting additional categories for retail trading.
That conflicts directly with Wealthsimple's settlement source approach. A reliable source can determine the result of a contract, but FAIR argues that it doesn't establish whether the contract belongs in the retail investment market. Reliable settlement and retail eligibility are separate questions in FAIR's analysis.
The two organizations also differ on the economic case. Wealthsimple says prediction markets can aggregate information, produce useful prices and help people hedge risk. FAIR says there isn't enough evidence that Canadian retail investors use the contracts already permitted for those purposes.
Wealthsimple also wants Canada to revisit its binary options rules. Multilateral Instrument 91-102 was introduced in 2017 after regulators faced widespread fraud involving offshore binary option platforms. Wealthsimple argues that regulated event contracts operate differently because trades pass through regulated dealers, futures intermediaries, exchanges and clearing organizations.
It also questions what the 30 day minimum achieves. A contract can satisfy the rule when it is listed and still trade shortly before expiry. Wealthsimple would rely more on dealer controls including recommended loss levels, deposit limits, cooling periods, trading breaks, self exclusion, education and market surveillance.
The rule still applies directly to prediction markets. Ontario regulators relied on MI 91-102 in a 2025 Polymarket settlement, finding that event contracts offered to Ontario residents included prohibited binary options with less than 30 days to maturity. FAIR argues that shorter contracts can also produce faster turnover and repeated exposure to gains and losses, so changing the rule requires evidence about the investor effects as well as differences in market structure.
Wealthsimple says more than one million Canadians have already used prediction markets, mainly through offshore platforms. The figure is based on survey data rather than trading records. An Angus Reid Institute survey of 1,803 Canadian adults found that 4% had used a prediction market.
The same survey found limited interest among people who hadn't used one, while opposition to allowing prediction markets was higher than support. The results confirm that Canadians are participating, but they don't show how customers behave inside a regulated investment account. They also don't establish whether people use these contracts for hedging, forecasting or short term speculation.
The permitted Canadian market can now produce better evidence. Participation, repeat trading, average exposure, realized gains and losses, liquidity and spreads can all be measured. Regulators can also examine attempted manipulation and surveillance events, an issue NCFA has explored through prediction market insider trading and surveillance.
Another useful measure is whether Canadians leave offshore platforms once a regulated option is available here. Wealthsimple argues that some will and dealer data can show whether that happens and whether their trading behaviour changes.
Canada is really deciding three things. The August 27 decision on sports and entertainment shows that a contract can meet one legal test without automatically qualifying for retail trading through an investment dealer.
Wealthsimple wants less focus on the subject of the contract and more on how it works, how the result is settled and what controls the dealer has in place. FAIR wants stronger evidence that adding more contracts would benefit investors and support capital market activity. Canadian trading data can help answer that.
The contracts already allowed in Canada can show who is trading, how often, how much they gain or lose and whether enough buyers and sellers show up. Regulators can also see whether a regulated Canadian option pulls users away from offshore platforms. That would give them Canadian evidence to work with instead of relying mainly on legal arguments and overseas trading volumes.
Canada already permits a narrow range of regulated prediction markets. Which additional event contracts should qualify, and what does actual Canadian trading behaviour say about expanding access?
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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September 23, 2026

In 1962, Rolls-Royce made an unusual decision for an engine maker. Rather than simply selling engines for the de Havilland 125 business jet and billing operators whenever something went wrong, it offered a complete engine and accessory replacement service charged at a fixed cost for every hour flown. It called the idea Power by the Hour.
You see, the operators didn't want to own a maintenance problem, they wanted engines that worked. Six decades later, that same distinction between owning a thing and paying for what it does sits behind some of the biggest financial decisions businesses and wealthy individuals make.
An expensive asset costs money while you use it. It also costs money while it sits there.
That second cost is the one people usually always underestimate. Insurance, storage, servicing, staff and depreciation all keep running on the days nothing happens. Spread over heavy use, those fixed costs become manageable. Spread over light use, they make each hour of actual value very expensive.
Let’s take a simple example. An asset with £1 million a year in fixed costs, used for 400 hours, costs £2,500 an hour before anything else is added. Use it for 100 hours and the same asset costs £10,000 an hour. Nothing about the asset changed, only the usage did.
Construction is not an industry known for embracing subscriptions. Tradespeople take pride in their kit. So when Hilti launched its Fleet Management programme, the idea of contractors renting power tools met real resistance.
And yet, the pitch worked anyway. Customers pay a monthly fee covering the use, servicing and repair of their tools, with no upfront purchase. Tools are replaced with newer models on a regular cycle, and theft and breakdowns are covered.
What the contractor gains is not really a drill. It's the certainty that a broken tool on a Monday morning doesn't stop a job, and that money which would have been sitting in a tool store is available for payroll, materials or the next contract.

Image by Lorraine Robinson from Pixabay
Yachts show the problem at its most extreme. The long-standing industry rule of thumb holds that a yacht costs around 10% of its purchase price to run every year. As YachtBuyer points out, that rule becomes badly misleading for larger crewed or older vessels, because the boat's value falls while its running costs climb.
Now factor in how often owners actually go to sea. Industry usage data suggests a typical owner uses their yacht for somewhere between four and eight weeks a year. The crew, berthing and maintenance bills arrive for all fifty-two.
For someone who wants a fortnight in the Aegean each summer, chartering does more than save money. It means choosing a sailing yacht one year and a larger motor yacht the next, in whichever sea suits the season.
Business aviation may be where this calculation is most precise, because every cost can be counted by the flight hour.
Owning an aircraft brings crew salaries, hangarage, insurance and management fees whether it flies or not. The broad consensus in the industry is that whole ownership starts to make financial sense somewhere in the region of 200 to 400 flight hours a year, depending on the aircraft.
Plenty of companies and individuals fly nowhere near that. A board that needs to visit three European sites in a single day, or a family heading to a small Alpine airstrip twice a season, has a real need for private aviation, but not for a full-time aircraft. For them, private jet charter delivers what actually matters: the right aircraft for each specific trip, whether a light jet for a short hop or a long-range jet for a transatlantic meeting, with none of the ongoing overheads.

Image: Pexels/RDNE Stock project
None of this makes ownership a bad idea. It makes it a decision that depends on the numbers.
Heavy, predictable use changes the maths quickly. So does a need for total control: a particular cabin configuration, crew who know your preferences, an aircraft ready at an hour's notice every day of the year. There's also a middle ground. Leasing, fractional shares and block-hour arrangements sit between full ownership and one-off bookings, and each suits a different usage pattern.
The mistake is treating ownership as the natural reward for success rather than as one option to be costed alongside the others.
The shift towards access is really about where money works hardest. Capital held in an asset used a few weeks a year cannot also fund an acquisition, a new market or an opportunity that turns up unexpectedly.
Rolls-Royce understood that in 1962. Its customers wanted flying hours, not engines. The most useful question to ask of any expensive asset is the same one: are you paying for the thing, or for what it lets you do?
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