Karsten Wenzlaff, Advisor
August 26th, 2025
Jan 8, 2025

Image: Pexels/Nataliya Vaitkevich
A currency crisis is a term referring to an economic instability caused by a sharp, significant fall in the value of the national currency. In most cases, a loss of confidence in the country's economy, lack of foreign exchange reserves, or excessive public debt is what it is most often associated with. Such crises also involve the economic effects of countries, but they also have a 'global' consequence.
This is my dedication to the traders out there planning on joining Forex. Not to drive them away and to change their mind but to reap important historical knowledge from it. With the benefit of what the previous generations have learned, a trader can acquire a few important lessons and maybe save his capital.
A sharp depreciation of the currency due to unbalanced economic policies is an example of the Mexican crisis of 1994 (or the Tequila Crisis). The government's decision to keep the peso fixed to the dollar when the current account deficit was strong was the main cause of the crisis. The result was that citizens lost confidence, capital outflows started in earnest, and the peso devalued by over 50 percent.
This crisis shows how important transparency and investor confidence are for today’s traders. If policies appear too unsustainable, or insufficiently explained, markets can overreact.
The collapse of the baht started the Asian financial crisis in Thailand but spread to the rest of Southeast Asia. The main causes of the crisis were:
That heavy investment panic and capital withdrawal made the crisis even worse, as banks and firms defaulted. Lesson for traders: Risk management is about diversification. It is also necessary to consider the level of external debt of the countries where it invests funds.
Falling oil prices, huge government debt, and a weak tax system all contributed to the 1998 crisis. And the ruble fell spectacularly and the country defaulted on its domestic debt. It created serious economic turmoil and social instability.
However, this crisis reminds modern traders to scrutinize their commodity markets, especially if a country’s economy is dependent on exporting natural resources.
The crisis was a prime example of how excessive government debt and a hard currency pegged to the dollar can lead to disaster. The problems were exacerbated by:
When the crisis reached its peak, the government was forced to abandon the peg of the peso to the dollar, which caused a deep recession and mass protests. Lesson for traders: tight monetary policy can be dangerous in the face of external shocks. Flexibility is the key to resilience.
The global financial crisis, which began with the collapse of the mortgage market in the United States, showed how quickly problems in one economy can spread around the world. It was a period of high volatility for the foreign exchange market, with many national currencies depreciating.
The main lessons for traders are:
This is the moment when falling real estate prices in the US led to massive mortgage defaults, which in turn set off a chain reaction in financial institutions around the world. Investors began to panic, selling assets en masse, which exacerbated the fall in currency and stock prices. As a result of this crisis, many traders realized the importance of diversifying their investments and being prepared for unexpected changes in the market.
Traders who were able to adapt and incorporate the lessons of the past are now better prepared for future shocks. Developing strategies that incorporate flexibility and preparedness for rapid change has become a key element of successful online trading. In addition, knowledgeable traders realized how important it is to choose a trusted broker that will not withdraw all their assets and will not leave them without a single cent. This is how platforms such as https://www.xchief.com came into being. These are reliable traders who have proven their integrity over the years.
Based on the analysis of the above crises, there are several important takeaways for traders:
In addition, modern traders should use risk management tools such as stopping losses and diversifying their portfolios.
The history of currency crises is not just a list of economic disasters, but also a treasure trove of valuable information for modern traders. By analyzing the causes and consequences of such events, one can better prepare for future challenges in the financial markets. The key is to be flexible, informed, and ready for change.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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AML | Dec 18, 2024

Image: Pixabay/Alexandra Koch
Back in May 2024, the TD Bank money-laundering scandal hit wires with the CEO Bharat Masrani departing amid a monstrous $3B fine. Yes, that's the same TD Bank Chief that was seeking a level playing field with startup fintechs back in 2016. In October 2024, TD Bank pleaded guilty to violating U.S. anti-money laundering laws and agreed to pay over $3 billion in penalties, the largest fine ever in AML regulations. The bank also received an asst cap of approx $434 billion that restricts growth in U.S. operations until AML deficiencies meet regulatory requirements.
Since then, as reported in the Wall Street Journal, U.S. Senators Ron Wyden and Elizabeth Warren have written to TD’s Bharat Masrani asking for clarity on what bank executives knew and how they responded to a scheme that laundered over $470 million of drug sales through the Canadian bank, raising accountability questions.
While Da Ying Sze was the mastermind behind the $470 million laundering scheme, he was external to the bank and exploited the bank's vulnerabilities. In February 2022, Sze (also called David) pleaded guilty to multiple money laundering related charges and worked with at least 3 now arrested former TD Bank employees who facilitated.
According to the WSJ article, TD Bank employees flagged Da Ying Sze’s suspicious activity - some even joking about it in emails. One store manager warned a colleague, “You guys really need to shut this down LOL,” while another expressed concern that tellers felt uncomfortable handling the transactions. Higher-level executives were also aware of the risks. Senators are questioning the bank's accountability and how much executives knew about what was going on.
Spokesperson said:
“We appreciate the concerns expressed by Senators Warren and Wyden. TD has taken full responsibility for its AML [anti-money-laundering] program failures and is making significant investments and enhancements to meet regulatory obligations and help protect the financial system.”
In response, the Canadian government has proposed stronger anti-money laundering rules including tougher penalties, criminal charges for providing false information, and expanded powers for FINTRAC. The Fall Economic Statement (FES) of December 2024 included these changes but this year's FES was largely derailed by Chrystia Freeland, Canada's Finance Ministers' sudden resignation.
TD Bank’s AML scandal has adversely impacted the bank's financial performance and reputation. Fourth quarter profits fell short of expectations prompting a suspension of mid-term financial growth targets. More likely to come...
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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Privacy Report | Dec 13, 2024

Financial privacy is at a crossroads. Another 'eye opening' report dropped December 6, 2024 by the U.S. House Judiciary Committee and the Select Subcommittee on the Weaponization of the Federal Government titled, "How the Federal Government Weaponized the Bank Secrecy Act to Spy on Americans" (47 page PDF) reveals alarming financial surveillance systems being used in the United States. Using laws like the Bank Secrecy Act (BSA), federal agencies use financial institutions to monitor millions of Americans without their knowledge or consent. These findings have serious implications for fintech, innovation, and consumer trust. There's a tug of war between security and privacy and it's reaching a breaking point.
Last year in 2023, financial institutions filed 4.6 million Suspicious Activity Reports (SARs) and 20.8 million Currency Transaction Reports (CTRs) with the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN). Over 25,000 government officials at various levels accessed this data without legal warrants to conduct over 3.3 million searches using the FinCEN Query system. FinCEN's integrated access program allowed approx. 27,000 users across nine federal agencies to download entire datasets of financial records with minimal oversight.
Financial institutions often outsource compliance tasks to third party vendors which raises questions about data security and privacy breaches under the confidentiality rules under the Bank Secrecy Act. Another layer of exposure risk.
The report describes a system that encourages banks to over-report SARs to avoid penalties for non-compliance (even when the reported activity is unlikely to be connected with a crime or wrongdoing).
Jimmy Kirby, FinCEN Deputy Director:
"There’s the mandatory requirement and then there’s the ability to voluntarily file, as the statutory construct laid out by Congress really is to encourage filing. So... there’s the ones you’re required to file, but there’s also very much an encouragement for people to voluntarily file beyond what they’re required to file."
The use of financial data to target specific individuals or groups is critical issue for policymakers, and has been increasing in recent years. Especially after Jan 6, 2021 uprising in the U.S. where institutions were told to flag individuals on politically charged criteria, such as purchasing firearms, travel to Washington, D.C., staying at specific hotels etc.
A similar situation happened here in Canada too during the trucker protests of 2022. Canadian federal agencies used the Emergencies Act to direct banks to freeze accounts of individuals and organizations linked to the protest. They also instructed crypto exchanges to cut off crypto user accounts linked to the protests. Donation- based crowdfunding platforms were also caught in the fire as FINTRAC's knee jerk reaction to impose unwarranted AML/ATF requirements on them without any data-driven analysis.
Daryl Hatton, Founder and CEO of FundRazr:
“In summary, the regulations are ineffective, burdensome, anti-competitive, and damaging to both the domestic donation crowdfunding sector and the Canadian nonprofit/charitable sector. The goal of protecting Canadians from money laundering and terrorism is laudable, but these regulations should be scrapped, and new regulations drafted in full consultation with stakeholders.”
Fintech firms operating in the U.S. (especially smaller ones) in some capacity can find themselves swamped by compliance costs which eat up valuable resources away from innovation. For example, a Canadian payment processor may find that routine transactions under Canadian regulations could trigger SARs in the U.S., adding to compliance and operational costs.
Or consider, a crypto platform doing business in the U.S. could encounter conflicting demands such as when U.S. regulators request data but Canadian privacy laws protect that data. These different regulatory environments create frictions.
Excessive surveillance hurts consumer trust and adversely impacts the adoption of fintech solutions. Use your voice and emerging technology to demand accountability and create private, ethical systems that balance security with individual rights, ensuring a future free from weaponizing financial data inappropriately.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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BRICS | Dec 3, 2024

Image: Freepik/ibrandify
The original BRICS member nations including Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa previously announced their bold vision to challenge the dominance of the U.S. dollar by creating a shared currency. The plan hatched and promised an alternative currency and payment system that would be free from the influence of U.S. sanctions and monetary policy.
Lord Lamont of Lerwick stated:
"If it ever happened, it would be a major threat to the Western-led financial system, but above all it would make it impossible for the West to impose sanctions on countries like Russia, China or Iran or other malign countries."
But is the dream now unravelling?
Just a few days ago, U.S. President-elect Donald Trump announced that American wasn't going to sit by idly while BRICS trading bloc tries to circumvent the U.S. dollar and threatened to implement a 100% tariff on BRICS nations if they launch an alternative currency. He also demanded commitment from these countries that that would and abandon any de-dollarization efforts.
The idea that the BRICS Countries are trying to move away from the Dollar while we stand by and watch is OVER. We require a commitment from these Countries that they will neither create a new BRICS Currency, nor back any other Currency to replace the mighty U.S. Dollar or, they…
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 30, 2024
Russia isn’t backing down arguing that Trump's threats could backfire by pushing even more countries to consider alternatives other than the dollar.
Dmitry Peskov, Kremlin spokesman:
"[The dollar is losing its appeal as a reserve currency for many countries, a trend that is gathering pace]. More and more countries are switching to the use of national currencies in their trade and foreign economic activities. If the U.S. uses force, as they say economic force, to compel countries to use the dollar it will further strengthen the trend of switching to national currencies (in international trade)."
Recent reports say that some BRICS members may be stepping back from the initiative due to varying economies and conflicting monetary policies that are anticipated to be difficult to overcome. Each country has unique economic needs so a one size fits all approach to a currency solution is tricky. For example, China is an economic powerhouse and may prioritize its own currency at the expense of smaller nations.
Is it a zero sum game with a clear winner and loser?
China is best positioned to benefit if a BRICS currency takes off. They are the largest economy in the BRICS trading bloc and Beijing could use the initiative as a stepping stone to boost the yuan's role in global trade. China is strategically looking to increase its global influence so its beyond just economics. Critics are concerned that such dominance by China would come at the expense of smaller BRICS members.
Russia, currently at war with the Ukraine and constantly at loggerheads with the U.S. has a lot riding on the idea of an alternative BRICS currency. Russia is currently facing a litany of sanctions and economic isolation so an alternative to the U.S. dollar could help stabilize Russia's economy and offer it a better hand on the geopolitical global stage. Conversely, a failed BRICS currency could force Russia into a rock and a hard place.
India is being more cautious as it understands that while a BRICS currency may make trading easier within a bloc, it could give China more control. India has its own massively growing economy and aspirations so it's walking a fine line that balances cooperation while protecting its independence.
For Brazil and South Africa the risks are high with smaller rewards since their economies are much smaller and they may struggle to stay competitive in a system dominated by China and Russia. So while they may be benefits for a larger block, their smaller interests could easily get pushed to the side so the benefits aren't as clear nor are they guaranteed. Having said that Brazil has been a strong advocate for a BRICS currency system over the dollar.
While the U.S. dollar is still dominant, cracks are appearing as some countries are seeking alternatives to U.S. economic sanctions or geopolitical strategies. Since trading nations are deeply integrated and affect global markets, any significant changes to currency dynamics could have serious global impact. It could appear as shifting exchanges rates, new supply chains / trade flows and different financial alliances.
Companies and policymakers need to remain agile. Even if the BRICS currency initiative fails, its a movement that gained momentum and certainly a trend that the world cannot ignore.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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November 29, 2024

Image: Freepik/master1305
Effective governance can never be a ‘set and forget’ endeavor — it needs to be continually monitored, reviewed, and modernized for the business to see its full benefits.
As Marc Hodak, Partner at Farient Advisors, said at Diligent’s user conference, “Good governance is ultimately what is right for the long-term health of the company.”
Diligent, a leader in modern governance, highlights the need for organizations to conduct regular health checks in order to maintain good governance, effectively manage risk, foster diversity and inclusion, and react to the needs of shareholders and the wider society.
In the same way you’d send your vehicle for a regular check-up to help to identify hidden issues so you can proactively address them and drive smoothly, regular governance health checks are also crucial. A deep governance check can uncover potential gaps or weaknesses in the governance structure, allowing businesses to quickly adapt to changing regulatory landscapes, emerging risks, and evolving business needs.
What steps do organizations need to take to complete a corporate governance health check? In the framework below, Diligent’s experts outline how to perform a governance health check to proactively respond to the evolving corporate landscape, empower sustainable growth, and uncover any hidden issues,
Good corporate governance considers the rules, practices and processes that guide an organization towards its goals through effective operations and clear decision-making.
Six key principles of corporate governance were issued by the G20 and the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) in 2023. This guidance assists policymakers in evaluating and improving legal, regulatory, and institutional frameworks while also serving as a guide to help corporations innovate and adapt in a competitive world.
Once you’ve completed your governance health check, keep up with organizational changes and evolving stakeholder needs through real-time data dashboards for board and leadership collaboration.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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