Karsten Wenzlaff, Advisor
August 26th, 2025
Trade and Tariffs| July 10, 2025
Image: Freepik/rawpixel.com
As of July 8, 2025, Reuters reports that the U.S. has collected about $100 billion in tariff revenues in 2025, and according to U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, tariff revenue projections could reach $300 billion by the end of this year.
Customs duties in May alone reached $22.8 billion or almost 4x the amount one year prior. While the White House views this revenue as a fiscal benefit, economists caution that tariffs create economic distortions, raise costs for importers, and increase prices for consumers.
FactCheck.org analyzed Treasury data and found that U.S. customs and tariffs generated $37.8 billion in April and May combined, with $22.2 billion in May alone, which is well below the $88 billion those months were referenced to yield, let alone the larger $122 billion claimed later. It highlights how public statements about tariff income often exceed actual collections.
The Business Council of Canada reports that Canadian exports to the U.S. dropped 26.5% year-over-year, with Canada's share of exports to the U.S. falling from 78% to 68%.
Export volumes fell 10.8% in April before seeing a small 1.1% rebound in May but remain historically low. The Business Council of Canada warned that this declines is another “wake-up call” with advocates pushing to diversify trade into Southeast Asia, and move ahead with the One Canadian Economy Act .
Canada’s proposed 3% digital services tax was supposed to raise C$7.2 billion over five years but was dropped by PM Carney late June after it triggered the suspension of trade talks .
According to The Guardian, Nobel laureate economist Joseph Stiglitz warned that Canada's repeal represents “a troubling precedent for economic sovereignty,” describing it as a resignation to U.S. economic coercion instead of a strategic trade policy.
On July 7, Trump issued letters announcing tariffs between 25–40% to start August 1 on imports from 14 countries, including South Korea and Japan. Canada wasn't included on this list but is still subject to existing 25% tariffs on steel, aluminum, and autos, along with 10% U.S. duties on energy and potash not covered by CUSMA. Copper tariffs are also in Trump's sights which is another concern. The S&P 500 fell nearly 1%, it's largest global drop in weeks following the tariff letter announcement.
Tariff uncertainty is directly affecting Canadian fintechs. Cross-border payment providers are facing higher Foreign Exchange (FX) costs and more regulatory complexity.
Trade finance platforms have warned that rising tariff uncertainty is leading to higher invoice default rates among SME exporters and creating pressure on fintech services who need predictable trade flows.
According to PYMTS, many fintechs are accelerating adoption of tokenized receivables and embedded credit insurance tools to help manage risk, speed up funding, and reduce exposure to trade disruption.
“Tokenization… offers the potential to streamline the inefficient $9.7 trillion trade finance market.”
Canada and the U.S. are negotiating a new security and economic partnership with a July 21 target date but without consequences for missing the deadline, extended talks will cause further economic harm. And if there is no deal, Canada could move forward with retaliatory tariffs while providing targeted relief, which could include SME and export-orientated fintechs.
Looking to diversify and reduce reliance on U.S. markets, Canada is moving quickly to finalize a free trade agreement with Southeast Asian nations. Foreign Minister Anita Anand confirmed that “work is being done with alacrity to finalise the text of the free trade agreement” with ASEAN, adding that economic cooperation will also include energy, food security, digital economy, and artificial intelligence.
The July 21 deadline will impact Canada’s exports and redefine trade, innovation, and the financial ecosystem, as it impacts geopolitical volatility, SME access to financing, and investor perceptions. This is a decisive moment for Canada’s economic resilience and fintech innovation.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
Digital Finance Public Infrastructure Report | July 9, 2025
Image: Freepik/Rawpixel.com
The Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance (CCAF) just published a new report, "Digital Public Infrastructure (DPI) and Digital Financial Services" (69 page PDF) showing that 113 countries have adopted at least one DPI building block. Over half have adopted all three: digital identity, real-time payments, and consent-based data sharing. DPI is not just a policy trend. Countries with strong DPI systems result in much better financial inclusion outcomes. Canada, however, is still working on its foundational pieces.
According to the World Bank Group, DPI refers to digital systems like ID, payments, and data exchange platforms that support public and private services. These systems work best when they are (1) Interoperable, (2) Open for innovation, and (3) Designed for public benefit.
According to the CCAF report, there are three core components of Digital Public Infrastructure:
These systems help reduce fraud, speed up services, and lower costs for businesses and consumers. Most importantly, they help more people access the financial system.
The CCAF report shows clear adoption patterns with 113 jurisdictions having implemented at least one core DPI component, and 56 jurisdictions having adopted all three components. That includes countries with advanced economies and strong financial sectors, so they are relevant comparators for Canada such as:
Other high-income countries, such as the United Kingdom and United States, are making progress but fall short of full DPI readiness due to gaps in national digital identity or regulated data sharing.
| Country | Digital Identity | Real-Time Payments | Consent-Based Data Sharing | Full DPI (All 3)? |
| Canada | ❌ No national ID | ❌ No live system | ❌ Proposed Consumer Driven Banking Act | ❌ |
| Australia | ✅ MyGov/MyID | ✅ NPP live | ✅ Consumer Data Right (CDR) | ✅ |
| Singapore | ✅ Singpass | ✅ PayNow | ✅ MAS APEX + open finance | ✅ |
| Estonia | ✅ e-ID/X-Road | ✅ SEPA Instant | ✅ Full integration | ✅ |
| Switzerland | ✅ e-ID live | ✅ SIC | ✅ I14Y platform | ✅ |
| UK | ❌ No national ID | ✅ FPS | ✅ Open Banking | ❌ |
| US | ❌ No national ID | ✅ FedNow | ❌ Market-driven only | ❌ |
CCAF cross referenced data from the World Bank’s Global Findex to compare outcomes across countries. It grouped countries by how many DPI components they had in place.
| Indicator | Countries with 1 DPI component | Countries with 3 components |
| Own a debit or credit card | 25% | 77% |
| Use digital payments | 45% | 83% |
| Borrow from formal institutions | 15% | 38% |
| Receive government transfers | 14% | 28% |
| Say lack of ID prevents account access | 19% | 7% |
| Find it very difficult to raise emergency funds | 34% | 19% |
The data-driven and outcome message is clear. More DPI means better access to financial tools and stronger financial resilience.
According to the CCAF’s global DPI landscape, Canada is in the exploratory or early development stage across all three DPI pillars. Each area has seen policy activity, but none are fully operational, which NCFA agrees.
“Planning status indicates that foundational DPI systems are under discussion or development but are not yet implemented at scale in a way that enables key financial use cases.”
DPI is more than just government infrastructure. The report highlights that public-private partnerships are key to scaling systems that reduce onboarding costs, improve access to credit, and allow fintechs to innovate securely. Countries with strong DPI frameworks offer:
It’s time for Canada to take action and build. No more delays. We cannot expect to maintain our quality of life or Canada’s global economic position without bold steps forward. Digital public infrastructure is no longer optional. It's foundational and without DPI, Canada’s fintech sector remains limited in how it can compete, scale, or serve excluded groups.
Moving from strategy to execution is the only way to close the gap. Without it, the country risks falling further behind. It is a public good that lifts access, speeds services, and builds trust. Countries that move fast, collaborate across regulators, industry, and communities are seeing real results. Canada has the policy tools, the tech capacity, and the industry support to do the same. But time is running out to catch up.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
Financial Advice | July 8, 2025
Image: Freepik/rawpixel.com
In the UK, the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has proposed a new approach to tackle the issue of improving access to financial advice, so people can make informed investment decisions. The FCA is calling this a 'once in a generation' reform that would let firms provide targeted and simplified financial advice to underserved populations without the regulatory burden of full-service advisory. Should Canada be exploring a similar path?
On June 29, 2025, the FCA released a consultation in effort to alter how financial guidance is delivered. According to the regulator, only 9% of UK adults received regulated advice in 2024. At the same time, over 7 million people are holding more than £10,000 in cash without investing it. The proposed rules include two core categories:
The FCA expects around 100 firms to offer services under these reforms by April 2026. The proposal aims to support better outcomes for consumers while still protecting investors.
In Canada, regulated investment advice is tightly controlled. Firms offering investment recommendations must be registered with a provincial securities regulator and meet strict know-your-client (KYC) and suitability obligations. This approach is critical for investor protection but it creates high cost and operational barriers for reaching clients with modest portfolios.
The FCAC’s National Financial Literacy Strategy 2021–2026 emphasizes its mandate to enhance Canadians’ financial knowledge and resilience, but efforts so far rely heavily on education, tools, and public awareness. The CSA’s Investor Education Committee has launched social campaigns, investor alerts, and literacy tools to empower Canadians to make informed financial decisions.
According to CSA research, more than 40% report low confidence in their investment knowledge. Findings show a decline in advisor use (down to 61%), while DIY attitudes rise (45% have self-directed accounts), raising concerns about whether Canadians have sufficient knowledge and confidence to manage investments on their own.
Canada’s robo-advisor market is expanding swiftly. Wealthsimple alone manages over $70 billion CAD (as of June 2025), Questrade’s Questwealth holds $30 billion CAD (early 2020), and even more growth is expected as digital investing gains traction, with services increasingly adopted by younger investors. These platforms offer digital-first, affordable investment tools, but remain constrained by current regulatory expectations.
By contrast, the FCA's framework could allow robo-advisors to deliver access to simpler advice or proactive guidance based on behavioural data. These changes have the potential to increase access while reducing costs, without compromising key investor protections. In Canada, any comparable flexibility would require regulatory change.
Another growing channel for financial guidance is social media. In Canada, 82% of Gen Z investors report following influencers for financial tips, and 44% believe online advice is as useful as traditional advisors. While some content is educational, the Ontario Securities Commission and Alberta Securities Commission have raised concerns about unregistered finfluencers promoting securities without appropriate disclosures.
If Canada created space for fintechs and advisors to offer low-cost, regulated advice digitally, it could reduce dependence on informal and sometimes misleading content. The FCA’s 'once in a lifetime' reforms aim to do just that, offering a model Canada could adapt to fit our regulatory landscape.
Canada’s fintech innovators are capable of building trusted, scalable tools to help close the advice gap. But changes to regulatory structures need to happen to support new delivery models. The FCA’s targeted support and simplified advice categories are a good benchmark and approach. Canadian regulators and policy makers should be exploring how to safely expand access to financial guidance that is compliant, cost-effective, and in the public interest.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | ![]() |