Karsten Wenzlaff, Advisor
August 26th, 2025
AI | January 20, 2026

Image: Freepik
On January 19, 2026 via Reuters, OpenAI's Chief Financial Officer Sarah Friar confirmed that its annualized revenue exceeded US $20B in 2025. Reported figures show revenue was $6B in 2024 and about $2B in 2023, meaning revenue more than tripled this past year alone, mirroring the scale of paid demand for OpenAI services.
Annualized revenue describes what a company would generate over twelve months if current sales levels stayed constant, and is a widely measure to assess momentum in subscription and usage-based businesses. For OpenAI, the number reflects sustained growth in paid ChatGPT subscriptions, enterprise contracts, and API usage across multiple industries.
OpenAI’s revenue growth closely follows its infrastructure expansion. Reuters reports that the company increased its computing capacity from roughly 0.6 gigawatts in 2024 to about 1.9 gigawatts in 2025, nearly tripling in one year. That level of scale requires access to capital, power, chips, and long-term supplier agreements that only a handful of firms can sustain.
As scale increases, it begins to set the rules of the market.
Infrastructure capacity now determines who can offer AI services at competitive prices, who can guarantee availability during peak demand, and who can absorb cost volatility without disrupting customers. Performance expectations increasingly reflect what the largest providers can deliver, not what smaller firms can economically support.
This trajectory does not mean startups disappear overnight, but it raises the survival bar.
Startups that rely on thin margins face the earliest pressure. This includes companies that resell model access, wrap generic AI features into existing products, or compete primarily on convenience rather than control over data or distribution. As OpenAI captures more value directly through subscriptions, enterprise contracts, and advertising, profit margins for intermediaries narrows.
The pressure shows up first in functions that scale with usage rather than revenue, such as customer support automation, fraud monitoring, transaction screening, onboarding workflows, and real time decisioning. In these areas, AI costs rise with activity even when revenue does not.
By contrast, startups with proprietary data, embedded customer relationships, or regulated market access retain leverage. The dividing line is no longer access to AI. It is control over economics, customers, and accountability.
AI pricing is typically usage based. As fintech products scale, AI expenses scale with them, often faster and with less predictability than revenue. This creates margin pressure, particularly in Canada where fintechs operate with smaller domestic scale, tighter capital markets, and higher regulatory expectations. What appears manageable during early deployment can become material at scale.
In regulated financial services, vendor dependency becomes operational risk, and operational risk becomes regulatory exposure.
There is also a governance reality. When AI influences credit decisions, disclosures, complaints, or customer outcomes, fintechs remain fully accountable even when they do not control model behaviour, pricing changes, or service limits.
Pricing power in AI is concentrating upstream. Intelligence is becoming a metered utility controlled by a small number of providers with the capital and infrastructure to set terms. Large global firms can absorb cost swings, negotiate volume discounts, and manage vendor risk across portfolios. Many Canadian fintechs cannot.
The strategic question is not whether to use AI, but how tightly to bind core operations to any single supplier. Fintechs that preserve provider flexibility, constrain AI use to high impact functions, and tie spending directly to measurable outcomes retain an advantage (for now). Those that treat AI as an invisible background feature risk discovering too late that it has become a fixed dependency with variable costs.
OpenAI’s $20B annualized revenue growth is about market structure limits. Scale now determines who sets prices, who absorbs volatility, and who carries risk. For Canadian fintech, AI decisions now belong alongside cloud infrastructure, payments rails, and core systems as board level considerations.The firms that stay competitive will be the ones that manage AI like any other core cost, with clear oversight and control.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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Davos | Jan 19, 2026

Image: Current Global Risk Landscape (WEF 2026 Global Risks Report)
From January 19 to 23, 2026, global leaders are gathering in Davos, Klosters for the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2026, one of the few global forums where heads of government, central bankers, investors, and business leaders meet in the same place to discuss economic risk, trade, and long term stability. This year’s theme is "A Spirit of Dialogue", to address growing concerns that cooperation is weakening as global risks are becoming harder to manage.
Ahead of Davos, the World Economic Forum released its Global Risks Report 2026 (102 page PDF) based on its Global Risks Perception Survey of more than 1,300 experts across government, business, academia, and civil society worldwide. Participants were asked to rank the risks most likely to trigger a global crisis in the short term, as well as the most severe risks over longer time horizons.
The report identifies "geoeconomic confrontation" as the top risk most likely to trigger a material global crisis in 2026. 18% of survey respondents ranked it first, moving it ahead of state based armed conflict for the first time. The report defines geoeconomic confrontation as the deliberate use of tariffs, sanctions, export controls, investment screening, subsidies, capital restrictions, and technology controls to advance national interests, rather than as temporary trade friction.
The report frames the current period as an age of competition, where economic tools increasingly replace diplomacy. It also shows that confidence in multilateral systems is weakening.
68% of respondents expecting a more fragmented global order, where countries manage multiple regional relationships instead of relying on a single rules based framework.
Economic risks remain elevated. An economic downturn ranks 6th among global risks for 2026, reflecting concerns tied to trade fragmentation, high debt levels, and asset price vulnerability. The report doesn't predict a specific recession size, but it highlights how shocks can spread faster in a highly interconnected financial system.
The report also quantifies risks tied to trust and technology. Misinformation and disinformation rank 5th, driven by faster and more scalable digital amplification. Cyber insecurity ranks 9th, while adverse outcomes of AI technologies enter the top ten for the first time, reflecting concerns around misuse, governance gaps, and longer term economic and security effects. Importantly, the report shows AI related risks increasing significantly over the ten year horizon, as leaders view AI as a structural risk that compounds other pressures rather than a short term crisis trigger.
Canada doesn't set global rules on its own, but it is deeply affected by how those rules evolve. The Global Risks Report makes clear that mid sized, trade dependent economies face higher exposure when economic pressure becomes a primary policy tool.
Market behaviour already price this sensitivity. Canadian equity markets have shown quick reactions to renewed tariff threats and trade policy signals, reinforcing how closely capital pricing tracks global risk narratives. This volatility isn't driven by domestic structural gaps alone, but by uncertainty in the global trade environment.
In Canada, business leaders are already feeling the pressures Davos is wrestling with. In the Bank of Canada Business Outlook Survey for the fourth quarter of 2025, firms report subdued sentiment and weak recent sales growth, and many point to trade tension and uncertainty as key reasons they stay cautious on hiring and investment. Some exporters also report that they are working harder to sell into markets outside the United States, which fits a broader push toward diversification as global risk rises.
For Canada, the forum offers a place to engage with partners, investors, and institutions that are reassessing risk, diversification, and resilience at the same time. In a world where geoeconomic confrontation leads the risk rankings, visibility and credibility matter.
The risks highlighted in the Global Risks Report translate into practical considerations for Canada’s fintech and innovation ecosystem.
First, trade concentration is a measurable risk.
When tariffs, sanctions, and investment controls rise, companies with narrow market exposure face greater volatility. Diversifying customers, partners, and capital sources becomes a defensive strategy, not just a growth choice.
Second, capital follows predictability. The report links economic downturn risk to policy uncertainty and fragmented governance. Investors respond by adjusting risk premiums, which affects valuations, fundraising timelines, and exit options, particularly for scale ups.
Third, technology risk is contextual, meaning technology itself isn't the main risk. The risk comes from how it is used, governed, and trusted, especially when economic and political tensions are already high. The report doesn't treat AI or digital systems as isolated threats. Instead, it positions them as amplifiers that can worsen misinformation, cyber exposure, and economic disruption if governance and trust break down. For Canadian firms competing globally, credibility around security, governance, and responsible deployment increasingly affects whether they win customers and attract capital.
Trade, finance, and technology are now at the center of geopolitical strategy, with direct consequences for businesses and investors. Canada’s fintech ecosystem should plan for sustained volatility. Growth strategies built on stable trade assumptions face higher risk. Founders and investors who understand these quantified global risks will be better positioned to manage exposure, attract capital, and compete responsibly in a more uncertain global economy.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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Fintech in Canada | January 15, 2026

In January 2026, Portage confirmed it will manage select Point72 Ventures fintech assets through a US$280 million continuation vehicle and will become the general partner of the fund. This is Portage’s first large scale move into secondaries and supports how private fintech ownership increasingly changes hands without relying on IPOs or acquisitions.
The vehicle holds stakes in roughly 40 private fintech companies, many of which are described as relatively mature and closer to potential exits. The fund is backed by Goldman Sachs Asset Management alongside Portage and additional investors, and includes a separate services arrangement under which Portage will oversee other Point72 fintech assets not transferred into the continuation vehicle.
As part of the deal, Tripp Shriner (previously a partner at Point72 Ventures) joins Portage as a general partner to help lead portfolio oversight and integration, while Point72 retains a 40% ownership stake in the continuation vehicle. The retained stake signals that the deal is about portfolio rebalancing and not an exit from fintech exposure.
Adam Felesky, Portage Chief Executive said:
“This transaction underscores our confidence in the strength of this fintech portfolio and the potential synergies with Portage’s existing investments. Moreover, we think our value creation expertise will be a huge asset to these fintech companies as they continue to grow.”
Portage operates as a global fintech focused investment platform with more than US$5.7 billion in assets under management across over 115 portfolio companies, investing across venture, growth, and later stage financial services businesses spanning Canada, the United States, Europe, and the Middle East.
One of Portage’s most prominent Canadian fintech investments is Wealthsimple, which reached a US$10 billion valuation following a US$750 million equity and secondary financing round, detailed in NCFA’s coverage of Wealthsimple’s recent growth financing. That round reinforced how large private fintechs increasingly use secondary liquidity instead of rushing toward public listings. Portage has backed several other Canadian fintechs such as KOHO, extending its involvement beyond wealth management into consumer focused financial services.
Secondaries allow existing ownership stakes in private companies or funds to change hands without new shares being issued (see overview of private equity secondary markets). They typically take two forms. LP led secondaries involve investors selling their fund interests to manage exposure or free capital. GP led transactions, often structured as continuation vehicles, involve moving specific portfolio assets into a new fund so they can be held longer under revised terms.
Continuation vehicles have become more common as fintech companies stay private longer and early investors seek liquidity without forcing exits. In a GP led structure, the portfolio remains intact, management continuity is preserved, and new investors can enter at a later stage while existing investors choose whether to roll their stakes forward or sell.
In this case, the continuation vehicle allows Point72 to rebalance capital toward other sectors while retaining a 40% economic stake in the fintech portfolio, and gives Portage responsibility for managing the assets through their next phase of ownership rather than pushing for near term public listings.
This deal shows that liquidity in fintech no longer depends on IPO timing alone and reflects how fintech financing in Canada is moving beyond early stage venture cycles. Ownership can change while companies stay private and focused. Portage managing a global continuation vehicle shows that Canadian investment platforms can handle complex private market deals and support growth and ownership staying anchored at home.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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Exporting | Webinar | January 14, 2026
Image: Freepik/Rawpixel.com
Many Canadian companies still operate only in their domestic market or to a narrow set of export markets. That limited exposure becomes a problem when trade rules change, demand softens, or geopolitical risk rises like the current trade environment Canada finds itself in.
On January 28, 2026, Canada's Trade Commissioner Service (TCS) is hosting a webinar for founders and operators called 'Trade diversification: how to select a new market" to better understand the key decisions they must face to determine where to export their business internationally. The session aligns closely with NCFA's community and the hope is that founders will approach choices with more discipline than pure instinct.
Host: Trade Commissioner Service in partnership with the Forum for International Trade Training
Date/Time: January 28, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT (60 minutes)
Format: Online via Webex
Description: The session introduces a structured approach to evaluating and selecting new international markets based on opportunity, fit, and risk. The webinar also features insights from Chief Trade Commissioner Sara Wilshaw on how Canadian companies can use Trade Commissioner Service support when entering or scaling in foreign markets. The webinar is designed for Canadian companies of all sizes and across all sectors that want to expand internationally, explore new export markets, or strengthen their global growth strategy through diversification. It is relevant for first time exporters as well as firms already active abroad that are reassessing their market mix.
The discussion explains why diversification matters now and how it helps reduce long term business risk.
A certified FITT expert walks through a clear step by step method for choosing the right market.
Canadian exporters share lessons from real expansion efforts including what worked and what they would change.
The session also explains how the Trade Commissioner Service supports companies with market intelligence, local connections, and on the ground insight.
A live Q and A allows participants to ask questions tied directly to their export plans.
Registration closes January 27, 2026. REGISTER HERE before registration closes on Jan 27, 2026. For questions, participants should contact the Trade Commissioner Service directly at tcs-sdc@international.gc.ca.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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AI Regulation | Jan 14, 2026

Image: Freepik
In the first days of January 2026, Elon Musk's AI chatbot Grok (developed by xAI and integrated into X) generated sexual images of real people, including images apparently involving minors, after internal safeguards failed. The issue became public immediately after the New Year and has gone viral since. What began as a platform failure quickly expanded into regulatory, legal, and civil society responses across multiple jurisdictions.
Malaysia and Indonesia are the only countries that have confirmed national blocks of Grok access, citing the creation of non-consensual sexualised imagery and public safety risks.
European Union officials also warned that failure to address the issue could lead to enforcement under existing digital safety rules. No EU-wide restriction has been imposed.
Public pressure has also played a role. International NGO Oxfam confirmed it's examining reports involving AI generated sexualised images created by altering real photographs, framing the concern around harm, consent, and exploitation.
Individuals whose likenesses were used in non-consensual AI generated sexual imagery have spoken out publicly in the United States, describing personal harm and exploring legal remedies, as reflected in accounts from people targeted by AI sexual images. Some unions and professional groups have also reduced or paused activity on X following the controversy.
In the United Kingdom, Ofcom launched a formal investigation into X after what it described as “deeply concerning reports” that Grok was being used to create and share sexualized images, including children.
Ofcom said it will assess whether X failed to remove illegal content quickly once aware of it, whether it took appropriate steps to prevent UK users from seeing such material, and whether it deployed highly effective age assurance measures to stop children from accessing pornographic images.
If Ofcom finds X has breached UK law, it can impose a fine of up to 10% of worldwide revenue or £18 million (whichever is greater), and can seek a court order requiring internet service providers to block access to X in the UK.
UK ministers publicly backed the investigation, urging Ofcom to complete it swiftly and stating that victims would not accept delay.
Elon Musk responded publicly by criticising government actions, saying the UK government was looking for “any excuse for censorship” after questions were raised about why other AI platforms were not being examined. Separately, Musk said he was unaware Grok had generated explicit images involving minors and stated such uses violate platform rules.
The United States has not blocked Grok, but lawmakers have focused on liability. The US Senate unanimously passed legislation allowing victims of non-consensual sexually explicit AI generated images to pursue civil action, including damages and court orders.
Canada has also avoided a ban. Ottawa's AI Minister Evan Solomon responsible for artificial intelligence stated the government will not ban Grok or X at this stage, while acknowledging that Canadian law doesn’t clearly address AI generated non-consensual sexual imagery, and that laws needed updating to address deepfakes.
To be sure, AI governance tightens once harm involves identifiable individuals as in this case. Across jurisdictions, responses are focusing on consent, child protection, and platform accountability rather than abstract debates about speech. For fintechs and other regulated firms deploying generative AI, scrutiny is on improving governance, safeguards, and enforcement readiness.
From NCFA's perspective, AI systems should operate within clear legal and ethical boundaries that protect individuals, maintain public trust, and still allow responsible innovation to move forward. As of now, verified developments include two confirmed national blocks, active regulatory investigations, quantified enforcement powers, and new US civil liability legislation. Further responses remain under review.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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