Karsten Wenzlaff, Advisor
August 26th, 2025
Jul 2, 2026 | NCFA Resource | Artificial Intelligence And Data, Digital Assets Blockchain And Tokenization, Risk Compliance And Regtech

On June 10, 2026, the UK Financial Conduct Authority published the FCA Emerging Technology Horizon Scan 2026. The report examines how AI agents, synthetic financial crime and programmable finance could affect consumers, firms, markets and financial infrastructure through 2030.
NCFA's FCA Emerging Technology Horizon Scan guide turns the report into an interactive regulatory foresight resource. It separates the FCA's findings from implementation considerations, NCFA interpretation and Canadian relevance.
The FCA organizes the Horizon Scan around three technology convergence themes:
The guide also connects the Horizon Scan with later FCA work, including the Mills Review, the Supercharged Sandbox and the joint frontier AI cyber resilience statement.
The resource helps fintech leaders assess technology combinations rather than treating AI, distributed ledgers, identity, data, payments and cyber risk as separate issues.
Readers can use the interactive explorer to review:
The FCA Horizon Scan sits before formal regulation. It identifies early indicators that may affect product governance, consumer protection, financial crime controls, market surveillance, operational resilience and infrastructure design.
This resource is useful for fintech founders, financial institutions, AI developers, digital asset firms, regtech providers, compliance teams, cybersecurity leaders, investors, policymakers and market infrastructure firms.
It is especially relevant to teams assessing AI agent governance, synthetic identity, deepfake risk, automated financial crime, tokenized finance, programmable payments, stablecoins, digital identity, smart data and operational resilience.
The resource's main strength is its focus on convergence. It shows how AI agents, identity systems, synthetic media, tokenized assets, smart contracts and payment infrastructure may operate together.
It also supports practical planning. Firms can use it to test product assumptions, fraud controls, data strategy, identity plans, tokenized financial infrastructure and board level governance.
The FCA Horizon Scan is not regulatory guidance, a rulebook or a prediction. It does not create requirements or confirm that its scenarios will occur. Readers should use the guide for regulatory intelligence, scenario planning and strategic review, not as legal, financial, investment, compliance or professional advice.
FCA Emerging Technology Horizon Scan (interactive NCFA Regulatory Intelligence guide)
FCA Emerging Technology Horizon Scan 2026 (primary FCA source)
The Mills Review (FCA review of AI and retail financial services through 2030)
Frontier AI And Cyber Resilience (FCA, Bank of England and UK Treasury statement)
AI Agents Enter Governed Financial Workflows (AI governance and controls)
Tokenization Starts Looking Like Financial Infrastructure (programmable finance context)
MIT AI Risk Repository For Fintech Governance (AI risk taxonomy resource)
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer to peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit www.ncfacanada.org.
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The FCA Emerging Technology Horizon Scan 2026 sets out three plausible ways emerging technologies could combine across financial services. It focuses on early indicators, potential risks and strategic questions rather than binding rules.
Use this guide to understand how the FCA frames technology convergence across Personalised Intelligence, Synthetic Insecurity and Programmable Finance, how later FCA work develops those themes, and what they may mean for fintech strategy, supervision and financial infrastructure.
Coverage includes AI agents, digital twins, proxy economy risks, synthetic identity, deepfakes, autonomous financial crime, synthetic market abuse, operational resilience, tokenization, stablecoins, CBDCs, digital identity, smart data, Finternet, cross border interoperability and current FCA developments.
The Horizon Scan sits before formal regulation. It identifies plausible technology pathways that could affect consumer protection, financial crime prevention, operational resilience, infrastructure modernization and future supervisory focus.
The FCA report is organized around three technology convergence themes that cut across AI, fraud, cyber, digital assets, payments and infrastructure modernization.
Navigate the FCA Horizon Scan by strategic theme. Each section separates what the FCA says, implementation considerations and NCFA perspective.
The FCA says the Horizon Scan is its first external publication of this kind. It is not a prediction report or regulatory guidance. It presents three plausible ways emerging technologies could combine to affect consumers, firms and markets, and it highlights early signals of new risks.
Firms should treat the report as a strategic risk and opportunity map. It can inform board horizon scanning, innovation planning, product governance, cyber risk, fraud controls, data strategy, digital identity planning, tokenization strategy and operational resilience assessment.
This is an upstream regulatory strategy signal. It shows where future supervision may focus before formal rules appear. For NCFA, it connects directly to AI, digital identity, fraud, open finance, tokenization, stablecoins, CBDCs, cybersecurity, payments modernization and programmable market infrastructure.
The FCA frames emerging technology against broader global pressures, including AI competition, geopolitical tension, trade disputes, energy demand, critical materials, data centre growth, environmental pressure and divergent regulatory approaches. It notes that AI debate often runs faster than measurable evidence, while practical adoption is already taking root in customer engagement and agentic payments.
Boards should connect technology strategy to geopolitical supply chains, energy exposure, cloud concentration, vendor dependency, AI model access, regulatory divergence and cross border interoperability. Technology adoption should be assessed against measurable outcomes rather than hype.
The FCA is treating technology strategy as market structure strategy. The signals are not only about tools. They are about who controls interfaces, identity, compute, data, payment rails, settlement and trust verification.
Personalised Intelligence examines how AI, personal data, edge computing, digital twins and adaptive interfaces could change consumer outcomes. AI agents could become the main interface between consumers and firms, making financial services more personalized, automated and embedded in daily life.
Firms need to decide whether they are designing for human users, AI representatives or both. Product governance, disclosure, consent, suitability, accessibility, fair value and complaints processes may need to reflect agent-mediated consumer journeys.
The key question is whether AI increases consumer capability or quietly transfers decision power to opaque systems. The opportunity is strong, but consumer agency, privacy, accessibility and accountability become central design requirements.
The report describes escalating cognitive delegation, progressing from assistive mode to advisory mode and then autonomous action mode. In autonomous action models, proxies may negotiate, transact, optimize bills, reallocate investments or dispute charges within dynamic constraints.
Firms should assess how products appear to AI agents, how consent is collected, how human review is triggered and how agent decisions can be audited. Customer support should anticipate cases where consumers do not understand actions taken by their AI representatives.
AI agents could become the next distribution layer in financial services. The competitive question is not only who has the best app, but whose product is selected, negotiated and trusted by a consumer's agent.
The report describes digital twins as AI representations that could draw on financial data, device data, behavioural signals, wearables and broader preferences. Firms could use these tools to offer more personalized products and support by interacting with a consumer's digital twin or AI agent.
Digital twin use raises data minimization, consent, explainability, vulnerability, discrimination, product governance and audit questions. Firms need controls to avoid overfitting products to sensitive traits or creating exclusion through complexity.
Digital twins may support inclusion and better advice, but they could also create high-risk personalization. The market will need guardrails around what data should be used, who controls the twin and how decisions can be challenged.
The FCA describes a potential proxy economy where AI proxies act for consumers and competition shifts from human attention to algorithmic negotiation. The report warns that consumers may accept proxy permissions casually, similar to how web cookies are often accepted today.
Consumer protection may need to account for proxy choice architecture, permission design, escalation rules, audit trails and agent conflicts. Firms should review whether their own AI interfaces favour the firm over the consumer.
The proxy economy could rewrite financial distribution. It may reduce consumer inertia, but it may also create a new layer of algorithmic gatekeeping. This is a high value area for future NCFA question posts and opportunity analysis.
Synthetic Insecurity examines how AI expansion of human thought, labour, value chains and digital infrastructure could make simulated data difficult to distinguish from real data. The FCA describes a future where fabricated truth becomes harder to separate from actual truth.
Financial crime, fraud, onboarding, audit, dispute resolution and supervisory evidence processes should be assessed against synthetic documents, synthetic identities, narrative laundering, deepfakes and coordinated AI agent activity.
This is one of the most important sections for fintech and regulators. If evidence itself can be fabricated at scale, financial services need stronger verification layers, not only better detection of obvious fakes.
The report says deepfake risks are progressing from manipulation of the senses to manipulation of sense-making. AI may generate credible synthetic narratives, evidence trails and interactions that bypass both human and algorithmic judgment.
Firms need layered authentication, source verification, provenance controls, document forensics, voice and video verification, separate channel confirmations and controls for high-risk actions. Regulators may also need tools to assess evidentiary integrity.
Trust infrastructure is becoming a market opportunity. Identity, provenance, verification, secure communications and evidence integrity could become core financial infrastructure rather than operational controls.
The FCA warns that agentic AI could democratize high-complexity crime. A single individual may be able to deploy, manage and scale a global criminal organization through software, with AI agents performing phishing, scams, cyberattacks and manipulation.
Fraud and cyber teams should model autonomous attackers, not only human fraud rings. Controls need to detect rapid, adaptive, multilingual, personalized and multiple channel attacks that may operate continuously.
This section points to an arms race in financial crime operations. The opportunity is not only fraud prevention. It is coordinated intelligence sharing, AI defensive assessment and cross-sector resilience.
The report describes synthetic market abuse risks where autonomous multiple agent systems may engage in insider trading, collusion, spoofing, pump and dump activity, sentiment manipulation or synthetic consensus cascades.
Market surveillance should expand beyond order book and transaction data to include social sentiment, agentic behavior, synthetic content, coordinated narratives and cross-platform activity. Governance should define accountability when autonomous systems create abusive outcomes.
Synthetic market abuse links directly to crypto, tokenized markets and digital investor communities. This is a strong candidate for future Question Intelligence and regulatory comparison work.
The FCA describes adaptive and invisible threats to firms' operational resilience. Frontier AI models may identify zero-day vulnerabilities, while adaptive malware may rewrite itself, imitate normal activity and operate inside systems in real time.
Firms should assess AI-enabled cyber scenarios, cloud concentration risk, third-party software compromise, adaptive malware, rapid vulnerability response, model provider dependency and coordinated sector response. Resilience planning should assume faster attack cycles.
Operational resilience and AI risk are converging. The firms best positioned for the next phase will combine cybersecurity, vendor governance, model risk, incident response and trusted information sharing.
Programmable Finance examines the convergence of DLT and financial concepts. The FCA says financial infrastructure is becoming more modular, with shared ledgers, tokenisation, programmable money and smart contracts contributing to protocol-based financial systems.
Firms should map how programmable finance affects products, settlement, custody, compliance, legal documentation, data sharing, identity, payment triggers and risk controls. The question is how to design programmable systems that are interoperable, auditable and commercially usable.
This is the strongest bridge to NCFA's existing tokenization, stablecoin, payments and open finance work. The FCA is describing a transition from digitized services to programmable financial infrastructure.
The report situates tokenisation within programmable finance and protocol-based infrastructure. Tokenized assets are part of the transition toward financial instruments that can settle, execute and interact through software rather than manual reconciliation.
Tokenization projects should identify the real workflow being improved, the settlement asset, custody model, legal rights, data permissions, interoperability approach, compliance logic and operational fallback process.
The report supports NCFA's existing view that tokenization is becoming measurable financial infrastructure. The market opportunity is not token issuance alone. It is regulated rails, data, custody, liquidity, compliance and settlement.
The Horizon Scan links stablecoins, CBDCs, digital assets and programmable money to changes in international financial architecture. It notes that cross border CBDC pilots such as mBridge are reaching minimum viable product scale in some regions.
Payment and stablecoin projects should evaluate settlement finality, reserve or backing structure, redemption, interoperability, AML controls, sanction screening, user protection, data standards and integration with domestic payment systems.
This connects directly to the UK Cryptoasset Regulations And FCA Final Rules and NCFA's Programmable Stablecoin Payments Opportunity Brief. The strategic opportunity is compliant stablecoin infrastructure that can operate across regulated payment, settlement and tokenized asset systems.
The report identifies smart data and digital identity as interlocking layers in the UK's infrastructure-first strategy. Smart data, identity and payments may support more context-aware and programmable financial services.
Firms should assess consent, data portability, identity assurance, verifiable credentials, cross-sector data standards, fraud risk, agent access and consumer control. Smart data strategy should be linked to product design and consumer protection.
Smart data is the bridge between open banking and programmable finance. Canada should treat consumer-driven banking, digital identity and payment modernization as connected infrastructure, not isolated files.
The FCA highlights the BIS Unified Ledger and Finternet concepts alongside mBridge and sovereign programmable financial stacks. It describes two possible futures: a more unified global ledger approach, or interoperable islands of domestic programmable ecosystems.
Interoperability planning should address legal finality, messaging standards, identity, compliance, settlement assets, cross border controls, dispute handling, data governance and resilience across networks.
The Finternet discussion is highly relevant for NCFA's global intelligence work. It creates a framework for comparing Canada, the UK, EU, India, Singapore, Brazil and other jurisdictions by infrastructure readiness rather than only by regulation.
The FCA report is UK-focused, but many themes are transferable because the same technologies, fraud risks and infrastructure choices are appearing across major financial markets.
The FCA Horizon Scan gives Canada a useful external reference. It connects AI, digital identity, fraud, open finance, payments and tokenization into one strategic view of financial infrastructure change. These files should not be treated as isolated policy tracks.
The FCA Horizon Scan does not impose obligations, but it raises strategic questions firms and policymakers should consider before technology adoption outpaces governance.
The FCA Emerging Technology Horizon Scan now sits within a larger programme on AI adoption, agentic systems, cyber resilience and regulatory capability.
It is the FCA's first external technology horizon scan. The 2026 report examines plausible combinations of emerging technologies across Personalised Intelligence, Synthetic Insecurity and Programmable Finance.
No. The FCA states that it is not regulatory guidance or a prediction. It is a foresight document intended to support discussion, planning and early risk assessment.
Synthetic financial crime uses generated identities, documents, voices, images, narratives or transaction evidence to commit fraud, evade controls or manipulate financial systems.
Programmable finance combines technologies such as tokenization, smart contracts, stablecoins, digital identity and smart data to automate financial transactions and infrastructure functions.
It has no direct legal effect in Canada, but its scenarios are useful for Canadian work involving AI governance, synthetic identity, fraud prevention, consumer driven banking, payments modernization, stablecoins, tokenization and operational resilience.
The FCA Horizon Scan points to practical innovation themes across AI agents, identity, cyber resilience, fraud prevention, programmable finance, tokenization, stablecoins and interoperable financial infrastructure.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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The UK cryptoasset regulations bring specified cryptoasset activities into Financial Conduct Authority supervision under the Financial Services and Markets Act. The FCA final rules cover authorisation, trading platforms, intermediaries, stablecoin issuance, custody, lending, staking, disclosures, market abuse, prudential requirements, Consumer Duty, governance and operational resilience. The regime starts on 25 October 2027.
Firms that carry out or plan to carry out regulated cryptoasset activities should prepare their authorisation and implementation evidence before the application deadline.
The new FCA cryptoasset regime starts on 25 October 2027.
The scheduled application period runs from 30 September 2026 to 28 February 2027. Firms seeking to rely on saving and transitional provisions should apply within that period.
No. Existing registrations and permissions do not automatically convert. A firm carrying on an in scope regulated cryptoasset activity will need the relevant FSMA permission.
The regime covers activities including operating qualifying cryptoasset trading platforms, dealing, arranging, stablecoin issuance, custody, lending, borrowing and staking. Admissions, disclosures and market abuse rules also apply.
The package includes the CRYPTO sourcebook, CASS 16 and CASS 17, CRYPTOPRU and COREPRU, plus relevant Consumer Duty, COBS, SYSC, SM&CR, DISP, reporting and operational resilience requirements.
Firms should confirm scope, prepare governance and financial resource evidence, document custody and resilience controls, assess Consumer Duty outcomes and build a complete authorisation file for their business model.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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Jun 29, 2026 | NCFA Resource | Open Banking Open Finance, Regulation And Policy
Last updated: September 11, 2026

NCFA has published a new Regulatory Intelligence guide to Canada Open Banking and Consumer Driven Banking Rules. The interactive resource organizes the proposed regulations, implementation requirements, consultation questions and strategic issues shaping Canada’s regulated open banking framework.
For a broader view of Open Banking and Consumer-Driven Finance, including the Canadian market map, 146 learning modules, company intelligence, global benchmarks and interactive discussions, explore NCFA Open Banking & Consumer-Driven Finance Interactive Intelligence.
The guide tracks accreditation, data scope, consent, authentication, security, technical standards, liability, reporting, complaints, national security review, fees and administrative monetary penalties. It also explains why consumer trust, fraud prevention and clear accountability are central to implementation. For further analysis, see Canada's Open Banking Strategy Starts With Trust.
The resource gives readers a structured way to understand what the proposed Consumer Driven Banking Regulations would require before final rules are published.
Instead of treating the regulations as one long legal document, the guide breaks them into operating topics. Each section separates regulatory requirements, implementation work, consultation considerations and NCFA’s strategic perspective.
Canada’s open banking framework is progressing from policy design into regulatory implementation. Firms need to understand more than API access. They need to prepare evidence for accreditation, consumer consent flows, registry checks, authentication records, security safeguards, breach response, complaint procedures, service standards, reporting obligations and board level accountability.
The 60-day Canada Gazette consultation closed on August 26, 2026. The proposed regulations remain subject to finalization, while firms continue preparing for accreditation, supervision, data-sharing, consent, security and operational requirements.
This resource is useful for fintech founders, open banking platforms, financial institutions, credit unions, payment service providers, data aggregators, regtech providers, compliance teams, investors, policymakers and industry associations.
It is especially useful for organizations assessing accreditation, product design, consent architecture, data sharing duties, technical standards, cybersecurity, consumer protection and implementation costs.
The strength of this resource is its focus on regulatory readiness. It converts the proposed Consumer Driven Banking Regulations into a practical intelligence layer that can support planning, consultation, product design and ecosystem coordination.
The guide connects the proposed regulations to Canada’s policy objectives, including stronger consumer protection, fraud mitigation, secure financial data sharing, competition and confidence in the open banking framework.
It also connects regulation to commercial opportunity. The guide identifies where read access, data portability, identity and income verification, cash flow analysis, embedded workflows, write access and open finance may create future product and infrastructure demand.
The regulations remain proposed and may change following consultation. Readers should use the guide for ecosystem intelligence and planning, not as legal, financial, investment, compliance or professional advice.
Canada Open Banking and Consumer Driven Banking Rules (primary NCFA Regulatory Intelligence guide)
NCFA Open Banking & Consumer-Driven Finance Interactive Intelligence (market map, 146 learning modules, company intelligence, discussions and global benchmarks)
Canada's Open Banking Strategy Starts With Trust (consumer protection and fraud readiness)
Open Banking In Canada Opportunity Brief (commercial opportunity layer)
NCFA Financial Innovation Map (ecosystem context)
Proposed Consumer-Driven Banking Regulations (official Canada Gazette source)
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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Canada’s proposed Consumer Driven Banking Regulations establish the operating framework for open banking. They address accreditation, consumer consent, data sharing, security, technical standards, liability, complaints, reporting, national security review and enforcement.
Use this guide to understand the proposed requirements, the implementation work they create and the post-consultation issues that may affect banks, credit unions, payment service providers, fintechs, consumers and small businesses.
The 60-day consultation closed August 26, 2026. The regulations remain proposed while Finance Canada considers feedback and prepares the next regulatory steps. Firms can use the published draft for planning, but final requirements and implementation timing may still change.
For a broader view of Open Banking and Consumer-Driven Finance beyond the regulatory framework, explore NCFA Open Banking & Consumer-Driven Finance Interactive Intelligence, including the Canadian Market Map, 146 learning modules, company intelligence, discussions, innovation themes and global benchmarks.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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