Karsten Wenzlaff, Advisor
August 26th, 2025
May 21, 2026 | NCFA Fintech Market Activity | Artificial Intelligence And Data, Risk Compliance And Regtech, Banking And Credit Infrastructure

On May 20, 2026, National Bank of Canada partnered with Sardine to strengthen digital banking security and improve fraud operations. National Bank selected Sardine after a live evaluation where the platform improved fraud detection and reduced false positives.
The bank will deploy Sardine’s device intelligence and real time risk scoring across retail, commercial, and wealth solutions. Fraud controls are no longer only a back office defense. They now also affect onboarding, payment approvals, customer friction, and trust across the full digital banking relationship. National Bank serves approximately 2.7 million clients globally and reported $606 billion in assets as at January 31, 2026.
National Bank is also leading a $25 million Series C extension in Sardine, bringing Sardine’s total funding to $170 million. That makes this a commercial partnership with one of Canada’s six systemically important banks.
Soups Ranjan, CEO and co-founder of Sardine:
“Sardine was built for banks that need to stop fraud without slowing down their loyal customers,”
Banks need to stop attacks without blocking good customers. False positives creates unwanted friction, cost, abandoned journeys, and damages trust. Sardine’s platform combines device intelligence, real time risk scoring, fraud controls, and financial crime automation.
It also uses a fraud consortium, a shared risk network built from activity across many customers and channels. That network spans more than 6 billion profiled devices, 800 million consumers, and 3 million businesses worldwide. For banks, outside risk data can help spot suspicious behaviour faster than internal data alone.
Fraud infrastructure is evolving from rule based screening toward live risk decisions across the customer journey. The optimum systems will reduce losses without punishing legitimate customers.
Sardine describes itself as an agentic risk platform for fighting financial crime. That means software that helps risk teams detect fraud, score behaviour, and automate parts of fraud and AML operations. National Bank’s release also references agentic AI in the risk and compliance sector.
The need for AI in banking is now well beyond customer service chatbots and internal productivity tools. Some of the strongest use cases are within risk operations, where firms need speed, evidence, and better decisions under pressure.
Joshuah Lebacq, Partner, NAventures, National Bank of Canada's corporate venture capital arm:
“After closely following Sardine’s growth and hearing strong feedback from existing customers, we decided to conduct an extensive evaluation of their platform. The results gave us confidence to make Sardine a strong addition to our financial crime prevention operations and expand our commercial relationship.
We’re excited about the potential of agentic AI, especially in the risk and compliance sphere, and Sardine’s financial crime agents are setting the standard for the category,”
The release didn't disclosure any loss reduction or false positive reduction rates from their evaluation, so keep your eyes out for those metrics in the future.
As AI driven fraud systems enter deeper into banking, will the best institutions win by blocking more bad actors, or by approving more good customers with less friction?
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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May 21, 2026 | NCFA Insight | Capital Markets And Market Infrastructure, Digital Assets Blockchain And Tokenization

On May 19, 2026, Polymarket launched prediction markets tied to private company milestones, using Nasdaq Private Market data to resolve the contracts. Users can trade on events such as valuation milestones, IPO timing, and secondary market activity.
This isn't a gamble on private company ownership, since traders don't get shares, voting or information rights, or access to a company’s cap table. They get a tradable contract with a public price that reflects the market’s view of whether a specific private company event will happen. While the product doesn't open up private equity to everyone. It enables the public to take odds around private market outcomes.
Nasdaq Private Market says nearly 1,600 global unicorns now hold more than USD $5 trillion in combined value, while access remains mostly limited to institutions and high net worth investors. Private markets keep getting larger. Public visibility still lags.
Shayne Coplan, Founder and CEO, Polymarket:
“Prediction markets are one of the most powerful tools we have for democratizing access to financial information and opportunity.”
Private market pricing often arrives late. A funding round may show what investors paid albeit months ago. A tender may show one clearing point for one group of sellers. A secondary trade may reflect scarcity, transfer limits, or a specific share class. But the fact is none of those inputs gives the public a continuous read on what people think will happen next.
A contract price shows the market’s view of a future event, not the company’s fair value. If a contract trades near 70 cents, traders are roughly pricing a 70% chance that the event occurs. That doesn't necessarily make the odds right, but it makes the belief visible.
That in itself could move the needle for founders, employees, late stage investors, secondaries desks, and allocators. A live probability can show:
The Nasdaq Private Market (NPM) brings private market data from primary and secondary market activity, which gives the contracts a stronger reference point than rumours, social posts, or loose valuation chatter.
NPM also brings scale, and with that trust. The company says it's executed nearly USD $80 billion in secondary liquidity for more than 200,000 eligible employee shareholders and investors across more than 1,000 company sponsored liquidity programs. It's an important point because typically private market data is thin and opaque:
Prediction odds will be strongest where the underlying data is deep, current, and easy to verify. Or as Tom Callahan, CEO, Nasdaq Private Market puts it, “When retail participants enter any market, high-integrity data matters.”
This product could make private valuations harder to ignore and harder to defend. If a company carries a high valuation but prediction odds show weak confidence in a future valuation milestone, investors begin to lose confidence or ask sharper questions. If odds move right after a fundraise, product launch, regulatory event, or IPO rumour, the market gets a faster read on sentiment.
Secondaries may feel the effect first.
Prediction market odds don't replace diligence. But they add a public probability signal to a market that still depends on financials, contracts, board materials, customer data, and negotiated access.
One of the risks of course is a false signal. A small market can falsely produce a strong probability that rests on weak liquidity. A contract price may reflect a few motivated traders, not a deep view of private company value.
Information gaps also matter. Employees, early investors, brokers, lawyers, customers, and suppliers may know more than the public. As private company prediction markets grow, market integrity will become a bigger issue. Volume, open interest, spreads, trader concentration, and resolution rules will matter as much as the headline odds.
Regulators will be watching. These contracts straddle several policy lines at once, such as derivatives, gambling, securities, consumer protection, and private company information. The more these odds affect private market behaviour, the more scrutiny they will attract.
The strongest use case is private market intelligence. Prediction odds could augment traditional signals, such as secondary market data, valuations and company reported events. Together, the combined inputs may give investors a better view of timing, sentiment, and confidence before an IPO or liquidity event.
Private market infrastructure is becoming more transparent and data driven. Platforms that help investors understand price, risk, liquidity, and timing will have an advantage.
For founders, it adds a new pressure point to manage. Once the public can trade on company milestones, valuation becomes a public narrative before a public listing. That can create attention. It can also expose weak communication, inflated expectations, or a gap between private marks and public belief.
Bottom line: More companies are staying private longer, and more value is being created before public investors can participate. Prediction markets won't fix access on their own. But they may push the market toward better pricing tools, cleaner data, and more honest conversations about private company value.
If the odds become liquid enough, will private marks start answering to public probability signals?
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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May 19, 2026 | NCFA Fintech Market Activity | SME Finance And Business Banking, Capital Markets And Funding

On May 19, 2026, Toronto founded fintech scaleup Relay secured $50 million in growth financing from General Catalyst’s Customer Value Fund. Relay serves U.S. small businesses with banking and money management tools. The financing is meant to accelerate customer acquisition while Relay keeps existing investment focused on product development.
Relay now supports more than 150,000 small business customers and oversees more than $1.3 billion in managed customer deposits through Thread Bank, Member FDIC. Since its $32.2 million Series B in May 2024, Relay says it is on track to grow revenue by 3.2x by the end of 2026.
The funding isn't a traditional equity round, since the General Catalyst’s Customer Value Fund gives Relay capital for customer acquisition. That lets the company spend on growth without pulling the same dollars away from product, compliance, support, and reliability.
Yoseph West, Co Founder and CEO, Relay:
“Every dollar invested in Relay supports passionate folks who work hard to build their businesses and realize their ambitions. This investment is a vote of confidence in the true value we deliver to those self-made entrepreneurs, so they can put every dollar to work,”
Relay already has customer scale, deposit traction, and a clear revenue growth target. The investor question is whether paid acquisition can keep working as Relay expands its brand footprint in the U.S. small business market?
Growth can damage a financial product if the operating base isn't ready. Small businesses need stable banking access, clear cash flow views, reliable support, and simple money movement. If acquisition gets ahead of service quality, trust can break quickly.
Andrew Ziperski, Partner, General Catalyst, Customer Value Fund:
“Relay has proven its deep understanding of what small business owners actually need to succeed, with a product that clearly resonates based on the strength of its customer acquisition machine.”
Relay is trying to own more of the small business finance workflow, not just the bank account. Its platform brings together accounts, cards, bills, invoices, capital, and other money tools. That gives owners a clearer view of cash coming in, cash going out, and what they can safely spend.
Recent product activity supports that strategy. Relay’s site now highlights receivables tools for invoices and payments, while its support pages show invoice tracking, accepted payment options, automatic reminders, and recurring invoices. Relay has also added Relay Capital term loans, offering small business lending alongside the same platform where owners already manage money.
That's where SMB banking is heading. Cash flow clarity helps them decide when to pay bills, hire, buy inventory, chase receivables, or seek financing. Relay’s strategy is to turn that daily operating pressure into the product.
Important caveat is that Relay's a financial technology company, not an FDIC insured bank. Banking services not related to Relay Capital term loans are provided by Thread Bank, Member FDIC.
Relay Capital term loans are provided through Fundbox, with business loans originated by Lead Bank. That partner model is common in U.S. fintech, but it puts pressure on compliance, disclosures, customer experience, and operational control.
SMB finance remains a large market, but the winning product is no longer just an account. It's the operating system that helps owners see cash, move money, access capital, and make faster decisions when conditions get messy.
If customer acquisition can be funded separately from core product investment, do stronger platforms gain an edge by scaling distribution without weakening banking reliability, support, and product depth?
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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