Karsten Wenzlaff, Advisor
August 26th, 2025
Economy | April 10, 2025

Image: Freepik/tawatchai07
On April 10, 2025, President Trump announced a 90-day pause on most of the newly implemented global trade tariffs after market backlash and political pressure. The break was extended to countries in Europe, Asia, and parts of South America, but Canada, Mexico, and China are still under tariff pressure.
While Trump paused the most recent tariffs for over 75 countries, U.S. tariffs still apply to Canada and Mexico primarily on cars and auto parts (25%), steel (25%), aluminum (10%), and some agricultural products like dairy, grains, and processed foods, and continue to affect cross border trade in manufacturing and farming sectors.
Trump's pause also didn't apply to China In fact, Tariffs on Chinese good were raised to 125%, as China hit back with an 84% tariff on U.S. goods and filed new complaints with the World Trade Organization.
After the tariff pause was announced, markets surged with the S&P 500 exploding 9.5%, the largest one day gain since World War II, according to Business Insider.
But the rebound didn't last long, as markets opened the following morning on April 10, the S&P 500 dropped 2.3% out of the gate and is continuing its slide currently down 5%.
Right before the tariff pause was announced, Trump posted on social media telling people “THIS IS A GREAT TIME TO BUY!!! DJT.” The DJT trading symbol referenced his Trump Media & Technology Group company. Hours later, markets soared. Some U.S. lawmakers are questioning whether Trump or anyone close to him benefited financially from his announcement (aka insider trading).
According to TIME, Senator Adam Schiff has called for an investigation, asking the White House to hand over records to see if anyone used that information to trade stocks before the news went public.
Tariffs aren't just about physical goods. Canada’s fintech firms, software exporters, and digital infrastructure providers also face risks, as many of these companies work closely with U.S. partners, investors, and regulators. Every barrier, whether its through tariffs, compliance hurdles or market uncertainty and confidence, slows down innovation, especially in the most innovative emerging sectors like AI, open banking, blockchain and embedded finance.
Early stage startups are especially exposed, as any cross border collaborations, capital raises, and pilot projects face second thoughts and/or delays from U.S. partners.
Expect heightened volatility to continue. Canadian companies need to stay alert, continue to diversify trade relationships, and build a stronger domestic economy and ecosystem that reduces exposure to abrupt, off the cuff U.S. policy changes impacting trade and relationships.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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AI | March 31, 2025

Image: Freepik/8photo
On March 282025, Elon Musk announced on X that xAI was acquiring X in an all-stock deal to merge data, computing power, AI models, distribution and top talent under one roof. xAI after the merger is valued at $80 billion. At the time of the acquisition, X was valued at $33 billion (includes $12.5 billion debt).
In many ways, the two companies are already working together in some respects, as xAI's chatbot Grok already uses posts on X to train its systems, and moving forward will likely become a larger part of an AI-powered platform, especially for paying users.
Musk originally bought Twitter for $44 billion in 2022 but since taking over the platform which is now called X, the company's valuation has dropped in value and lost major advertisers.
On the same day the merger was announced, a U.S. judge ruled that a shareholder lawsuit alleging securities fraud against Musk directly can proceed. Plaintiffs said Musk ignored a March 24, 2022 deadline to disclose that he had acquired more than 5% of Twitter’s shares, and waited 11 more days before filing with the SEC that he owned 9.2%. According to plaintiffs, that delay saved Musk more than $200 million while other investors sold at lower prices.
Further, U.S. District Judge Andrew Carter said Musk’s filings and tweets like the one jokingly turning Twitter’s logo into Doge could be intentionally misleading and expose Musk to financial penalties while raising questions about transparency and investor protection in large cap private tech deals, especially when ownership and management overlap.
Elon Musk has also waded big time into U.S. politics and is now a senior adviser to Donald Trump’s administration and tasked to consolidate or shut down parts of the federal government via the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), sparking significant backlash against DOGE which has extended to Musk's business ventures. National wide protests known as the 'Tesla Takedown' movement have occur at Tesla dealerships. Tesla's stock price has experienced a huge decline, partly because of the public's dissatisfaction with Musk's political involvement including prominent celebrities and politicians.
Meanwhile,Musk still runs Tesla, SpaceX, Neuralink, and The Boring Company, all of which rely on public contracts or infrastructure. Musk holds an unprecedented mix of public and private power, raising real concerns about accountability, fairness, and how much influence a person should have over technology and the public's agenda.
This M&A deal is a new kind of vertical integration where tech, compute power, communication and political influence all fall under one roof. Investors, regulators, and the public must deal with the risks and implications of when the same person builds AI models, trains them on global conversations, distributes them on his own platform, and advises political leaders.
It's not just about scale, it's about the infrastructure of influence itself.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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Royal Commission | March 28, 2025

Image: Freepik
A group of Canadian policy experts from across the country at Policy Options are calling for a royal commission to secure Canada's future — and they're probably right if the first outputs and key decisions can be delivered on a very quick timeline (i.e. less than 6 months). They warn that Canada’s economic model is outdated, our policies are stuck in the 20th century, and our global competitiveness is slipping (let's not forget our continued productivity decline and inability to track significant investment).
Canada's economy is underperforming. The country is slow to adopt modern financial infrastructure. Interprovincial trade barriers are costing billions. Canada lacks a coordinated innovation and startup scale-up strategy.
They argue that only a national, non-partisan effort like a royal commission can bring Canadians together to build a future-ready plan. For fintech, innovation, and entrepreneurship. If Canada is serious about attracting investment, scaling startups, and competing globally, it needs a national strategy that streamlines regulation, opens interprovincial trade, unlocks innovation and capital, boosts economic growth and attracts investment, and a royal commission could make that happen. Now is the time to act.
Royal commissions have worked before. The Macdonald Commission (1982–85) laid the groundwork for free trade and modern economic policy. A new commission could once again unite governments, entrepreneurs, and civil society to chart Canada's strategy in an uncertain future, but only if it moves quickly.
Canada has amazing human capital - talent, ideas, and potential, but we need a national strategy that makes it easier for entrepreneurs to launch, raise capital, scale technologies, and compete globally, which would drive significant economic growth.
A royal commission could align innovation, regulation, trade, and investment around a shared economic vision. Done right, it would empower the next generation of Canadian companies and secure long term prosperity, not by protecting incumbents but by empowering performance.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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Economy | March 24, 2025
Image: Freepik/rawpixel.com
Ottawa has made a flurry of policy announcements in response to growing economic pressure and global trade tensions including a reversal on the planned capital gains tax, a snap federal election, and commitment to aligning with Europe on carbon pricing to support trade, all in just a few days.
For Canada's fintech sector, these changes will impact investment, regulation, taxation and international trade and growth. Below are five announcements made since March 20, 2025, and what they mean for fintech:
Prime Minister Mark Carney has cancelled the previously proposed increase to the capital gains inclusion rate, which would have raised the taxable portion of gains above $250,000 from 50% to 66.7% (controversial policy). Also, the government will still increase the Lifetime Capital Gains Exemption (LCGE) to $1.25 million from 2025 which means that entrepreneurs can protect (tax-exempt) an additional $233,164 compared to the LCGE in 2024 ($1,016,836).
That's good news for startup founders and investors. It's supportive of innovation because it rewards risk-taking and helps nurture entrepreneurial talent. Investors may be more willing to back early stage ventures if the tax environment remains favourable at exit, encouraging investment in innovative sectors.
Carney has officially called a snap federal election for April 28, saying he needs a new mandate to deal with growing trade tensions with the U.S., a shaky economy, and pressure to stay competitive on climate and carbon policy. The outcome of a federal election can completely change the country's fintech policy agenda from open banking and digital assets to consumer protection and payments modernization. Regulatory clarity will likely be delayed until after the vote.
Ottawa will tariff impacted businesses delay their corporate tax payments from April 2 to June 30. This support is primarily targeted at companies that export physical goods that are directly affected by new U.S. tariffs. However, fintech companies with U.S. clients or disrupted revenue may also be considered on a case-by-case basis. If your business has been impacted by the trade situation, it’s a good idea to start gathering records now. More details on who qualifies will be released soon by Finance Canada.
In the same release it was also announced that changes are being made to make it easier for workers laid off due to the trade conflict with the U.S. to access employment insurance. Note, fintech platforms offering tools in job search, benefits/support navigation, short term lending, gig economy income smoothing may also see an increased demand due to the potential impact of job losses.
Prime Minister Carney announced that Canada will table legislation by July 1, 2025 to remove internal trade barriers between provinces to build a stronger and fairer economy. He plans to eliminate all federal barriers to interprovincial trade and labour mobility, and to remove all federal exemptions under the Canada Free Trade Agreement. He met with the premiers to share his plan of building a stronger Canadian economy including items such as mutual recognition of rules, harmonizing licensing, and standardization of goods and services across provinces. Standardized rules across provinces will reduce costs for businesses and consumers, strengthen domestic supply chains, boost productivity (fewer compliance headaches), and unlock new opportunities for Canadian firms.
Last week, Prime Minister Carney visited the U.K. and Europe to stress the importance of Canada strengthening trade ties with reliable partners beyond the U.S.. As part of Canada’s plan to diversify trade, the PM saidthat the EU is moving ahead with its carbon border taxes called Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CABM), so Canada would benefit to keep its industrial carbon pricing system to avoid new tariffs on exports to Europe. This sounds reasonable but there's a trade-off. Since the U.S. won't have the same carbon rules, the higher carbon costs in Canada could make our goods less competitive to our biggest export market - the U.S. Per reporting on the Hub, Carney put it bluntly: “Guess what one of the requirements is to diversify trade with the EU? A form of carbon pricing.”
If The impact on fintechs may be twofold. Clean fintechs involved with ESG, carbon credit tracking/management, sustainability analytics etc stand to benefit but legacy exporters, and fintechs serving them, may feel the cost squeeze of stricter environmental standards.
These announcements highlight Canada's evolving federal economy strategy. Ottawa is recalibrating its tax approach, trade perspectives, and domestic relief tools in response to Trump's tariff war and global volatility. Fintech leaders should actively track these changes and be ready to adapt as more policies roll out after the election.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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