Karsten Wenzlaff, Advisor
August 26th, 2025
Karsten Wenzlaff is a Crowdfunding and Fintech Expert from Germany. He is Secretary-General of Digit[...]
Category Archives: Regtech, Compliance, Governance
Payments Canada Adds 22 Members After Access Reform
October 1, 2026 | NCFA Market Activity | Payments And Money Movement, Competition And Market Structure, Regulation And Policy
Expanded Eligibility, New Entrants And Real-Time Rail Access
On October 1, 2026, Payments Canada added six more new members, bringing new admissions since membership eligibility widened one year ago to 22. Twenty of the 22 became eligible because federal changes opened Payments Canada membership to regulated payment service providers, qualifying local credit unions and designated clearing houses.
The latest members are Bounce Pay, FIS Everlink, Nium, Pesa, Remitly and Vancity. This is the first anniversary of a permanent access reform, not the end of an intake period. Eligible organizations can still apply for Payments Canada membership.
Ottawa Changed Who Can Join Payments Canada
Before September 2025, many regulated payment companies and local credit unions were not legally eligible to become Payments Canada members. Federal amendments took effect on September 29, 2025, adding payment service providers supervised under the Retail Payment Activities Act, local credit unions that belong to a central and designated clearing houses. Payments Canada then updated its bylaws and participation rules for the new member categories. Twenty organizations have now joined through eligibility created by those changes.
Payments Canada operates Lynx and the Automated Clearing Settlement System and is building the Real-Time Rail. It had 111 members at the end of 2025, and its systems cleared and settled approximately $103 trillion that year, or more than $411 billion every business day.
Donna Kinoshita, Chief Payments Officer at Payments Canada:
“Welcoming 22 members in our first year under the expanded eligibility framework demonstrates the industry’s strong desire to modernize payments,”
The 22 additions are split between Canadian companies and international payment groups operating in Canada. Fourteen (64%) are Canadian headquartered organizations. Eight (36%) are Canadian member entities connected to groups headquartered outside Canada. Canadian entrants include fintechs, payment companies and four credit unions, while the international group includes Wise, Currencycloud, Ebury, Shaype, Adyen, FIS Everlink, Nium and Remitly.
| New member | Membership announced | Main business | Group headquarters |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wise Payments Canada | Jan. 27, 2026 | International payments | London, United Kingdom |
| Float Financial Solutions | Jan. 27, 2026 | Business payments and spend management | Toronto, Canada |
| KOHO Financial | Jan. 27, 2026 | Consumer financial services and payments | Toronto, Canada |
| Paramount Commerce | Jan. 27, 2026 | Bank account payments | Toronto, Canada |
| Brim Financial | Jan. 27, 2026 | Card and payment technology | Toronto, Canada |
| Meridian Credit Union | Mar. 19, 2026 | Credit union | Ontario, Canada |
| DoBusiness.com | Apr. 16, 2026 | Business payment software | Vaughan, Canada |
| Neo Financial | May 5, 2026 | Digital financial services | Calgary, Canada |
| Tru Cooperative Bank | May 13, 2026 | Bank | British Columbia, Canada |
| Currencycloud, a Visa company | 2026 | Cross border payment infrastructure | London, United Kingdom |
| Beem Credit Union | Jun. 3, 2026 | Credit union | British Columbia, Canada |
| Ebury Partners Canada | Jun. 3, 2026 | Cross border payments and foreign exchange | London, United Kingdom |
| Shaype Canada Financial | Jun. 3, 2026 | Payment infrastructure | Sydney, Australia |
| Libro Credit Union | Jun. 3, 2026 | Credit union | London, Canada |
| Newton Crypto | Jun. 3, 2026 | Digital asset trading | Toronto, Canada |
| Adyen Canada | Jul. 14, 2026 | Global payment processing | Amsterdam, Netherlands |
| Bounce Pay | Oct. 1, 2026 | Consumer and merchant payments | Canada |
| FIS Everlink | Oct. 1, 2026 | Payment infrastructure | Jacksonville, United States |
| Nium Canada | Oct. 1, 2026 | Global payments | Singapore / San Francisco |
| Pesa | Oct. 1, 2026 | Cross border payments | Canada |
| Remitly Canada | Oct. 1, 2026 | International remittances | Seattle, United States |
| Vancity | Oct. 1, 2026 | Credit union | Vancouver, Canada |
The first five payment service providers entered in January, Meridian followed in March, and DoBusiness.com joined in April. By June, Payments Canada membership had widened further to include more credit unions, foreign exchange providers and digital finance companies.
Membership Opens The Door, Not The Payment Rails
Payments Canada membership doesn't give a company automatic direct access to Lynx, the Automated Clearing Settlement System or the forthcoming Real-Time Rail. Membership allows an organization to apply for participation. Connecting directly still requires the technical, operational, security and settlement arrangements set by each payment system.
The first year shows real uptake. Twenty two organizations have joined Payments Canada since the rules changed, including payment companies and credit unions that previously were not eligible for membership. Having said that, there's not yet enough public evidence to say the reform has lowered payment costs, reduced reliance on intermediaries or produced stronger price competition for businesses and consumers.
The Real-Time Rail participation requirements include system integration, testing, fraud controls and operational readiness, with additional settlement requirements depending on how a participant connects. User acceptance testing is complete and integrated performance testing is underway, while Payments Canada continues to target a late fourth quarter 2026 launch.
Real-Time Rail Turns Membership Into A Market Question
The first RTR phase starts with direct exchange participants, with more participants and Interac e-Transfer clearing and settlement expected to follow in stages. Several of the newest members are already looking beyond membership. Bounce Pay says it intends to participate on the RTR, while Pesa, Nium, Remitly and FIS Everlink connect their membership to deeper participation in Canada's payment infrastructure.
Direct participation could give some payment businesses more control over routing, settlement and product design while reducing some intermediary dependencies. Whether those advantages reach customers will depend on which firms connect, how much payment volume they process and whether they can turn infrastructure access into lower costs, faster services or new products.
Talking Point
Twenty of 22 new members became eligible because Ottawa changed the law, and almost two thirds of the first year cohort is Canadian headquartered. The membership reform has therefore changed who can participate in Payments Canada. The Real-Time Rail will show whether that wider participation changes how payments are built, priced and delivered in Canada.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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C:\>DIR Hackathon 2026 Winners Put Agentic AI to Work
September 30, 2026 | NCFA Market Activity | Artificial Intelligence And Data, Risk Compliance And Regtech, Cybersecurity And Fraud, Digital Identity And Trust, Payments And Money Movement, Digital Assets Blockchain And Tokenization
Agentic AI Hackathon Winners, Financial Supervision And The Next RegTech Layer
On September 30, 2026, the C:\>DIR Global ‘Agentic Regulator’ Hackathon announced its 2026 winners and finalist demos after attracting 942 individual builders and 336 team submissions from more than 65 countries. Thirty six teams reached the final prototype round, including 19 from or affiliated with regulatory authorities, with projects covering market manipulation, fraud, agentic payments, smart contracts, AI advice and digital identity.
NCFA supported the inaugural hackathon as an Ecosystem Partner. What makes the results notable is that both regulators and builders spent a week turning emerging questions around autonomous financial systems into working prototypes.
Every finalist submitted code or a working application for assessment. 260 verified regulators and policymakers from more than 80 institutions across 40+ countries then selected the Final 6, which presented their solutions to 18 senior global regulatory leaders at the C:\>DIR Summit in Cambridge.
The primary question propelling the competition was how do regulators supervise software that can act?
Market Risk, Fraud and Agentic Payments Winners
1. 🥇 Team Pheonix, Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), won first place for its work on market manipulation, agentic herding and financial stability. Its digital twins and trading agents are designed to let authorities "pressure test" proposed regulations in a synthetic securities market before they take effect.
2. 🥈 YU-SAM POWER, University College London, took second place with an agentic framework for assessing smart contract risk and identifying attacks, supporting more consistent enforcement and international collaboration.
3. 🥉 Rwanda Anti-Scam Team, with participants from the National Bank of Rwanda, Bank of Namibia, Proto, FNA, GLEIF and the University of Manchester, placed third with a system that uses agents to report and recover funds lost through fraud and scams in instant payment environments.
4. Team Axiom, from the State Bank of Pakistan, placed fourth with a supervisory intelligence system for agentic payments designed to identify systemic risks including agentic herding.
5. Agent Reliability Profile, from the MLCommons Financial Services Working Group, placed fifth with a standardized, testable reliability label for AI agents. Its central question is straightforward. Can an AI agent be trusted?
6. Probe, from the UK, placed sixth with a regulatory tool that uses an “Adversary” agent posing as realistic customers and a “Judge” agent to run thousands of test conversations against AI advice systems and flag potential regulatory breaches.
The vouch.finance Award went to Legis Labs, whose Agent Passport gives banks a way to check an AI agent's authority before a payment executes. Project Zeus, from the Dominican Republic's securities regulator SIMV, received an Honorary Award for a human governed, multi agent approach to detecting investment scams, engaging suspected scammers and gathering evidence for enforcement.
The six finalists shared recognition from a US$100,000 total prize pool. The Final 6 were also given an opportunity to demonstrate their work at the Singapore FinTech Festival.
Agent Identity Is Becoming a Financial Control
The projects tackled different problems, but several requirements kept appearing.
If an AI agent sends money, a financial institution needs to know which agent acted, who authorized it and whether the action stayed within that authority. If multiple trading agents begin behaving alike, supervisors need visibility into whether that behaviour is creating market risk. If an AI adviser gives unsuitable guidance, there needs to be an auditable record of what happened and where human oversight applied.
That helps explain why agent identity, traceability, auditability, human oversight and pre execution controls feature across so many of the finalist projects.
These aren't abstract governance principles once agents start touching payments, markets or regulated advice. They become operating requirements.
The six challenge areas made the same point from different directions:
- AI driven fraud and scams
- Agentic payments and commerce
- Decentralized market infrastructure and smart contracts
- Know Your Agent and digital verification
- Market manipulation and agentic herding
- AI enabled financial and high stakes advice
A New RegTech Layer Is Starting to Emerge
The commercial question is what happens after the prototype.
Putting these systems into production will require real data, cybersecurity controls, privacy safeguards, legal authority, model governance, procurement and integration with existing supervisory infrastructure. Cross border applications add another layer because an agent may operate across multiple firms, payment systems and jurisdictions.
That's where the opportunity becomes more interesting.
RegTech has traditionally focused on helping financial institutions interpret rules, monitor activity and demonstrate compliance. Agentic supervision creates another market for technology that helps regulators simulate markets, verify AI agents, monitor autonomous activity, test financial advice and investigate fraud.
Canada already has active policy and infrastructure work across AI, payments, digital identity, fraud and financial market oversight. Canadian fintech and RegTech companies working in these areas should be watching which of these prototypes move into pilots, standards or production environments.
NCFA covered the launch of the C:\>DIR Agentic Regulator Hackathon in July. The winners now provide an early view of what builders and regulators chose to build when given a defined supervisory problem, sandbox environments and a week to produce working solutions.
Strategic Takeaway
The interesting result isn't simply that regulators used AI at a hackathon. It's what they built.
They built systems to test markets, identify fraud, verify agent authority, monitor payments, assess smart contract risk and scrutinize AI generated advice.
As financial systems add more autonomous actors, the supervisory layer will have to become more capable too.
Agentic finance may require agentic supervision. The C:\>DIR Hackathon has now put some early working examples on the table.
Explore: C:\>DIR Hackathon 2026 winners, presentations and demos
Read: Official C:\>DIR Global Agentic Regulator Hackathon winners announcement
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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BTQ Signs Kaia Deal for Post Quantum Stablecoin Security
September 30, 2026 | NCFA Market Activity | Digital Assets Blockchain And Tokenization, Cyber Security And Quantum, Payments Infrastructure And Money Movement
Three Year Kaia Agreement, Transaction Fees And Unifi Distribution
On September 30, 2026, Vancouver based BTQ Technologies signed a three year commercial agreement with Kaia DLT Foundation to deploy its Quantum Secure Stablecoin Network (QSSN) across Kaia's blockchain infrastructure. BTQ will receive a share of fees from transactions protected by the system and expects six figure U.S. dollar revenue in the first year, although actual revenue will depend on transaction volume.
In May, NCFA said BTQ still needed paid QSSN deployment and recurring revenue to prove the model commercially. The company had already processed blockchain transactions and worked with Finger and iM Bank on post quantum stablecoin infrastructure, but it hadn't disclosed signed recurring deployment terms. While the company hasn't disclosed a production launch date, the Kaia deal now provides that missing piece.
Post Quantum Protection At Kaia's Infrastructure Layer
BTQ's technology adds post quantum protection to blockchain accounts and transaction infrastructure without requiring every wallet, stablecoin or application to be rebuilt. Kaia, like other blockchain networks, relies on public key cryptography to authorize transactions. A sufficiently powerful future quantum computer could weaken some of that cryptography, although today's quantum computers aren't known to have that capability. Post quantum migration is already underway because replacing cryptography across financial infrastructure can take years.
BTQ combines existing transaction security with post quantum signatures rather than replacing the blockchain. Its system uses cryptography based on NIST post quantum standards while remaining compatible with existing blockchain infrastructure.
Kaia says the protection will operate at both the account and infrastructure level. Stablecoins are a practical starting point because they combine transferable value, digital wallets, long lived transaction records and growing use in payments and settlement. Kaia and Unifi already support stablecoins including USDT, Japan’s JPYC and Indonesia’s IDRP. BTQ says QSSN can protect those assets at the account level without requiring each issuer to build a separate integration.
The bigger commercial point is how BTQ gets paid. Rather than relying only on integration or licensing fees, the three year agreement gives BTQ a share of fees from protected transactions. If usage grows, security revenue grows with it. That turns QSSN from a technical capability into infrastructure with recurring transactional revenue.
Canada is already preparing for this migration problem. The Canadian Centre for Cyber Security requires federal organizations to start planning now, complete migration of high priority systems by the end of 2031 and move remaining systems by the end of 2035. Financial infrastructure faces the same issue across payments, identity, custody and digital assets, where systems may remain in service for many years.
Unifi Gives BTQ A Consumer Distribution Route
LINE NEXT launched Unifi as a global stablecoin wallet in March 2026, with deposits, transfers, payments and rewards available through LINE Messenger. That gives BTQ a path from blockchain infrastructure into consumer stablecoin use rather than another stand alone technology pilot.
For those who don't know, LINE is one of Asia’s largest messaging platforms, with major user bases in Japan, Taiwan and Thailand. LINE NEXT launched Unifi on Kaia in March 2026, giving BTQ a route from blockchain infrastructure into consumer stablecoin use through LINE Messenger.
See: Quantum Bridge Raises USD $8M For Quantum Security
BTQ and Kaia point to potential reach of more than 250 million people across the LINE and Kakao ecosystems. That is the size of the connected consumer networks, not 250 million Unifi or BTQ users. Unifi is expected to be among the first consumer applications to benefit as the Kaia deployment rolls out.
BTQ had already shown the technology working in earlier Korean pilots and reported more than 100,000 mainnet transactions in the second quarter. What was missing was recurring customer revenue. In August, BTQ was still discussing a possible production deployment with Kaia. Six weeks later, the parties signed a three year commercial agreement tied to transaction activity.
Talking Point
The question now is whether post quantum security can generate recurring infrastructure revenue before quantum risk becomes urgent. Transaction volume and recognized revenue will show whether that model works beyond pilots.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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[OSC Webinar Oct 15]: Capital Raising Opportunities and Regulatory Innovation in Ontario
September 29, 2026 | NCFA Event Spotlight | Capital Formation And Venture Markets, Regulation And Policy, Competition And Market Structure
October 15 Session, Financing Limits And Issuer Rule Reviews
On October 15, 2026, the Ontario Securities Commission will host Capital Raising Opportunities and Regulatory Innovation in Ontario, a 90 minute webinar on how businesses can raise capital across Ontario's private and public markets. The session comes while the OSC is looking at where companies encounter financing gaps or regulatory obstacles as they move from startup through maturity.
The webinar runs from 10:00 to 11:30 a.m. Eastern with the OSC staff covering the Listed Issuer Financing Exemption (LIFE), the Well Known Seasoned Issuer (WKSI) regime, prospectus exemptions, streamlined reporting requirements and cross border capital raising arrangements with regulators in France and Hong Kong. A final panel focuses on how evidence from issuers, founders, dealers, investors and advisors informs OSC capital formation initiatives.
Event Overview
Event: Capital Raising Opportunities and Regulatory Innovation in Ontario
Host: the Ontario Securities Commission
Date: October 15, 2026
Time: 10:00–11:30 a.m. ET
Format: Webinar
Registration: Register for the OSC webinar
Agenda
- 10:00–10:15: Ontario capital markets, trends and the OSC's role, with Chief Economist and VP Paul Redman
- 10:15–10:45: LIFE, WKSI, prospectus exemptions, streamlined reporting and cross border capital raising, led by Corporate Finance VP Marie-France Bourret and moderated by McMillan partner Leila Rafi
- 10:45–11:15: Accessing growth capital and how market evidence informs OSC initiatives, with Economic Growth and Innovation VP Benjamin Matthews and Trading and Markets Senior Legal Counsel Gloria Tsang, moderated by Blakes partner Christopher Jones
- 11:15–11:30: Audience Q&A
LIFE, WKSI And Growth Capital On The Agenda
The agenda covers several points where financing can become easier or more difficult as a company grows. LIFE gives eligible listed issuers a lighter route to public capital. WKSI can simplify access for larger, established issuers. Prospectus exemptions provide other routes, while streamlined reporting can affect how much time and money companies spend meeting securities requirements.
LIFE provides a useful example of why regulatory design matters. In May 2025, regulators expanded Canada's Listed Issuer Financing Exemption, raising the financing limit from C$10 million to C$25 million, or as much as C$50 million for larger issuers, subject to conditions. Hundreds of issuers subsequently raised about C$3.7 billion during the first year under the higher limits, roughly eight times the previous pace.
The CSA is now proposing to make those higher limits permanent, with comments due October 21. Higher limits don't prove that regulation caused every additional financing, but issuers clearly used the added capacity. That gives the OSC webinar a concrete example to work from when discussing which rules facilitate capital raising and which may constrain it.
The international agreements with France and Hong Kong add another angle. For companies capable of raising beyond Canada, the issue isn't only how much capital is available domestically. It is also how efficiently an Ontario issuer can reach investors and markets elsewhere without duplicating unnecessary regulatory work.
Where Does Financing Stop Working For Growing Companies?
The OSC's Office of Economic Growth and Innovation is looking across the financing continuum rather than at one exemption or company stage. An early stage company may raise its first outside capital and still struggle when it needs a much larger round. A listed company may have more financing routes but face costs, disclosure requirements or eligibility rules that make some of them impractical.
Canada's recent SME financing gaps evidence shows why formal access and usable access aren't always the same thing. A funding route can exist and still fail to meet the size, cost or timing a growing company needs.
Canada's recent SME financing gaps evidence shows why formal access and usable access aren't always the same thing. A funding route can exist and still fail to meet the size, cost or timing a growing company needs.
Equity crowdfunding offers a specific example. Canada's NI 45-110 startup crowdfunding exemption remains capped at C$1.5 million over 12 months, while NCFA has advocated a C$5 million or higher issuer cap for years. Recent Canadian offerings have also pushed close to the existing C$1.5 million ceiling.
Other markets allow substantially larger raises.
- The EU crowdfunding regime permits up to €5 million over 12 months, while the EU's wider prospectus exemption now reaches €12 million, although member states can apply a €5 million threshold instead. EU crowdfunding and prospectus thresholds provide the regulatory detail.
- In the U.S., Regulation Crowdfunding permits up to US$5 million over 12 months.
- The SEC is also considering a petition to change Regulation Crowdfunding limits, while its separate 2026 Regulation Crypto Assets proposal would create tailored exemptions of up to US$5 million over four years and US$75 million in any 12 month period for certain crypto investment contracts.
The OSC hasn't included equity crowdfunding as part of the webinar, but the Canadian investment crowdfunding issuer cap illustrates the policy question well. When does a financing limit become too low for a growing company and push it toward a more expensive way to raise capital?
The 10:45 panel should be especially relevant for founders, issuers, dealers and funding platforms. The OSC says it will discuss how stakeholder feedback, market intelligence and data influence targeted initiatives. Useful questions include where the regulator sees the largest gaps between startup, private growth and public markets, which requirements materially affect access to capital, and what evidence it needs before changing a rule.
Capital Raising Rules Are Already Under Review
The October 15 session lands in the middle of two live regulatory discussions. The proposed LIFE amendments close for comment on October 21. A separate CSA review, open until November 13, considers public company regulation including issuer classification, financial reporting requirements, private placement hold periods and material change reporting.
Neither process means the OSC has decided that particular rules should change. They do show that regulators are comparing existing requirements with how companies actually raise capital, while the OSC is gathering evidence about financing friction at different stages of growth.
More Reading:
- Almost $4 Billion Shows What Lower Securities Friction Can Do — what happened after higher LIFE limits took effect
- UK Crowdfunding Caps Lift As EU Pushes €12M — larger overseas fundraising limits and the case for revisiting Canada's C$1.5 million crowdfunding ceiling
- Can Canada Turn Access Into Productive Participation? — whether wider financial market access is translating into usable capital and economic growth
- Canada's C$14T Non Bank Financial System Opens Up — how Canada's large pool of non bank financial assets connects with wider market access and competition
Talking Point
Ontario already gives companies several ways to raise capital. The question is where those options stop working as a company grows. Sometimes the problem is investor demand or business risk. Other times, financing limits, costs or regulatory requirements may be getting in the way. The October 15 discussion should help show where the OSC sees those problems and what evidence might support a change.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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Shopify Opens WebMCP Checkout to AI Agents
September 29, 2026 | NCFA Market Activity | Artificial Intelligence And Data, Payments Infrastructure And Money Movement, Venture Funding And Building
Buyer controlled checkout access for browser AI agents
On September 28, 2026, Shopify expanded WebMCP checkout support, allowing compatible AI browser agents to read and update eligible checkouts and submit orders after buyer approval. The Ottawa based commerce company now lets software agents move beyond product discovery and cart management into checkout itself, while keeping purchase approval and payment authority under separate controls.
Shopify already exposes product search, store browsing and cart functions to agents. Checkout is an important addition because the software can now move from helping someone shop to executing a real transaction. Can the agent spend on its own? No. Shopify still separates what the agent can do inside checkout from what the customer can authorize and what the payment provider will accept.
Shopify says millions of businesses in more than 175 countries use its commerce infrastructure, which processed US$378 billion in gross merchandise volume in 2025. A Canadian company operating at that scale is now helping define how software agents enter commerce without turning access to checkout into open authority over a customer's money.
Shopify Opens Checkout Functions To AI Agents
WebMCP lets a website expose specific functions directly to a compatible browser agent. Instead of inspecting a page and trying to work out which field or button to use, the agent can see the actions Shopify makes available and the information each action requires. It improves transaction reliability because checkout needs predictable actions and an accurate view of the order, while product discovery can tolerate more browser trial and error.
Shopify first exposed WebMCP tools for storefronts on August 5, 2026, letting agents search products, browse stores, manage carts and take shoppers to checkout. The September release extends that access so the agent can read the current checkout, update supported information and submit the order after the customer approves it. Contact details, fulfillment choices, discounts and some payment information can be changed, while the agent and customer continue working from the same checkout state.
Access isn't universal though. Shopify excludes several flows, including B2B checkout, embedded checkout, draft orders, order edits and payment collection. Standard three page checkout is also excluded unless the customer uses Shop Pay. Merchants do not need to install a separate WebMCP app for eligible sessions, giving Shopify a way to expose agent access through infrastructure merchants already use rather than requiring a new integration for every AI shopping service.
Browser WebMCP also differs from Shopify's server based commerce tools. WebMCP operates inside the shopper's open browser tab, while Checkout MCP lets an agent service interact with checkout from its own server. Both use Shopify's Universal Commerce Protocol checkout model. Shopify is turning parts of checkout into functions software can call directly while retaining control over which functions it exposes.
Buyer Approval And Payment Authority Remain Separate
If an agent can operate checkout, who controls the purchase? Shopify requires the customer to review the current order and total before the agent can submit it. If the amount changes, the agent has to ask again. Permission therefore applies to the transaction the customer sees, not to an open instruction that allows the agent to keep spending.
Shopify also keeps agent identity separate from purchase authority. Web Bot Auth can identify a registered agent, but recognition doesn't provide the software permission to place an order. Payment access is even more narrow. Checkout WebMCP doesn't accept new card details. An eligible saved Shop Pay card can be selected, while other payment methods or authentication steps may return control directly to the customer. Shop Pay login and 3D Secure are examples.
The transaction is controlled by several parties. Shopify decides what the agent can do inside checkout, the customer decides whether the current purchase should proceed, and the payment provider decides whether the credential can be used and whether more authentication is required. That separation between agent identity and financial authorization becomes more important as AI agents evolve from recommending products to initiating real transactions.
In September, Mastercard, Flybits and Rogers Bank demonstrated an AI shopping assistant completing a card purchase after the customer supplied buying instructions and a spending limit. Mastercard Agent Pay operates around the credential, agent identity and instructions attached to the payment. Shopify controls what the agent can do inside merchant checkout.
Are Shopify and Mastercard trying to own the same part of agent commerce? Not really. One controls access to the merchant transaction. The other operates where payment credentials and authorization take over. As AI performs more of the purchase, those separate control points become easier to see.
Shopify Can Lose Discovery Without Losing The Transaction
If shopping assistants become easy to reproduce, more valuable infrastructure may develop around checkout access, agent identity, payment credentials, spending limits, merchant restrictions, fraud controls and records showing who approved what. A founder doesn't need to build another shopping assistant to participate in agent commerce. There are products to build between the assistant and the transaction.
See: Circle Builds USDC Payment Infrastructure for AI Agents
Discovery, checkout, credential use and authentication don't have to belong to one company. Different providers can control each function, which makes the handoffs commercially important. Companies that become difficult to remove from those handoffs may capture value even if consumers rarely recognize their names.
Product discovery may happen inside ChatGPT, Gemini, Copilot or another agent rather than on a merchant storefront. Does that weaken Shopify's position? It can reduce Shopify's control over the first interaction, but the transaction can still reach Shopify checkout, merchant systems and payment infrastructure. Shopify can remain part of the economic relationship even when another platform owns the conversation that starts the purchase.
Talking Point
Structured agent access also creates another route into checkout without requiring every AI system to interpret the storefront visually. The commercial evidence is still early, but the technical capability now exists. The market still has to prove whether consumers want agents doing enough purchasing to create a significantly different commerce channel and whether merchants see enough value to change how they manage sales, fraud and customer relationships.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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Anthropic IPO Reveals the $518B Cost of Frontier AI
September 29, 2026 | NCFA Insight | Artificial Intelligence And Data, Capital Markets And Market Infrastructure, Venture Funding And Building
Revenue grew 11x as compute commitments reached at least US$518B
On September 28, 2026, Reuters revealed new details from Anthropic's confidential IPO filing, showing 2025 revenue rose to about US$4.6 billion while compute and infrastructure costs reached US$7.33 billion. Anthropic has committed at least US$518 billion to cloud, compute and other AI infrastructure over roughly a decade.
Anthropic confidentially submitted its draft Form S-1 to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on June 1. The filing isn't public yet, so the financial details come from journalists who reviewed the prospectus rather than an SEC document investors can inspect themselves. Anthropic also hasn't set the number of shares, IPO price or offering size yet.
The filing gives public market investors something private AI companies rarely provide. Anthropic's revenue is growing at extraordinary speed, but so are the costs and commitments needed to keep Claude running and improving. The question isn't simply whether demand for AI keeps rising. It is whether that demand can grow fast enough to absorb infrastructure contracted years before the customers arrive.
Anthropic Revenue Rose 11x As Compute Costs Tripled
Anthropic generated about US$400 million of revenue in 2024 and nearly US$4.6 billion in 2025, an increase of roughly 11.5 times in one year. Compute and infrastructure spending moved just as aggressively, rising to US$7.33 billion in 2025, about three times the prior year level. That one expense represented roughly 58% of Anthropic's US$12.65 billion of operating expenses and about 1.6 times annual revenue.
| 2025 metric | Amount | What it tells investors |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ~US$4.6B | About 11.5 times 2024 revenue |
| Compute and infrastructure | US$7.33B | About 159% of revenue and 58% of operating expenses |
| Operating loss | US$8.06B | Operating costs still exceeded the rapidly growing revenue base |
| Net loss | ~US$42B | Includes a large financing related accounting charge |
| Cash and short term investments | US$20.28B | Year end liquidity before later financing |
| Future infrastructure commitments | At least US$518B | Multi year cloud, compute and infrastructure contracts |
The US$42 billion net loss needs a bit of context. Roughly US$34 billion came from an accounting charge tied to financing instruments that can convert into Anthropic shares. That doesn't mean Anthropic spent US$42 billion in cash operating Claude. The operating number is US$8.06 billion loss generated after revenue and operating costs are compared.
Does that mean the economics are getting worse as Anthropic grows? The current 2026 numbers make that difficult to conclude. Preliminary second quarter revenue exceeded US$11.5 billion, up from US$4.73 billion in the first quarter, and Anthropic reported positive adjusted operating income for the quarter. Those aren't audited full year results, but they show how quickly the picture is changing.
Rapid revenue growth doesn't remove the infrastructure problem, and it makes securing enough compute more urgent.
Anthropic Has Committed At Least US$518B To Compute
Anthropic expects to spend at least US$518 billion over roughly a decade across six infrastructure partners. Reuters reports that about 80% of those commitments are noncancelable or require payment regardless of how much capacity Anthropic actually uses. The known agreements include at least US$111.1 billion with Google, US$110 billion with Amazon, US$31.4 billion with Microsoft and about US$161.2 billion of Broadcom related equipment lease obligations.
Is US$518 billion debt?
No. The figure combines different cloud, compute, equipment and infrastructure contracts spread across years. Some arrangements can also be cancelled. Anthropic's agreements with xAI, for example, could involve up to US$84.5 billion of Nvidia based capacity through 2029 but are largely cancelable with 90 days notice.
The less flexible contracts create the bigger financial issue. Anthropic is reserving enormous amounts of future capacity before it knows exactly how quickly model efficiency, compute prices, customer demand and competition will change. Its filing reportedly warns that access to compute could constrain growth before customer demand does. If Anthropic is right, securing capacity early protects revenue growth. If demand, pricing or technology changes faster than expected, fixed infrastructure commitments become much harder to absorb.
BGC's compute infrastructure markets are creating price discovery and risk management around compute and memory capacity. When capacity is scarce, expensive and contracted years ahead, compute becomes something Anthropic has to finance and manage like major infrastructure, not just pay for as a cloud service.
The supplier relationships are unusual too. Amazon and Google are major Anthropic investors as well as infrastructure providers, and their platforms help distribute Claude. Microsoft also supplies infrastructure while competing across AI. These relationships give Anthropic capital, compute and distribution, but they also make a small group of large technology companies important to several parts of the business at once.
Demand is also concentrated. Nearly one quarter of 2025 revenue came from two customers, while many larger customers are not locked into long term contracts. Anthropic therefore has substantial fixed commitments on the infrastructure side while parts of its customer base remain comparatively flexible. That mismatch deserves your attention.
A US$2T Anthropic IPO Would Price Growth Years Ahead
Reports that Anthropic may seek a valuation above US$2 trillion doesn't make the company worth US$2 trillion today. The firms last reported private valuation was about US$965 billion in May, so US$2 trillion remains a target until shares are actually priced.
Anthropic could also reach public markets before its closest frontier AI rival. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said in September that OpenAI's public market timeline now extends beyond 2026, pushing any listing to at least 2027. Anthropic could therefore become the first major frontier model company to give public investors a direct look at the economics of building and operating AI at this scale.
See: Goldman Sachs Buys Québec AI Compute Platform QScale
Preliminary second quarter 2026 revenue exceeded US$11.5 billion, while Anthropic's annualized revenue run rate reportedly passed US$65 billion by the end of July. Investors will have to decide how much of that acceleration can persist and how much compute, capital and fixed infrastructure Anthropic must secure to support it.
Reuters reports that roughly 80 of the prospectus's 261 main pages cover risks, including the possibility that more capable AI could resist shutdown, conceal information, facilitate cyber or biological misuse and cause catastrophic harm.
Talking Point
Revenue can multiply in a year while infrastructure contracts extend for a decade. The market now has to decide whether that growth can remain fast and profitable enough to justify committing hundreds of billions of dollars to compute before future demand is known.
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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What Happens When Ethereum Stops Computing Everything?
September 29, 2026 | NCFA Insight | Digital Assets Blockchain And Tokenization, Artificial Intelligence And Data, Cybersecurity And Fraud, Digital Identity And Trust, Venture Funding And Building
Proofs could change what blockchains actually need to do
On September 27, 2026, Ethereum cofounder Vitalik Buterin proposed a much different future for Ethereum in his latest essay titled The Cryptographic World Computer. Instead of making every node download the same data and repeat the same calculations, Ethereum would rely far more on cryptographic proofs, data sampling and specialized computers working outside the blockchain. The network would verify more work without having to perform all of it itself.
This isn't just a distant research idea. ZK rollups already execute transactions away from Ethereum and send validity proofs back for verification, while Ethereum's PeerDAS system lets nodes check that rollup data are available without every node downloading all of it. The Ethereum Foundation now says its long term plan for the base network includes succinct execution proofs so validators can eventually verify a proof instead of executing every block again.
A key question for founders and investors is what becomes possible when a blockchain no longer has to do all of the work it is trusted to verify?
Why Every Blockchain Node May Not Need To Do Everything
Blockchains deliberately duplicate work. Independent computers receive transactions, apply the same rules and calculate the resulting state for themselves. That repetition helps participants agree without trusting one central operator, but it also costs money and limits capacity. Cryptographic proofs offer another approach. A computer or group of computers can perform a calculation elsewhere, produce mathematical evidence about the result and let the blockchain verify that evidence instead of repeating the entire calculation.
Some of this already works today where different systems are already handling different parts of the job. Computation, data availability, execution and settlement do not all have to live in one place:
- ZKsync Era performs computation offchain, bundles transactions and sends validity proofs back to Ethereum. Ethereum does not execute every ZKsync transaction itself
- PeerDAS applies a similar idea to data. Since Ethereum's Fusaka upgrade went live on December 3, 2025, nodes can sample pieces of rollup data rather than making every node download every blob (collectively, those samples give the network confidence that the complete data are available)
- Celestia takes the separation further by treating data availability as a service that's separate from execution and settlement. Its light nodes can sample small parts of a block and gain confidence that the full data were published without downloading the whole block
Ethereum's September 2026 protocol priorities point toward an even more radical version of the same idea. The Ethereum Foundation says its planned zkEVM work is intended to move execution proofs from optional to mandatory, with validators eventually verifying a succinct proof instead of executing every block again. Buterin's proposal is not that computation disappears. It is that every validator may no longer need to repeat it.
This model may influence how other blockchains are built too. A payment application could use one network for final settlement, another service for proofs and ordinary cloud infrastructure for most business logic. A privacy system could keep sensitive information outside a public ledger while proving that a required condition was met. An AI agent could perform hundreds of calculations elsewhere and submit only the authorized transaction and the evidence needed to accept it.
It's less about putting everything onchain and more about deciding what everyone actually needs to agree on. That might be ownership, transaction order, a payment, a collateral threshold, an identity condition or proof that software remained inside an approved mandate. Most application may not need global consensus at all.
What Could Founders Build If Verification Gets Cheaper?
A financial agent may compare products, calculate risk, call external services and evaluate several transactions before acting. Putting that entire process on a blockchain would be expensive and could expose information nobody needs. A more practical design could let the agent work elsewhere and prove selected facts when money or ownership changes. Did it stay below a spending limit? Was the beneficiary approved? Did the transaction satisfy a stated policy? Was the final instruction authorized (see AI agents and financial authorization)?
A correct calculation and an authorized action are different things, and financial systems will need both. Proofs could confirm parts of what an agent did while deterministic controls decide what it was allowed to do in the first place.
Another practical use is proving a financial condition without revealing everything behind it.
- A lender might need to establish that income exceeds a threshold without publishing a borrower's complete financial history
- An investment platform might need to confirm eligibility without exposing every identity record
- A company might want to demonstrate that reserves or collateral meet defined rules without disclosing every underlying position
These applications would still depend on trustworthy source data, clearly written rules and legal acceptance. A cryptographic proof can't repair bad information, but it can reduce how much information has to be exposed when the underlying conditions are sound.
Proof generation could evolve into an infrastructure market of its own. If applications rely on proofs, someone has to create, combine and verify them efficiently. That creates room for specialized proving hardware, proof aggregation, cryptographic coprocessors, decentralized compute and developer tools that help determine which work belongs onchain and which work can happen somewhere else.
Regulated finance may eventually find uses as well. Banks, custodians, asset managers and payment companies regularly need to confirm capital, collateral, identity, transaction limits or asset eligibility. Some checks could use cryptographic evidence instead of moving the full underlying dataset between parties. That wouldn't replace regulatory reporting, record keeping or supervisory access, but it could reduce unnecessary data sharing when a counterparty only needs to know whether a specific condition was met.
The economics could also look different from today's blockchain market. If applications buy computation, proofs, storage and settlement separately, value may accrue to infrastructure companies where the economics could accrue differently from today's blockchain market of chains or exchanges. For investors, transaction counts on one chain may tell less of the story than which technical jobs become scarce, costly or strategically important as networks divide the work.
Can This Architecture Survive A Quantum Computer?
What happens when quantum computers become powerful enough to break some of the cryptography blockchains use today? The answer isn't that cryptographic verification stops working. Practically speaking, the cryptography at risk will need to be replaced, and robust systems designed to last will need a clear way to do that.
Ethereum's quantum resistance work identifies four important areas that require changes. 1. Account signatures using ECDSA, 2. validator BLS signatures, 3. KZG commitments used for data availability and 4. some zero knowledge proof systems. The Ethereum Foundation has set an internal goal of making Ethereum's execution, consensus and data layers resistant to quantum attacks by December 2029. It describes that date as an internal engineering target, not a forecast for when a cryptographically capable quantum computer will arrive.
Some of the tools Buterin expects Ethereum to rely on could help with that work. STARKs rely heavily on hash functions rather than the elliptic curve assumptions threatened by sufficiently capable quantum computers. Ethereum researchers are also developing signature systems based on hash functions and ways to aggregate large signatures and proofs designed to resist quantum attacks before they reach the chain.
Every blockchain, custody system, wallet or tokenized asset platform that depends on vulnerable public key cryptography eventually has to decide how its keys, signatures and commitments can be replaced.
The U.S. National Institute of Standards and Technology has already finalized its first standards for cryptography designed to resist quantum attacks and says organizations should begin migrating. In this post we look at Why Fintech Can't Wait For Quantum Computing. NIST's current post quantum guidance calls for organizations to identify vulnerable cryptography and prepare replacement plans. Its transition work aims to remove algorithms vulnerable to quantum attacks from NIST standards by 2035, with higher risk systems expected to move sooner.
Blockchain adds another concern because wallets, tokenized assets, identity credentials and transaction records may remain economically important for decades. A founder building financial infrastructure designed to last should therefore ask two questions combined. What work can we verify instead of repeating, and can we replace the security behind that proof when we need to?
Those questions point toward opportunities in wallets designed to resist quantum attacks, key migration, cryptographic inventory, proof aggregation, formal verification, custody migration and software that can change signature methods without rebuilding an entire application.
Talking Point
If blockchains can trust a proof instead of repeating the work, which financial activities still need to happen onchain, and which only need to be verified there?
The National Crowdfunding & Fintech Association (NCFA Canada) is a financial innovation ecosystem that provides education, market intelligence, industry stewardship, networking and funding opportunities and services to thousands of community members and works closely with industry, government, partners and affiliates to create a vibrant and innovative fintech and funding industry in Canada. Decentralized and distributed, NCFA is engaged with global stakeholders and helps incubate projects and investment in fintech, alternative finance, crowdfunding, peer-to-peer finance, payments, digital assets and tokens, artificial intelligence, blockchain, cryptocurrency, regtech, and insurtech sectors. Join Canada's Fintech & Funding Community today FREE! Or become a contributing member and get perks. For more information, please visit: www.ncfacanada.org
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